WNBA · Jun 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Portland Fire

FinalSEA 89 – POR 94Page updated 14:05 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

May not play Winterburn · right foot · POR

May not play Samuelson · left groin muscle · POR

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Winterburn · right foot · POR

May not play Samuelson · left groin muscle · POR

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Awa Fam · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 18 actual

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 28 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Jade Melbourne · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 19 actual

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 24 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 20 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Megan DiLeo · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Sarah Ashlee Barker · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

POR expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 164 points · odds to win: SEA 2.82, POR 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:13 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:05 UTC

Who is out

Horston · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 18:15 UTC) · 21, 19 and 13 min in the last 3 games

May not play Winterburn · right foot · POR

May not play Samuelson · left groin muscle · POR

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 9 days off before this game · POR had 10 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 12 of the 156 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Horston out (Sun 18:15 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Dominique Malonga · points 14.5 → 28 · 13.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Bridget Carleton · points 12.5 → 24 · 11.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Awa Fam · points 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Carla Leite · points 12.5 → 20 · 7.5 above the line · played 29 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Natisha Hiedeman · points 13.5 → 19 · 5.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Megan DiLeo · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 27.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.23, Under —

Flau'jae Johnson · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Jade Melbourne · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 30 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Sarah Ashlee Barker · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under —

Emily Engstler · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under —

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs SEA · last 4 games · POR leads · POR record 4–0 · average score 88.8–84.0 · POR has won by 4.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Aug · POR 84 at SEA 82POR won

8 Aug · SEA 93 at POR 100POR won

4 Jul · POR 77 at SEA 72POR won

17 Jun · SEA 89 at POR 94POR won

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.8 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had POR expected to win by 3, expected total 161.5 (Wed 05:06 UTC) and later POR expected to win by 6, expected total 164 (Thu 02:13 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 91 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 138 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 195 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 214 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 218 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 223 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 228 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 18 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 625 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 818 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 970 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 375 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 393 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 580 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 682 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 686 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 696 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 729 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 752 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 758 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.