NOP · 2026 season

Zion Williamson

62 games played · averaging 21.0 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 21.5 · POINTS · 2020–2026

HIT RATE62.8%164 of 261 games

INTERVAL56.8%–68.5%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-170at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-132if the rate is 56.8%

Zion has cleared 21.5 points in 62.8% of 261 games since 2020, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -170 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price.

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-04-05

ORL

HOME

27.8MIN

17POINTS

7 · 2 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 56.8
USG%: 24.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 26

2026-04-03

SAC

AWAY

28.5MIN

13POINTS

6 · 3 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 50.9
USG%: 26.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 22

2026-04-02

POR

AWAY

29.4MIN

15POINTS

1 · 3 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 71.3
USG%: 17.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -11
PRA: 19

2026-03-29

HOU

HOME

25.3MIN

18POINTS

4 · 3 · 6-8

BELOW

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 78.1
USG%: 21.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -11
PRA: 25

2026-03-27

TOR

AWAY

30.7MIN

22POINTS

7 · 4 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 74.5
USG%: 22.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 33

2026-03-26

DET

AWAY

30.8MIN

21POINTS

6 · 2 · 8-13

BELOW

FG: 8-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-9
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 24.5
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 29

2026-03-24

AWAY

33.9MIN

22POINTS

4 · 2 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 81.4
USG%: 20.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +15
PRA: 28

2026-03-21

CLE

HOME

32.3MIN

25POINTS

6 · 4 · 10-14

ABOVE

FG: 10-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-9
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 69.6
USG%: 26.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -9
PRA: 35

2026-03-19

LAC

HOME

33.0MIN

15POINTS

5 · 2 · 5-7

BELOW

FG: 5-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 74.4
USG%: 16.9
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +12
PRA: 22

2026-03-18

LAC

HOME

27.7MIN

14POINTS

4 · 3 · 6-8

BELOW

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 17.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 21

2026-03-16

DAL

HOME

28.5MIN

27POINTS

4 · 1 · 11-13

ABOVE

FG: 11-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-9
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 79.6
USG%: 24.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 32

2026-03-13

HOU

AWAY

34.2MIN

21POINTS

5 · 1 · 7-10

BELOW

FG: 7-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 75.2
USG%: 20.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 27

2026-03-11

TOR

HOME

31.8MIN

19POINTS

6 · 4 · 7-12

BELOW

FG: 7-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-8
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 61.2
USG%: 23.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +20
PRA: 29

2026-03-08

WAS

HOME

23.5MIN

20POINTS

2 · 1 · 6-8

BELOW

FG: 6-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 77.9
USG%: 22.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 23

2026-03-06

PHX

AWAY

33.7MIN

19POINTS

10 · 3 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 7/3
TS%: 56.0
USG%: 25.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 32

2026-03-05

SAC

AWAY

28.8MIN

23POINTS

9 · 5 · 10-14

ABOVE

FG: 10-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 71.0
USG%: 26.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: +5
PRA: 37

2026-03-03

LAL

AWAY

33.3MIN

24POINTS

4 · 0 · 10-18

ABOVE

FG: 10-18
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 59.4
USG%: 27.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -7
PRA: 28

2026-02-28

UTAH

AWAY

11.1MIN

4POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 69.4
USG%: 10.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 7

2026-02-26

UTAH

AWAY

33.3MIN

20POINTS

4 · 4 · 9-15

BELOW

FG: 9-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 61.3
USG%: 21.2
STL: 4
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +15
PRA: 28

2026-02-24

HOME

33.2MIN

26POINTS

6 · 0 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 1-1
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 5/1
TS%: 56.0
USG%: 27.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -7
PRA: 32

2026-02-21

PHI

HOME

32.8MIN

21POINTS

6 · 8 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 59.9
USG%: 24.3
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +24
PRA: 35

2026-02-20

MIL

HOME

30.3MIN

32POINTS

2 · 2 · 13-17

ABOVE

FG: 13-17
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 78.0
USG%: 28.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 36

2026-02-11

MIA

HOME

33.3MIN

25POINTS

4 · 3 · 12-19

ABOVE

FG: 12-19
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 62.9
USG%: 30.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: -18
PRA: 32

2026-02-09

SAC

HOME

26.7MIN

18POINTS

5 · 6 · 7-11

BELOW

FG: 7-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 70.5
USG%: 24.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 29

2026-02-06

MIN

AWAY

31.9MIN

29POINTS

4 · 1 · 11-13

ABOVE

FG: 11-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 85.5
USG%: 28.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 34

2026-02-04

MIL

AWAY

37.7MIN

20POINTS

5 · 8 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 10-12
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 61.4
USG%: 22.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -1
PRA: 33

2026-02-02

CHA

AWAY

30.8MIN

14POINTS

11 · 4 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-9
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 41.3
USG%: 27.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -7
PRA: 29

2026-01-31

PHI

AWAY

29.8MIN

11POINTS

5 · 2 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 55.2
USG%: 17.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -17
PRA: 18

2026-01-30

MEM

HOME

33.0MIN

21POINTS

7 · 4 · 7-10

BELOW

FG: 7-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 77.7
USG%: 19.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 32

2026-01-27

OKC

AWAY

33.6MIN

21POINTS

11 · 2 · 8-11

BELOW

FG: 8-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 79.5
USG%: 19.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +4
PRA: 34

2026-01-25

AWAY

33.3MIN

24POINTS

10 · 4 · 10-18

ABOVE

FG: 10-18
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 59.4
USG%: 25.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +17
PRA: 38

2026-01-23

MEM

AWAY

33.1MIN

24POINTS

11 · 4 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-11
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 26.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 39

2026-01-21

DET

HOME

14.7MIN

4POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-3
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 31.6
USG%: 20.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 8

2026-01-18

HOU

AWAY

30.4MIN

20POINTS

6 · 4 · 9-17

BELOW

FG: 9-17
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 54.6
USG%: 29.8
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -17
PRA: 30

2026-01-16

IND

AWAY

33.2MIN

27POINTS

6 · 7 · 10-12

ABOVE

FG: 10-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-10
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 82.3
USG%: 27.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +3
PRA: 40

2026-01-14

BKN

HOME

29.8MIN

25POINTS

6 · 2 · 11-14

ABOVE

FG: 11-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 77.2
USG%: 28.1
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -17
PRA: 33

2026-01-13

DEN

HOME

31.5MIN

12POINTS

7 · 4 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 20.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -4
PRA: 23

2026-01-11

ORL

AWAY

31.9MIN

22POINTS

3 · 3 · 9-14

ABOVE

FG: 9-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 67.9
USG%: 25.7
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -10
PRA: 28

2026-01-09

WAS

AWAY

29.2MIN

31POINTS

4 · 3 · 12-14

ABOVE

FG: 12-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-13
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 78.6
USG%: 27.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +22
PRA: 38

2026-01-07

ATL

AWAY

31.4MIN

22POINTS

8 · 6 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-7
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 60.8
USG%: 27.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 36

2026-01-06

LAL

HOME

33.3MIN

15POINTS

4 · 5 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-5
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 49.3
USG%: 23.0
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -7
PRA: 24

2026-01-04

MIA

AWAY

26.2MIN

12POINTS

5 · 2 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 18.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -24
PRA: 19

2026-01-02

POR

HOME

30.7MIN

35POINTS

8 · 2 · 15-26

ABOVE

FG: 15-26
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-8
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 59.3
USG%: 38.2
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -17
PRA: 45

2025-12-31

CHI

AWAY

29.5MIN

31POINTS

7 · 3 · 12-19

ABOVE

FG: 12-19
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-9
OREB/DREB: 4/3
TS%: 67.5
USG%: 32.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 41

2025-12-29

HOME

28.9MIN

32POINTS

5 · 2 · 11-16

ABOVE

FG: 11-16
3PT: 0-0
FT: 10-12
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 75.2
USG%: 32.5
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 39

2025-12-27

PHX

HOME

29.0MIN

22POINTS

4 · 0 · 8-11

ABOVE

FG: 8-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 75.8
USG%: 26.8
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -7
PRA: 26

2025-12-26

PHX

HOME

28.0MIN

20POINTS

8 · 6 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 10-14
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 26.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 34

2025-12-23

CLE

AWAY

20.9MIN

26POINTS

5 · 1 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 3/2
TS%: 68.6
USG%: 41.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -17
PRA: 32

2025-12-22

DAL

HOME

25.1MIN

24POINTS

9 · 3 · 10-14

ABOVE

FG: 10-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 76.1
USG%: 26.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 36

2025-12-20

IND

HOME

23.5MIN

29POINTS

7 · 1 · 9-14

ABOVE

FG: 9-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 3/4
TS%: 73.5
USG%: 38.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 37

2025-12-18

HOU

HOME

21.4MIN

9POINTS

3 · 5 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 41.8
USG%: 26.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -17
PRA: 17

2025-12-14

CHI

AWAY

26.6MIN

18POINTS

6 · 2 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 55.6
USG%: 26.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 26

2025-11-29

AWAY

30.7MIN

25POINTS

7 · 4 · 8-16

ABOVE

FG: 8-16
3PT: 0-2
FT: 9-10
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 61.3
USG%: 32.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 36

2025-11-26

MEM

HOME

32.4MIN

17POINTS

5 · 4 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 29.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: -9
PRA: 26

2025-11-24

CHI

HOME

29.6MIN

29POINTS

1 · 2 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 13-16
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 68.9
USG%: 28.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +2
PRA: 32

2025-11-21

DAL

AWAY

29.6MIN

22POINTS

3 · 2 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 79.5
USG%: 20.4
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 27

2025-11-19

DEN

HOME

29.1MIN

14POINTS

6 · 5 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 47.4
USG%: 23.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +14
PRA: 25

2025-11-02

OKC

AWAY

28.1MIN

20POINTS

9 · 6 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-12
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 51.9
USG%: 36.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -17
PRA: 35

2025-10-31

LAC

AWAY

32.6MIN

29POINTS

6 · 3 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 0-0
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 63.8
USG%: 34.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 38

2025-10-29

DEN

AWAY

26.2MIN

11POINTS

0 · 2 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 56.4
USG%: 21.1
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -12
PRA: 13

2025-10-24

HOME

37.0MIN

27POINTS

10 · 7 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 0-0
FT: 11-16
OREB/DREB: 5/5
TS%: 53.9
USG%: 33.9
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 44

2025-10-22

MEM

AWAY

33.5MIN

27POINTS

9 · 5 · 10-21

ABOVE

FG: 10-21
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-12
OREB/DREB: 5/4
TS%: 51.4
USG%: 33.4
STL: 5
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 41

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