WNBA · Jul 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Connecticut Sun

FinalGSV 79 – CON 64Page updated 09:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play · Sun 16:30 UTC · 19, 24 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

Cecilia Zandalasini · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Gabby Williams · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Janelle Salaun · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Kayla Thornton · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Veronica Burton · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 17 actual

Connecticut Sun

Charlisse Leger-Walker · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Kennedy Burke · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Leila Lacan · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSV expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 153.5 points · odds to win: GSV 1.38, CON 3.18

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 22:09 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 09:28 UTC

Who is out

Jackson · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 26, 15 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play (changed Sun 16:30 UTC) · 19, 24 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Prechtel · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 21:00 UTC) · 4, 5 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 17 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 10 of the 73 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jackson out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Griner out (Sun 16:30 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out (Tue 21:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Kennedy Burke · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 20.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.74

Kayla Thornton · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 13 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Leila Lacan · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 32 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Veronica Burton · points 11.5 → 17 · 5.5 above the line · played 33 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.73

Cecilia Zandalasini · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 17.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Charlisse Leger-Walker · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 24.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Janelle Salaun · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 27 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.98

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · points 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Gabby Williams · points 13.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs GSV · last 6 games · GSV leads · CON record 1–5 · average score 68.8–81.7 · CON has lost by 12.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Aug · GSV 89 at CON 64CON lost

10 Jul · GSV 79 at CON 64CON lost

25 May · CON 70 at GSV 97CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.7 points · 32.3 rebounds · 18.0 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.5% of shots · 33.1% from three-point range · 13.4 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.7 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.5 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 7.5, expected total 154 (Fri 02:52 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 5.5, expected total 153.5 (Fri 22:09 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 35 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 36 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 37 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 39 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 66 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 543 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 630 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 634 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 645 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 811 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 709 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 710 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 881 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.