WNBA · Jul 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Wings at New York Liberty

FinalDAL 88 – NYL 77Page updated 09:40 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Wings

Arike Ogunbowale · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Azzi Fudd · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Jessica Shepard · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 22 actual

Paige Bueckers · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 15 actual

New York Liberty

Breanna Stewart · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 29 actual

Jonquel Jones · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Marine Johannes · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Pauline Astier · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 4 actual

Sabrina Ionescu · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 14 actual

Leonie Fiebich · Out · left foot (foot)

points 9.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYL expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 175 points · odds to win: DAL 2.43, NYL 1.59

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 22:36 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:40 UTC

Who is out

Fiebich · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Sat 23:15 UTC) · 37, 43 and 36 min in the last 3 games

Sabally · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Thu 22:00 UTC) · 8, 27 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

DAL had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 17 of the 115 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Fiebich out (Sat 23:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Sabally out (Thu 22:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Jessica Shepard · points 13.5 → 22 · 8.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.86

Pauline Astier · points 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 23.4 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00

Breanna Stewart · points 19.5 → 29 · 9.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Arike Ogunbowale · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.92

Paige Bueckers · points 20.5 → 15 · 5.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Marine Johannes · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Jonquel Jones · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Azzi Fudd · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Sabrina Ionescu · points 14.5 → 14 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Leonie Fiebich · points 9.5 → no final stat available · DraftKings odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYL vs DAL · last 16 games · NYL leads · NYL record 10–6 · average score 87.9–84.3 · NYL has won by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Jul · NYL 99 at DAL 98NYL won

7 Jul · DAL 88 at NYL 77NYL lost

24 May · DAL 91 at NYL 76NYL lost

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

NYL gives up86.5 points · 31.4 rebounds · 21.3 assists · 9.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.6% of shots · 34.6% from three-point range · 10.8 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

NYL gives up 86.5 points a game · 7th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYL expected to win by 5, expected total 175 (Tue 03:50 UTC) and later NYL expected to win by 4, expected total 175 (Tue 22:36 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 49 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 64 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 145 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 177 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 178 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 421 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 575 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 844 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 339 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 700 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 706 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 729 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 988 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 994 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.