WNBA · Jun 8 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun

FinalNYL 89 – CON 80Page updated 09:47 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play · Sun 16:30 UTC · 19, 24 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 28 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Pauline Astier · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

Satou Sabally · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 9 actual

Jonquel Jones · Out · ilness

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Diamond Miller · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Leila Lacan · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 7 actual

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Brittney Griner · Out · left rib

points 12.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 12 · both teams together expected to score about 163 points · odds to win: NYL 1.13, CON 5.49

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:08 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:47 UTC

Who is out

Jackson · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 26, 15 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play (changed Sun 16:30 UTC) · 19, 24 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Maley · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 3, 5 and 8 min in the last 3 games

Jones · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sun 17:15 UTC) · 32, 26 and 20 min in the last 3 games

Ionescu · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Fri 20:45 UTC) · 33, 28 and 23 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 153 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jackson out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Griner out (Sun 16:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Maley out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Jones out (Sun 17:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Ionescu out (Fri 20:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Aaliyah Edwards · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.82

Leila Lacan · points 12.5 → 7 · 5.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.75

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 28 · 8.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Saniya Rivers · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Pauline Astier · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 26 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.78

Leonie Fiebich · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Marine Johannes · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 24 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Satou Sabally · points 12.5 → 9 · 3.5 below the line · played 18.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Diamond Miller · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.07

Jonquel Jones · points 13.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Brittney Griner · points 12.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs NYL · last 22 games · NYL leads · CON record 5–17 · average score 76.1–80.5 · CON has lost by 4.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 Aug · NYL 82 at CON 75CON lost

8 Jun · NYL 89 at CON 80CON lost

8 May · CON 75 at NYL 106CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 12.5, expected total 161.5 (Mon 00:14 UTC) and later NYL expected to win by 12, expected total 163 (Mon 23:08 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 28 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 133 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 137 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 148 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 163 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 144 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 328 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 929 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 84 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 416 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 595 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 597 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 598 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 605 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 650 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 653 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 744 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 804 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 879 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.