WNBA · Jul 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Seattle Storm at Chicago Sky

FinalSEA 90 – CHI 95Page updated 15:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 1 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

1Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Diggins · earlier listed as available

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available

Out Mair · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

Natasha CloudOver 3.5 rebounds

LostActual 2

Posted odds1.82Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Natasha’s rebounds

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 1.82. Last price before tip: 1.82.

Recorded result: −1.00 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

First recorded: 1.77 at FanDuel, Tue 16:44 UTC. Latest included: 2.20 at BetRivers, Wed 15:48 UTC. The line changed from 3.5 to 4.5.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 1.60 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Diggins · earlier listed as available · Wed 04:10 UTC · 34, 28 and 23 min in the last 3 games

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available · Thu 00:00 UTC · 28, 22 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Mair · earlier listed as available · Thu 01:15 UTC · 5, 2 and 7 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Seattle Storm

Awa Fam · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 14 actual

Dominique Malonga · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 16 actual

Flau'jae Johnson · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 25 actual

Jade Melbourne · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 11 actual

Natisha Hiedeman · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 6 actual

Chicago Sky

Azura Stevens · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 20 actual

Courtney Vandersloot · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Natasha Cloud · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Sydney Taylor · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 17 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · Out · right knee (knee)

points 14.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CHI expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 171 points · odds to win: SEA 2.15, CHI 1.72

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 06:37 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:54 UTC

Who is out

Cardoso · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Fri 23:10 UTC) · 33, 26 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Westbeld · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Mon 22:00 UTC) · 13, 14 and 9 min in the last 3 games

Out Diggins · earlier listed as available (changed Wed 04:10 UTC) · 34, 28 and 23 min in the last 3 games

Out Magbegor · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 00:00 UTC) · 28, 22 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Mair · earlier listed as available (changed Thu 01:15 UTC) · 5, 2 and 7 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

SEA had 10 days off before this game · CHI had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 119 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Cardoso out (Fri 23:10 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Westbeld out (Mon 22:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Diggins out (Wed 04:10 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Magbegor out (Thu 00:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Mair out (Thu 01:15 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

Final · 0 of 1 pick won0 won, 1 lost · −1.00 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 0.0% higher than the last before the start

Natasha Cloud · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 30 min

Pick: Over 3.5 at 1.82 → Lost −1.00 per 1 staked · our note: no single cause

9 other players with a posted line

Flau'jae Johnson · points 13.5 → 25 · 11.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.84

Natisha Hiedeman · points 15.5 → 6 · 9.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Azura Stevens · points 13.5 → 20 · 6.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.72

Jade Melbourne · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Courtney Vandersloot · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 20 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.93

Awa Fam · points 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 31 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.78

Sydney Taylor · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Dominique Malonga · points 17.5 → 16 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Kamilla Cardoso · points 14.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs SEA · last 16 games · SEA leads · CHI record 7–9 · average score 81.9–85.1 · CHI has lost by 3.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Aug · CHI 82 at SEA 80CHI won

10 Aug · CHI 88 at SEA 97CHI lost

15 Jul · SEA 90 at CHI 95CHI won

30 Aug · CHI 69 at SEA 79CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

SEA gives up88.9 points · 36.3 rebounds · 21.1 assists · 8.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.0% of shots · 32.7% from three-point range · 12.8 opponent turnovers

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SEA gives up 88.9 points a game · 10th of 15 · league average 87.2+1.8 vs average

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CHI expected to win by 2, expected total 171 (Tue 23:50 UTC) and later CHI expected to win by 1.5, expected total 171 (Wed 06:37 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1

Natasha Cloud · O 3.5 rebounds−122value_edge_pct +5.32 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 1

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1

Natasha Cloud Over 3.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet −122 → close −122 · CLV +0.0¢ · bet_clv:126765 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-07-15T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.9% · unexplained · actual 2 · 30.0 min · startedCloud's elite scoring efficiency (85% TS, 5-6 FT) kept her on the floor for 30 minutes, but her 16% usage rate and guard-heavy role limited rebounding opportunities—she grabbed just 2 boards despite the healthy minutes, well short of the 3.5 threshold.

Data fetches · 49

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 40 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 46 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 48 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 56 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 75 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 219 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 64 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 134 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 432 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 348 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 377 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 574 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 573 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 578 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 637 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 651 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 856 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 713 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 922 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 932 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.