WNBA · Jul 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces

FinalIND 84 – LVA 68Page updated 08:00 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Picks for this game are not posted yet. The players below are up to date.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Fever

Aliyah Boston · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 18 actual

Kelsey Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 27 actual

Lexie Hull · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Monique Billings · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Raven Johnson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Sophie Cunningham · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Las Vegas Aces

Chelsea Gray · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 10 actual

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Jackie Young · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 15 actual

Jewell Loyd · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

NaLyssa Smith · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 9 actual

Stephanie Talbot · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 7 actual

A'ja Wilson · Out · right leg

points 25.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LVA expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 180 points · odds to win: IND 2.22, LVA 1.70

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 21:47 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 08:00 UTC

Who is out

Wilson · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 02:15 UTC) · 43, 36 and 35 min in the last 3 games

Evans · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Thu 01:00 UTC) · 27, 18 and 15 min in the last 3 games

Clark · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Fri 00:15 UTC) · 37, 33 and 34 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

IND had 10 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 19 of the 136 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Wilson out (Sat 02:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Evans out (Thu 01:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Clark out (Fri 00:15 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Raven Johnson · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under —

Lexie Hull · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 22 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

NaLyssa Smith · points 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

Chelsea Gray · points 14.5 → 10 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Monique Billings · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Stephanie Talbot · points 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 16.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.65

Jackie Young · points 20.5 → 15 · 5.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Kelsey Mitchell · points 23.5 → 27 · 3.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.81

Jewell Loyd · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 32 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 13.4 min · no final price

Sophie Cunningham · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.2 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Aliyah Boston · points 17.5 → 18 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

A'ja Wilson · points 25.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LVA vs IND · last 24 games · LVA leads · LVA record 17–7 · average score 86.0–82.0 · LVA has won by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Oct · IND 83 at LVA 94LVA won

29 Sep · LVA 89 at IND 99LVA lost

27 Sep · IND 85 at LVA 102LVA won

6 Aug · LVA 86 at IND 84LVA won

12 Jul · IND 109 at LVA 75LVA lost

5 Jul · IND 84 at LVA 68LVA lost

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up90.7 points · 31.9 rebounds · 20.8 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.2% of shots · 34.0% from three-point range · 12.6 opponent turnovers

LVA gives up85.8 points · 34.0 rebounds · 18.6 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.2% of shots · 34.5% from three-point range · 13.0 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 90.7 points a game · 12th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.6 vs average

LVA gives up 85.8 points a game · 6th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LVA expected to win by 3, expected total 182 (Sun 02:59 UTC) and later LVA expected to win by 2.5, expected total 180 (Sun 21:47 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 55 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 61 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 65 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 81 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 87 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 89 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 210 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 229 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 234 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 417 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 730 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 512 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 538 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 545 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 564 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 597 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 624 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 633 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 638 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 640 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 677 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 678 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 687 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 3283 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3194 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3257 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3273 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3553 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3607 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3646 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3772 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3771 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3869 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3911 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 4016 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.