WAS · 2026 season
Trae Young
15 games played · averaging 17.9 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 17.5 · POINTS · 2019–2026
HIT RATE81.1%347 of 428 games
INTERVAL77.1%–84.5%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-429at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-333if the rate is 77.1%
Trae has cleared 17.5 points in 81.1% of 428 games since 2019, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -429 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-03-16
GS
HOME
21.2MIN
21POINTS
2 · 5 · 7-10
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 86.1
- USG%
- 30.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 28
›2026-03-14
BOS
AWAY
24.5MIN
11POINTS
4 · 6 · 5-10
BELOW
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 22.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 21
›2026-03-12
ORL
AWAY
21.2MIN
15POINTS
3 · 6 · 5-7
BELOW
- FG
- 5-7
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 90.1
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 24
›2026-03-08
NO
AWAY
17.7MIN
17POINTS
4 · 8 · 4-6
BELOW
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 89.3
- USG%
- 30.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 29
›2026-03-05
UTAH
HOME
19.0MIN
12POINTS
2 · 6 · 4-9
BELOW
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 3-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 51.5
- USG%
- 33.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 20
›2025-12-27
NY
HOME
31.4MIN
9POINTS
0 · 10 · 2-9
BELOW
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 40.2
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 19
›2025-12-26
MIA
HOME
32.0MIN
30POINTS
2 · 6 · 8-16
ABOVE
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 5-8
- FT
- 9-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 75.2
- USG%
- 31.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 38
›2025-12-23
CHI
HOME
31.0MIN
22POINTS
1 · 15 · 7-16
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 7-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 55.1
- USG%
- 28.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 38
›2025-12-21
CHI
HOME
26.4MIN
35POINTS
1 · 9 · 10-16
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 7-9
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 87.7
- USG%
- 32.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 45
›2025-12-18
CHA
AWAY
20.2MIN
8POINTS
1 · 10 · 3-8
BELOW
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 24.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 19
›2025-10-29
BKN
AWAY
7.1MIN
6POINTS
1 · 1 · 2-4
BELOW
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 56.4
- USG%
- 38.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 8
›2025-10-27
CHI
AWAY
34.0MIN
21POINTS
3 · 17 · 7-22
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-22
- 3PT
- 1-10
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 41.9
- USG%
- 32.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 41
›2025-10-25
OKC
HOME
30.3MIN
15POINTS
4 · 10 · 5-12
BELOW
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 54.5
- USG%
- 27.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 29
›2025-10-24
ORL
AWAY
33.5MIN
25POINTS
1 · 6 · 7-18
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 10-12
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 53.7
- USG%
- 30.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 32
›2025-10-22
TOR
HOME
34.3MIN
22POINTS
1 · 5 · 5-14
ABOVE
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 11-13
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 55.8
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 28