WNBA · Jun 21 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks

FinalNYL 97 – LAS 98Page updated 18:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play · Sun 22:00 UTC · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 18 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 18 actual

Leonie Fiebich · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 13 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 2 actual

Satou Sabally · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 14 actual

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 12 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 24 actual

Rae Burrell · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 19 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 183.5 points · odds to win: NYL 1.31, LAS 3.25

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:24 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:19 UTC

Who is out

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play (changed Sun 22:00 UTC) · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 8 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 17 of the 168 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Brink out (Sun 22:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Sabrina Ionescu · points 15.5 → 2 · 13.5 below the line · played 22 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.71

Rae Burrell · points 10.5 → 19 · 8.5 above the line · played 25.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

Nneka Ogwumike · points 13.5 → 24 · 10.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Erica Wheeler · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Leonie Fiebich · points 8.5 → 13 · 4.5 above the line · played 26 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.75

Jonquel Jones · points 13.5 → 18 · 4.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Marine Johannes · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 16.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Satou Sabally · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.19

Ariel Atkins · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.10

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 18 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Dearica Hamby · points 12.5 → 12 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAS vs NYL · last 16 games · NYL leads · LAS record 4–12 · average score 84.4–91.8 · LAS has lost by 7.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Aug · LAS 81 at NYL 85LAS lost

28 Jul · NYL 113 at LAS 109LAS lost

21 Jun · NYL 97 at LAS 98LAS won

What each defense gives up per game

NYL gives up86.0 points · 31.3 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 34.4% from three-point range · 10.9 opponent turnovers

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

NYL gives up 86.0 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 5.5, expected total 178.5 (Sat 22:58 UTC) and later NYL expected to win by 7.5, expected total 183.5 (Mon 00:24 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 92 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 131 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 163 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 236 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 239 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 165 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 363 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 561 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 204 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 590 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 389 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1015 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 950 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 990 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 992 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 993 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1073 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1074 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1133 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1209 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.