WNBA · May 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Indiana Fever

FinalPOR 73 – IND 90Page updated 11:37 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

May not play Leite · right ankle (ankle) · POR

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Leite · right ankle (ankle) · POR

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 16 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 6 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Luisa Geiselsoder · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 24 actual

Caitlin Clark · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → no final stat available

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 21 actual

Lexie Hull · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 16 actual

Monique Billings · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Myisha Hines-Allen · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 180 points

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 22:10 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:37 UTC

Who is out

May not play Leite · right ankle (ankle) · POR

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 10 days off before this game · IND also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 102 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Lexie Hull · points 7.5 → 16 · 8.5 above the line · played 21.9 min · no final price

Sophie Cunningham · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 15.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Carla Leite · points 15.5 → 6 · 9.5 below the line · played 14 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Aliyah Boston · points 15.5 → 24 · 8.5 above the line · played 21.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.85

Luisa Geiselsoder · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Emily Engstler · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.13, Under 1.68

Myisha Hines-Allen · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 18.2 min · no final price

Monique Billings · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.06

Kelsey Mitchell · points 22.5 → 21 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.81

Bridget Carleton · points 15.5 → 16 · 0.5 above the line · played 25 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.69

Caitlin Clark · points 22.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs POR · last 3 games · IND leads · IND record 2–1 · average score 95.3–90.3 · IND has won by 5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

31 Jul · IND 112 at POR 98IND won

30 May · IND 84 at POR 100IND lost

20 May · POR 73 at IND 90IND won

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.8 vs average

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 13.5, expected total 181 (Wed 04:15 UTC) and later IND expected to win by 10, expected total 175 (Wed 22:55 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 26 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 116 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 125 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 240 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 277 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3002 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3304 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3302 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3306 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3305 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3324 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3349 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 3879 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3879 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3881 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 4163 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 4446 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.