WNBA · Jun 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at Connecticut Sun

FinalWAS 88 – CON 81Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Iriafen · right ankle (ankle) · WAS

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Iriafen · right ankle (ankle) · WAS

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Mystics

Angela Dugalic · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 6 actual

Cotie McMahon · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Lauren Betts · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 22 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 26 actual

Kiki Iriafen · Out · right ankle (ankle)

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Shakira Austin · Out · knee (knee)

points 14.5 → no final stat available

Connecticut Sun

Aaliyah Edwards · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Brittney Griner · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Diamond Miller · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Leila Lacan · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Saniya Rivers · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CON expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 160.5 points · odds to win: WAS 2.13, CON 1.76

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 22:53 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Jackson · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 26, 15 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Austin · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sun 22:30 UTC) · 33, 34 and 23 min in the last 3 games

Out Iriafen · right ankle (ankle) · WAS

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 113 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jackson out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Iriafen out · played

Flagged before the game: Austin out (Sun 22:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Michaela Onyenwere · points 9.5 → 22 · 12.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under —

Cotie McMahon · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 21.1 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Sonia Citron · points 16.5 → 26 · 9.5 above the line · played 38.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Brittney Griner · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 23 min · no final price

Angela Dugalic · points 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Georgia Amoore · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 19.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.91

Saniya Rivers · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Diamond Miller · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.86, Under 1.88

Lauren Betts · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.92

Aaliyah Edwards · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.70

Leila Lacan · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Kiki Iriafen · points 13.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.71

Shakira Austin · points 14.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs WAS · last 19 games · CON leads · CON record 13–6 · average score 78.7–77.1 · CON has won by 1.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Sep · CON 69 at WAS 79CON lost

28 Jul · CON 84 at WAS 92CON lost

26 Jun · WAS 57 at CON 68CON won

17 Jun · WAS 88 at CON 81CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had WAS expected to win by 3, expected total 162 (Wed 05:39 UTC) and later CON expected to win by 2, expected total 160.5 (Wed 22:53 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 15 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 111 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 111 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 120 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 98 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 449 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 981 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

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sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1891 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1224 ms

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odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1303 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1372 ms

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odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1735 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.