IND · 2026 season

T.J. McConnell

56 games played · averaging 9.4 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 9.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026

HIT RATE42.6%200 of 469 games

INTERVAL38.2%–47.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+134at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+161if the rate is 38.2%

T.J. has cleared 9.5 points in 42.6% of 469 games since 2019, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +134 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-03-29

MIA

HOME

18.3MIN

15POINTS

2 · 9 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 2-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 88.9
USG%: 22.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +15
PRA: 26

2026-03-27

LAC

HOME

13.5MIN

2POINTS

3 · 3 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 3.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 8

2026-03-25

LAL

HOME

14.4MIN

17POINTS

2 · 3 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 81.4
USG%: 30.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 22

2026-03-23

ORL

AWAY

19.7MIN

13POINTS

0 · 6 · 6-6

ABOVE

FG: 6-6
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 108.3
USG%: 14.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 19

2026-03-21

AWAY

16.7MIN

4POINTS

2 · 8 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 22.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 14

2026-03-18

POR

HOME

20.4MIN

7POINTS

5 · 10 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 16.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -17
PRA: 22

2026-03-17

AWAY

19.6MIN

10POINTS

3 · 10 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 28.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 23

2026-03-15

MIL

AWAY

28.1MIN

9POINTS

2 · 11 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 39.8
USG%: 20.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 22

2026-03-13

HOME

20.5MIN

10POINTS

3 · 6 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 19

2026-03-08

POR

AWAY

17.1MIN

6POINTS

4 · 3 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 38.1
USG%: 19.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 13

2026-03-06

LAL

AWAY

17.8MIN

10POINTS

1 · 4 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 23.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 15

2026-03-04

LAC

AWAY

15.9MIN

6POINTS

3 · 5 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 19.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 14

2026-03-01

MEM

HOME

14.2MIN

8POINTS

0 · 5 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 25.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 13

2026-02-26

CHA

HOME

16.9MIN

9POINTS

2 · 7 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 28.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 18

2026-02-24

PHI

HOME

15.1MIN

7POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 44.4
USG%: 26.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 12

2026-02-20

WAS

AWAY

14.7MIN

9POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 27.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 13

2026-02-10

AWAY

16.3MIN

13POINTS

1 · 3 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 68.9
USG%: 28.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 17

2026-02-08

TOR

AWAY

15.7MIN

10POINTS

3 · 7 · 5-5

ABOVE

FG: 5-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 24.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 20

2026-02-06

MIL

AWAY

14.1MIN

8POINTS

2 · 6 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 21.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 16

2026-02-02

HOU

HOME

15.9MIN

5POINTS

0 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 35.7
USG%: 19.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 7

2026-01-31

ATL

HOME

15.6MIN

6POINTS

3 · 4 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 42.9
USG%: 20.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 13

2026-01-28

CHI

HOME

15.8MIN

8POINTS

4 · 6 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 20.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 18

2026-01-26

ATL

AWAY

18.3MIN

16POINTS

1 · 3 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 67.3
USG%: 30.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -18
PRA: 20

2026-01-23

OKC

AWAY

19.0MIN

6POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 19.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 11

2026-01-21

BOS

AWAY

14.0MIN

4POINTS

3 · 3 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 23.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 10

2026-01-19

PHI

AWAY

14.2MIN

10POINTS

0 · 3 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 30.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 13

2026-01-16

HOME

15.6MIN

8POINTS

2 · 9 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 24.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 19

2026-01-14

TOR

HOME

21.0MIN

8POINTS

2 · 6 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 16.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 16

2026-01-12

BOS

HOME

14.7MIN

5POINTS

0 · 5 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 42.5
USG%: 19.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 10

2026-01-10

MIA

HOME

16.7MIN

12POINTS

1 · 7 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 25.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 20

2026-01-08

CHA

AWAY

27.8MIN

23POINTS

4 · 8 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 34.3
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 35

2026-01-06

CLE

HOME

17.5MIN

7POINTS

0 · 6 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 43.8
USG%: 24.4
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 13

2026-01-04

ORL

AWAY

20.8MIN

10POINTS

4 · 5 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 23.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 19

2026-01-02

HOME

18.2MIN

14POINTS

2 · 3 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 53.8
USG%: 34.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 19

2025-12-31

ORL

HOME

17.3MIN

4POINTS

1 · 8 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 19.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 13

2025-12-29

HOU

AWAY

16.1MIN

6POINTS

1 · 4 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 38.1
USG%: 25.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 11

2025-12-26

BOS

HOME

14.3MIN

13POINTS

1 · 3 · 5-6

ABOVE

FG: 5-6
3PT: 1-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 94.5
USG%: 23.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -18
PRA: 17

2025-12-23

MIL

HOME

20.7MIN

16POINTS

2 · 6 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 81.0
USG%: 25.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 24

2025-12-20

AWAY

17.5MIN

16POINTS

4 · 8 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 27.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 28

2025-12-18

HOME

17.9MIN

8POINTS

5 · 5 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 18.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 18

2025-12-14

WAS

HOME

15.5MIN

4POINTS

4 · 4 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 24.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 12

2025-12-12

PHI

AWAY

17.2MIN

15POINTS

2 · 5 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 27.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 22

2025-12-08

SAC

HOME

15.6MIN

4POINTS

1 · 3 · 2-9

BELOW

FG: 2-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 22.2
USG%: 27.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 8

2025-12-05

CHI

AWAY

13.9MIN

2POINTS

3 · 4 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 13.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 9

2025-12-03

DEN

HOME

16.5MIN

14POINTS

1 · 6 · 7-10

ABOVE

FG: 7-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 70.0
USG%: 30.3
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 21

2025-12-01

CLE

HOME

5.9MIN

4POINTS

1 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 21.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 6

2025-11-29

CHI

HOME

24.8MIN

8POINTS

3 · 6 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 18.3
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +20
PRA: 17

2025-11-28

WAS

HOME

19.2MIN

14POINTS

4 · 8 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 77.8
USG%: 23.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +12
PRA: 26

2025-11-26

TOR

AWAY

24.3MIN

16POINTS

7 · 6 · 8-17

ABOVE

FG: 8-17
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 47.1
USG%: 35.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +19
PRA: 29

2025-11-24

DET

HOME

22.4MIN

16POINTS

1 · 5 · 8-12

ABOVE

FG: 8-12
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 25.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 22

2025-11-21

CLE

AWAY

17.3MIN

10POINTS

3 · 4 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 19.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 17

2025-11-19

CHA

HOME

14.1MIN

14POINTS

6 · 8 · 6-6

ABOVE

FG: 6-6
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 116.7
USG%: 21.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 28

2025-11-17

DET

AWAY

15.4MIN

0POINTS

1 · 2 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 12.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 3

2025-11-15

TOR

HOME

16.5MIN

9POINTS

1 · 4 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 39.3
USG%: 29.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 14

2025-11-13

PHX

AWAY

15.1MIN

5POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 31.3
USG%: 22.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -30
PRA: 8

2025-11-11

UTAH

AWAY

11.4MIN

12POINTS

1 · 1 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 42.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 14

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