WNBA · Jul 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Chicago Sky at Los Angeles Sparks

FinalCHI 87 – LAS 102Page updated 09:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 1 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

1Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play

Out Plum · earlier listed as may not play

Out Diggins · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Nneka OgwumikeOver 2.5 assists

WonActual 5

Posted odds1.74Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Nneka’s assists

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 1.74. Last price before tip: 1.60.

Recorded result: +0.74 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

First recorded: 1.62 at FanDuel, Fri 05:25 UTC. Latest included: 1.86 at DraftKings, Sat 01:43 UTC. The 2.5 line held.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 1.05 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play · Sun 22:00 UTC · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Out Plum · earlier listed as may not play · Fri 00:15 UTC · 17, 14 and 28 min in the last 3 games

Out Diggins · earlier listed as available · Wed 04:10 UTC · 34, 28 and 23 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Chicago Sky

Courtney Vandersloot · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 15 actual

Natasha Cloud · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Sydney Taylor · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Los Angeles Sparks

Ariel Atkins · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 17 actual

Dearica Hamby · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 17 actual

Erica Wheeler · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Rae Burrell · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAS expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 177 points · odds to win: CHI 1.97, LAS 1.88

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:42 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:28 UTC

Who is out

Out Brink · earlier listed as unlikely to play (changed Sun 22:00 UTC) · 24, 28 and 26 min in the last 3 games

Out Plum · earlier listed as may not play (changed Fri 00:15 UTC) · 17, 14 and 28 min in the last 3 games

Out Diggins · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 04:10 UTC) · 34, 28 and 23 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CHI had 17 days off before this game · LAS had 17 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 16 of the 90 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Brink out (Sun 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Plum out (Fri 00:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Diggins out (Wed 04:10 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

Final · 1 of 1 pick won1 won, 0 lost · +0.74 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 5.0% higher than the last before the start

Nneka Ogwumike · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.4 min

Pick: Over 2.5 at 1.74 → Won +0.74 per 1 staked

8 other players with a posted line

Ariel Atkins · points 9.5 → 17 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Erica Wheeler · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Courtney Vandersloot · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Rae Burrell · points 14.5 → 17 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.03

Natasha Cloud · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Dearica Hamby · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 30 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Sydney Taylor · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Kamilla Cardoso · points 14.5 → 15 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAS vs CHI · last 16 games · CHI leads · LAS record 4–12 · average score 80.6–85.4 · LAS has lost by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Aug · LAS 88 at CHI 95LAS lost

17 Jul · LAS 82 at CHI 96LAS lost

10 Jul · CHI 87 at LAS 102LAS won

What each defense gives up per game

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.2+4.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAS expected to win by 1, expected total 180.5 (Fri 04:24 UTC) and later LAS expected to win by 1, expected total 177 (Sat 00:42 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1

Nneka Ogwumike · O 2.5 assists−135value_edge_pct +3.09 · kelly 1.05u · price_check unchecked · rank 2

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1

Nneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 ASTWIN +0.74ubet −135 → close −166 · CLV +5.0¢ · bet_clv:101553 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-07-10T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 59.2% · actual 5 · 33.4 min · startedOgwumike's high usage rate (26%) and 33 minutes of floor time facilitated the over, as she operated as a primary playmaker alongside her scoring load, dishing 5 assists on efficient 9-16 shooting.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 11 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 15 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 87 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 101 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 244 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 859 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 954 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3902 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 351 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 865 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 877 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 887 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 897 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 906 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 921 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 929 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.