POR · F · 2026 season

Toumani Camara

Next game: vs OKC, Thu 03:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 21:02 UTC · lines as of 20:50 UTC

Projected 30.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 12.5 · Over -121 / Under -114 · 14 books

Case for the over

He averages 13.0 points over 10 games, above the 12.5 line.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.472 points per minute projects 14.2, +13% against the 12.5 line.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 10 vs 10.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 7 vs 11.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 12 and 12 vs 7.8 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 12 more; mean +1.6 points against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 11.3 points, below the 12.5 line. a hint, not a finding
OKC have allowed 105.9 points a game over 11 games, the 4th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 44.7 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 3.5 · Over -152 / Under +115 · 11 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 4.3 rebounds, above the 3.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 7.4% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 5.7% on the season. a hint, not a finding
OKC miss 49.4 shots a game, the 8th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (11 books at 3.5).

Case for the under

He averages 3.3 rebounds over 10 games, below the 3.5 line.
To forwards, OKC have allowed 19.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 0 vs 2.3 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 0 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC) 6 vs 4.8 in his other games (Oct 25) and 3 more; mean -1.1 rebounds against their own averages over 6 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 1.5 · Over +104 / Under -140 · 3 books

Case for the over

He has assisted on 8.3% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, up from 6.9% on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 3, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 3); season average 1.3, last 3 average 1.3.
OKC have allowed 24.5 assists a game over 11 games, the 8th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 8.5 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 41% shooting from the field, the lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 2 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 0 vs 1.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 1 and 3 vs 1.6 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 7 more; mean -0.2 assists against their own averages over 11 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 54% (3 books at 1.5).

Threes 2.5 · Over -153 / Under +112 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 2, 0, 4, 1, 3, 4, 3, 4, 5, 4); season average 3.0.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.109 threes per minute projects 3.3, +31% against the 2.5 line.
OKC have allowed 14.4 threes made a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 43.4 three-point attempts a game, the most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 2 vs 1.7 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 1 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 6); Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU) 6 vs 2.6 in his other games (Oct 31) and 5 more; mean +0.3 threes made against their own averages over 8 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (14 books at 2.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.0 threes made, below the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, OKC have allowed 5.5 threes made a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb+Ast 18.5 · Over -115 / Under -114 · 7 books

Case for the over

Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.639 PRA per minute projects 19.2, +4% against the 18.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 18.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 18, 8, 25, 17, 15, 18, 16, 14, 22, 23); season average 17.6, last 3 average 17.0.
OKC have allowed 175.2 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 72.8 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 16.5 · Over -125 / Under -105 · 9 books

Case for the over

Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.592 PR per minute projects 17.8, +8% against the 16.5 line.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 10 vs 12.8 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 7 vs 14.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 20 and 20 vs 13.2 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 11 more; mean +1.2 points + rebounds against their own averages over 15 games from 14 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 16.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 15, 8, 24, 15, 14, 18, 15, 13, 21, 20); last 3 average 15.7.
OKC have allowed 150.6 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 64.3 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 14.5 · Over -115 / Under -117 · 6 books

Case for the over

Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.519 PA per minute projects 15.6, +7% against the 14.5 line.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 12 vs 12.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 7 vs 12.9 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 13 and 15 vs 9.3 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 12 more; mean +1.2 points + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 14.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 15, 4, 19, 13, 10, 14, 14, 13, 20, 21); last 3 average 12.7.
OKC have allowed 130.5 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 53.3 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 5.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 1 book

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 5.7 rebounds + assists, above the 5.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 7.4% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 5.7% on the season. a hint, not a finding
OKC miss 49.4 shots a game, the 8th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 6, 4, 7, 6, 6, 4, 3, 2, 3, 5); season average 4.6.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.167 RA per minute projects 5.0, -9% against the 5.5 line.
To forwards, OKC have allowed 28.1 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 2 vs 4.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 0 vs 4.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Zaccharie Risacher (DAL) 7 vs 6.3 in his other games (Oct 28) and 3 more; mean -1.8 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 6 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 0.5 · Over -235 / Under +160 · 3 books

Case for the over

He averages 0.7 steals over 10 games, above the 0.5 line.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.025 steals per minute projects 0.8, +53% against the 0.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 65% (3 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 2, 0); last 3 average 0.0.
OKC have allowed 6.1 steals a game over 11 games, the fewest of 30; to forwards, 2.2 a game, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC commit 12.1 turnovers a game, the fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 0 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 1 vs 0.9 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 0 and 2 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 12 more; mean -0.2 steals against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +185 / Under -265 · 1 book

Case for the over

OKC take 90.6 shots a game, the 6th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 9 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0); season average 0.2, last 3 average 0.0.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.007 blocks per minute projects 0.2, -56% against the 0.5 line.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 67% (1 book at 0.5).

Facts for each side of the line, not picks. WATCH marks a lean only on the last read, about 15 minutes before tip, with fresh lines and a confirmed lineup, and that lean has not beaten the market in our backtest.

10 games played · averaging 13.0 points. In the game log below, each game is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 13.5 · POINTS · 2023–2026

HIT RATE34.0%83 of 244 games

INTERVAL28.4%–40.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+193at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+253if the rate is 28.4%

Toumani has cleared 13.5 points in 34.0% of 244 games since 2023, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +193 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-11-10

OKC

HOME

30.2MIN

12POINTS

3 · 3 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-7
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 3/0
TS%: 55.8
USG%: 15.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 18

2026-11-07

HOME

21.5MIN

4POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 28.6
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -28
PRA: 8

2026-11-06

LAL

AWAY

29.7MIN

18POINTS

6 · 1 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 19.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -4
PRA: 25

2026-11-04

PHX

AWAY

32.3MIN

11POINTS

4 · 2 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-6
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 47.3
USG%: 16.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 17

2026-11-02

DEN

AWAY

30.9MIN

9POINTS

5 · 1 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 3-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 15.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: 0
PRA: 15

2026-10-31

UTAH

AWAY

30.8MIN

14POINTS

4 · 0 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 4-9
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 15.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +26
PRA: 18

2026-10-29

MEM

HOME

25.7MIN

13POINTS

2 · 1 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 3-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 65.0
USG%: 18.9
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -20
PRA: 16

2026-10-27

LAL

AWAY

24.3MIN

12POINTS

1 · 1 · 4-5

BELOW

FG: 4-5
3PT: 4-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 120.0
USG%: 9.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -1
PRA: 14

2026-10-23

SAC

AWAY

27.3MIN

19POINTS

2 · 1 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 5-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 79.2
USG%: 17.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 22

2026-10-21

PHX

HOME

22.6MIN

18POINTS

2 · 3 · 6-9

ABOVE

FG: 6-9
3PT: 4-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 91.1
USG%: 19.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +32
PRA: 23

every game on file — nothing hidden

Next game: vs OKC, Thu 03:00 UTC

EARLY READ

Read captured 6 hours before tip, 21:02 UTC · lines as of 20:50 UTC

Projected 30.0 min (RotoWire projection) · starting lineup not confirmed · 10 games this season

Points 12.5 · Over -121 / Under -114 · 14 books

Case for the over

He averages 13.0 points over 10 games, above the 12.5 line.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.472 points per minute projects 14.2, +13% against the 12.5 line.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 10 vs 10.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 7 vs 11.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 12 and 12 vs 7.8 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 12 more; mean +1.6 points against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 11.3 points, below the 12.5 line. a hint, not a finding
OKC have allowed 105.9 points a game over 11 games, the 4th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 44.7 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Rebounds 3.5 · Over -152 / Under +115 · 11 books

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 4.3 rebounds, above the 3.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 7.4% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 5.7% on the season. a hint, not a finding
OKC miss 49.4 shots a game, the 8th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (11 books at 3.5).

Case for the under

He averages 3.3 rebounds over 10 games, below the 3.5 line.
To forwards, OKC have allowed 19.5 rebounds a game over 11 games, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 0 vs 2.3 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 0 vs 3.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC) 6 vs 4.8 in his other games (Oct 25) and 3 more; mean -1.1 rebounds against their own averages over 6 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Assists 1.5 · Over +104 / Under -140 · 3 books

Case for the over

He has assisted on 8.3% of his teammates' made shots while on the floor over his last 3, up from 6.9% on the season. a hint, not a finding

Case for the under

Under 1.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 3, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 3); season average 1.3, last 3 average 1.3.
OKC have allowed 24.5 assists a game over 11 games, the 8th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 8.5 a game, the 4th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 41% shooting from the field, the lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 2 vs 2.1 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 0 vs 1.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 1 and 3 vs 1.6 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 7 more; mean -0.2 assists against their own averages over 11 games from 10 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the under at 54% (3 books at 1.5).

Threes 2.5 · Over -153 / Under +112 · 14 books

Case for the over

Over 2.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 2, 0, 4, 1, 3, 4, 3, 4, 5, 4); season average 3.0.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.109 threes per minute projects 3.3, +31% against the 2.5 line.
OKC have allowed 14.4 threes made a game over 11 games, the 8th-most of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 43.4 three-point attempts a game, the most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 2 vs 1.7 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 1 vs 2.0 in his other games (Nov 6); Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU) 6 vs 2.6 in his other games (Oct 31) and 5 more; mean +0.3 threes made against their own averages over 8 games from 8 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 56% (14 books at 2.5).

Case for the under

His last 3 games average 2.0 threes made, below the 2.5 line. a hint, not a finding
To forwards, OKC have allowed 5.5 threes made a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb+Ast 18.5 · Over -115 / Under -114 · 7 books

Case for the over

Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.639 PRA per minute projects 19.2, +4% against the 18.5 line.

Case for the under

Under 18.5 in 7 of 10 games this season (newest first: 18, 8, 25, 17, 15, 18, 16, 14, 22, 23); season average 17.6, last 3 average 17.0.
OKC have allowed 175.2 points + rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 72.8 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Reb 16.5 · Over -125 / Under -105 · 9 books

Case for the over

Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.592 PR per minute projects 17.8, +8% against the 16.5 line.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 10 vs 12.8 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 7 vs 14.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 20 and 20 vs 13.2 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 11 more; mean +1.2 points + rebounds against their own averages over 15 games from 14 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 16.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 15, 8, 24, 15, 14, 18, 15, 13, 21, 20); last 3 average 15.7.
OKC have allowed 150.6 points + rebounds a game over 11 games, the 7th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 64.3 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Pts+Ast 14.5 · Over -115 / Under -117 · 6 books

Case for the over

Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.519 PA per minute projects 15.6, +7% against the 14.5 line.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 12 vs 12.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 7 vs 12.9 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 13 and 15 vs 9.3 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 12 more; mean +1.2 points + assists against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 14.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 15, 4, 19, 13, 10, 14, 14, 13, 20, 21); last 3 average 12.7.
OKC have allowed 130.5 points + assists a game over 11 games, the 5th-fewest of 30; to forwards, 53.3 a game, the 2nd-fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC allow 105.0 points per 100 possessions, the 5th-lowest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Reb+Ast 5.5 · Over -115 / Under -115 · 1 book

Case for the over

His last 3 games average 5.7 rebounds + assists, above the 5.5 line. a hint, not a finding
He has grabbed 7.4% of the live rebounds while on the floor over his last 3, up from 5.7% on the season. a hint, not a finding
OKC miss 49.4 shots a game, the 8th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 5.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 6, 4, 7, 6, 6, 4, 3, 2, 3, 5); season average 4.6.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.167 RA per minute projects 5.0, -9% against the 5.5 line.
To forwards, OKC have allowed 28.1 rebounds + assists a game over 11 games, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 2 vs 4.4 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 0 vs 4.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Zaccharie Risacher (DAL) 7 vs 6.3 in his other games (Oct 28) and 3 more; mean -1.8 rebounds + assists against their own averages over 6 games from 6 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Steals 0.5 · Over -235 / Under +160 · 3 books

Case for the over

He averages 0.7 steals over 10 games, above the 0.5 line.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.025 steals per minute projects 0.8, +53% against the 0.5 line.
After removing the vig, the books price the over at 65% (3 books at 0.5).

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 6 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 2, 0); last 3 average 0.0.
OKC have allowed 6.1 steals a game over 11 games, the fewest of 30; to forwards, 2.2 a game, the fewest of 30.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC commit 12.1 turnovers a game, the fewest of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
Role comparables vs OKC (forwards; usage 11.4% to 21.4%, 19.5 to 35.5 min a game, at least 22.0 min in the game): Jerami Grant (MEM) 0 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 6); Jaylen Wells (MEM) 1 vs 0.9 in his other games (Nov 6); Mario Hezonja (CLE) 0 and 2 vs 0.6 in his other games (Nov 4, Nov 2) and 12 more; mean -0.2 steals against their own averages over 16 games from 15 comparables.Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Blocks 0.5 · Over +185 / Under -265 · 1 book

Case for the over

OKC take 90.6 shots a game, the 6th-most of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.

Case for the under

Under 0.5 in 9 of 10 games this season (newest first: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0); season average 0.2, last 3 average 0.0.
Projected for 30.0 minutes (RotoWire projection) after 27.5 a game so far; 0.007 blocks per minute projects 0.2, -56% against the 0.5 line.
OKC average 100.8 possessions a game, the 10th-slowest pace of 30 (11 games).Context only: opponent splits are mostly noise this early in the season.
After removing the vig, the book prices the under at 67% (1 book at 0.5).