NOP · 2026 season

Trey Murphy III

66 games played · averaging 21.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 21.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE20.5%67 of 327 games

INTERVAL16.5%–25.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+388at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+507if the rate is 16.5%

Trey has cleared 21.5 points in 20.5% of 327 games since 2021, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +388 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-03

SAC

AWAY

31.8MIN

13POINTS

4 · 4 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 18.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 21

2026-04-02

POR

AWAY

36.4MIN

19POINTS

8 · 2 · 7-17

BELOW

FG: 7-17
3PT: 1-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 22.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -17
PRA: 29

2026-03-24

AWAY

35.5MIN

16POINTS

6 · 2 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 4-12
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 53.3
USG%: 20.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 24

2026-03-21

CLE

HOME

40.5MIN

10POINTS

6 · 0 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 2-8
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 46.0
USG%: 13.1
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 16

2026-03-19

LAC

HOME

34.7MIN

27POINTS

5 · 2 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 5-11
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 72.0
USG%: 29.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 34

2026-03-18

LAC

HOME

39.7MIN

23POINTS

7 · 5 · 7-17

ABOVE

FG: 7-17
3PT: 4-12
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 58.6
USG%: 22.7
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +9
PRA: 35

2026-03-16

DAL

HOME

32.7MIN

17POINTS

7 · 7 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-9
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 53.5
USG%: 21.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 31

2026-03-13

HOU

AWAY

36.9MIN

14POINTS

6 · 7 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 3-8
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 44.1
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 27

2026-03-11

TOR

HOME

33.7MIN

28POINTS

7 · 3 · 8-12

ABOVE

FG: 8-12
3PT: 5-8
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 90.2
USG%: 23.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 38

2026-03-08

WAS

HOME

28.8MIN

24POINTS

5 · 4 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 4-9
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 72.1
USG%: 23.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +11
PRA: 33

2026-03-06

PHX

AWAY

41.0MIN

22POINTS

2 · 4 · 6-17

ABOVE

FG: 6-17
3PT: 4-9
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 54.8
USG%: 20.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 28

2026-03-05

SAC

AWAY

31.9MIN

21POINTS

7 · 4 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 4-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 20.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 32

2026-03-03

LAL

AWAY

32.9MIN

21POINTS

8 · 4 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 3-7
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 61.0
USG%: 25.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -4
PRA: 33

2026-03-01

LAC

AWAY

31.2MIN

16POINTS

2 · 3 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 4-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 53.3
USG%: 23.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -18
PRA: 21

2026-02-11

MIA

HOME

27.0MIN

19POINTS

4 · 6 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 2-8
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 27.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -13
PRA: 29

2026-02-09

SAC

HOME

28.6MIN

21POINTS

2 · 7 · 8-15

BELOW

FG: 8-15
3PT: 5-11
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 24.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 30

2026-02-06

MIN

AWAY

37.3MIN

26POINTS

6 · 5 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 6-10
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 81.9
USG%: 23.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +9
PRA: 37

2026-02-04

MIL

AWAY

39.9MIN

44POINTS

6 · 6 · 15-28

ABOVE

FG: 15-28
3PT: 12-19
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 76.2
USG%: 38.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 56

2026-02-02

CHA

AWAY

37.3MIN

27POINTS

1 · 4 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 3-8
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 62.0
USG%: 30.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 32

2026-01-31

PHI

AWAY

37.8MIN

19POINTS

9 · 2 · 8-21

BELOW

FG: 8-21
3PT: 3-11
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 45.2
USG%: 23.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 30

2026-01-30

MEM

HOME

33.3MIN

8POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-14

BELOW

FG: 2-14
3PT: 0-7
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 24.7
USG%: 21.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 11

2026-01-27

OKC

AWAY

39.1MIN

10POINTS

5 · 5 · 3-20

BELOW

FG: 3-20
3PT: 1-11
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 22.5
USG%: 23.4
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 20

2026-01-25

AWAY

37.9MIN

17POINTS

6 · 9 · 7-22

BELOW

FG: 7-22
3PT: 3-11
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 37.9
USG%: 24.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 32

2026-01-23

MEM

AWAY

36.3MIN

32POINTS

3 · 3 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 2-7
FT: 12-12
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 78.9
USG%: 22.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 38

2026-01-21

DET

HOME

34.9MIN

17POINTS

4 · 2 · 6-19

BELOW

FG: 6-19
3PT: 2-9
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 41.8
USG%: 30.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 23

2026-01-18

HOU

AWAY

35.2MIN

21POINTS

3 · 4 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 3-8
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 62.6
USG%: 23.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -16
PRA: 28

2026-01-16

IND

AWAY

37.6MIN

22POINTS

4 · 5 · 7-21

ABOVE

FG: 7-21
3PT: 5-14
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 48.3
USG%: 29.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +1
PRA: 31

2026-01-14

BKN

HOME

38.0MIN

34POINTS

9 · 5 · 12-22

ABOVE

FG: 12-22
3PT: 5-13
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 67.8
USG%: 27.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +15
PRA: 48

2026-01-13

DEN

HOME

34.0MIN

31POINTS

5 · 2 · 11-18

ABOVE

FG: 11-18
3PT: 4-8
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 76.7
USG%: 29.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: -8
PRA: 38

2026-01-11

ORL

AWAY

37.3MIN

21POINTS

7 · 6 · 8-15

BELOW

FG: 8-15
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 24.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -11
PRA: 34

2026-01-09

WAS

AWAY

36.1MIN

35POINTS

8 · 4 · 13-24

ABOVE

FG: 13-24
3PT: 7-16
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 69.1
USG%: 28.6
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +32
PRA: 47

2026-01-06

LAL

HOME

39.1MIN

42POINTS

5 · 3 · 14-26

ABOVE

FG: 14-26
3PT: 6-17
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 70.1
USG%: 32.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 50

2026-01-04

MIA

AWAY

38.2MIN

27POINTS

8 · 5 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 7-15
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/8
TS%: 71.1
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -18
PRA: 40

2025-12-31

CHI

AWAY

33.6MIN

15POINTS

6 · 5 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 3-11
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 22.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -17
PRA: 26

2025-12-29

HOME

38.3MIN

21POINTS

6 · 2 · 8-16

BELOW

FG: 8-16
3PT: 5-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 65.6
USG%: 19.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 29

2025-12-27

PHX

HOME

36.9MIN

24POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 6-9
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 17.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 31

2025-12-26

PHX

HOME

36.5MIN

19POINTS

3 · 3 · 8-16

BELOW

FG: 8-16
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 54.8
USG%: 20.3
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -14
PRA: 25

2025-12-23

CLE

AWAY

26.4MIN

14POINTS

3 · 5 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 21.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 22

2025-12-22

DAL

HOME

38.0MIN

11POINTS

5 · 4 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 42.7
USG%: 14.5
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 20

2025-12-20

IND

HOME

33.0MIN

17POINTS

6 · 4 · 5-8

BELOW

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-5
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +27
PRA: 27

2025-12-18

HOU

HOME

38.5MIN

27POINTS

3 · 2 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 2-2
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 84.0
USG%: 18.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 32

2025-12-14

CHI

AWAY

33.7MIN

20POINTS

10 · 2 · 8-14

BELOW

FG: 8-14
3PT: 2-6
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 65.3
USG%: 19.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 32

2025-12-11

POR

HOME

31.1MIN

24POINTS

6 · 4 · 10-14

ABOVE

FG: 10-14
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 76.1
USG%: 20.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 34

2025-12-08

HOME

37.8MIN

32POINTS

3 · 4 · 13-21

ABOVE

FG: 13-21
3PT: 2-6
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 69.0
USG%: 28.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 39

2025-12-06

BKN

AWAY

34.9MIN

23POINTS

5 · 5 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 2-7
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 28.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -25
PRA: 33

2025-12-04

MIN

HOME

33.8MIN

21POINTS

7 · 8 · 7-17

BELOW

FG: 7-17
3PT: 0-5
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 27.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 36

2025-12-02

MIN

HOME

40.9MIN

33POINTS

15 · 4 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 4-8
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 3/12
TS%: 68.5
USG%: 27.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -8
PRA: 52

2025-11-26

MEM

HOME

38.5MIN

12POINTS

4 · 6 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 17.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -9
PRA: 22

2025-11-24

CHI

HOME

36.1MIN

20POINTS

4 · 4 · 7-16

BELOW

FG: 7-16
3PT: 4-10
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 57.7
USG%: 18.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +20
PRA: 28

2025-11-22

ATL

HOME

30.8MIN

19POINTS

9 · 4 · 6-16

BELOW

FG: 6-16
3PT: 4-10
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 53.5
USG%: 31.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 32

2025-11-21

DAL

AWAY

35.4MIN

25POINTS

3 · 0 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 1-7
FT: 10-10
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 67.9
USG%: 21.2
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 28

2025-11-19

DEN

HOME

35.9MIN

23POINTS

2 · 3 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 5-12
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 73.0
USG%: 20.3
STL: 5
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 28

2025-11-17

OKC

HOME

33.3MIN

18POINTS

5 · 1 · 6-9

BELOW

FG: 6-9
3PT: 4-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 91.1
USG%: 16.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -19
PRA: 24

2025-11-16

HOME

31.2MIN

20POINTS

8 · 2 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 2-6
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 63.9
USG%: 27.4
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 30

2025-11-14

LAL

HOME

38.9MIN

35POINTS

7 · 0 · 13-21

ABOVE

FG: 13-21
3PT: 3-7
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 74.0
USG%: 31.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 2
+/−: -25
PRA: 42

2025-11-12

POR

HOME

39.5MIN

22POINTS

5 · 5 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 3-11
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 56.9
USG%: 22.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 32

2025-11-10

PHX

AWAY

32.9MIN

21POINTS

10 · 4 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 2-7
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 58.5
USG%: 30.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 35

2025-11-08

AWAY

38.1MIN

41POINTS

9 · 3 · 15-22

ABOVE

FG: 15-22
3PT: 5-11
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 83.2
USG%: 28.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -14
PRA: 53

2025-11-05

DAL

AWAY

38.2MIN

11POINTS

9 · 5 · 3-12

BELOW

FG: 3-12
3PT: 1-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 19.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 25

2025-11-04

CHA

HOME

37.2MIN

21POINTS

3 · 3 · 7-16

BELOW

FG: 7-16
3PT: 5-10
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 62.2
USG%: 20.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 27

2025-11-02

OKC

AWAY

32.1MIN

19POINTS

5 · 2 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 5-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 73.1
USG%: 17.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -22
PRA: 26

2025-10-31

LAC

AWAY

33.6MIN

17POINTS

5 · 6 · 6-14

BELOW

FG: 6-14
3PT: 5-10
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 19.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 28

2025-10-29

DEN

AWAY

31.7MIN

7POINTS

7 · 0 · 1-8

BELOW

FG: 1-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 35.9
USG%: 14.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -32
PRA: 14

2025-10-27

BOS

HOME

33.6MIN

7POINTS

5 · 5 · 3-11

BELOW

FG: 3-11
3PT: 0-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 29.5
USG%: 15.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 17

2025-10-24

HOME

45.8MIN

24POINTS

10 · 5 · 9-18

ABOVE

FG: 9-18
3PT: 3-8
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 62.1
USG%: 19.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 39

2025-10-22

MEM

AWAY

31.9MIN

13POINTS

7 · 3 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 1-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 40.9
USG%: 20.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -3
PRA: 23

every game on file — nothing hidden