WNBA · Jun 11 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream

FinalNYL 104 – ATL 90Page updated 14:06 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out B. Jones (ATL) · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out B. Jones (ATL) · earlier listed as available · Sat 21:00 UTC · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 19 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 16 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 17 actual

Pauline Astier · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 16 actual

Satou Sabally · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 19 actual

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 18 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 25 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 3 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 24 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 165 points · odds to win: NYL 2.33, ATL 1.64

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 23:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:06 UTC

Who is out

Out B. Jones (ATL) · earlier listed as available (changed Sat 21:00 UTC) · 5, 20 and 22 min in the last 3 games

Maley · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 3, 5 and 8 min in the last 3 games

Ionescu · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Fri 20:45 UTC) · 36, 38 and 34 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

NYL had 37 days off before this game · ATL had 15 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 14 of the 153 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: B. Jones (ATL) out (Sat 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Maley out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Ionescu out (Fri 20:45 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Angel Reese · points 13.5 → 25 · 11.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Jordin Canada · points 11.5 → 3 · 8.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Pauline Astier · points 9.5 → 16 · 6.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Satou Sabally · points 11.5 → 19 · 7.5 above the line · played 17.3 min · no final price

Marine Johannes · points 10.5 → 17 · 6.5 above the line · played 22.3 min · no final price

Rhyne Howard · points 16.5 → 24 · 7.5 above the line · played 36 min · no final price

Jonquel Jones · points 13.5 → 16 · 2.5 above the line · played 26 min · no final price

Naz Hillmon · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · no final price

Leonie Fiebich · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · no final price

Allisha Gray · points 17.5 → 18 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 19 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs NYL · last 24 games · NYL leads · ATL record 10–14 · average score 81.8–85.3 · ATL has lost by 3.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Oct · ATL 85 at NYL 83ATL won

7 Oct · NYL 98 at ATL 101ATL won

4 Oct · NYL 82 at ATL 92ATL won

23 Sep · ATL 83 at NYL 65ATL won

21 Sep · ATL 95 at NYL 84ATL won

11 Jun · NYL 104 at ATL 90ATL lost

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

ATL gives up82.7 points · 32.1 rebounds · 18.4 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 45.5% of shots · 34.1% from three-point range · 15.2 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

ATL gives up 82.7 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.0−4.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 13 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 126 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 216 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 120 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 372 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 595 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 136 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 158 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 226 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 227 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 286 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.