WNBA · Jul 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Washington Mystics

FinalPOR 75 – WAS 56Page updated 16:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available

No playing-time estimates are available.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available · Mon 23:30 UTC · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

Bridget Carleton · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Carla Leite · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 14 actual

Emily Engstler · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Megan DiLeo · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → no final stat available

Sarah Ashlee Barker · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Washington Mystics

Georgia Amoore · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Kiki Iriafen · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 2 actual

Michaela Onyenwere · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Shakira Austin · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 19 actual

Sonia Citron · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

WAS expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 162.5 points · odds to win: POR 3.22, WAS 1.37

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 21:40 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:54 UTC

Who is out

Harrison · earlier listed as likely to play, now available (changed Wed 01:15 UTC) · 16, 23 and 6 min in the last 3 games

Out Feagin · earlier listed as available (changed Mon 23:30 UTC) · 6, 1 and 3 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 11 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 15 of the 109 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Harrison out (Wed 01:15 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Feagin out (Mon 23:30 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Kiki Iriafen · points 15.5 → 2 · 13.5 below the line · played 24 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Georgia Amoore · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 15.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Bridget Carleton · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 26 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Sonia Citron · points 16.5 → 8 · 8.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.95

Michaela Onyenwere · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 26.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under —

Emily Engstler · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.8 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Shakira Austin · points 15.5 → 19 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.78

Carla Leite · points 15.5 → 14 · 1.5 below the line · played 23 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.75

Sarah Ashlee Barker · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 24 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Megan DiLeo · points 12.5 → no final stat available · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs POR · last 3 games · WAS leads · WAS record 2–1 · average score 95.0–99.3 · WAS has lost by 4.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Aug · WAS 105 at POR 100WAS won

16 Jul · POR 75 at WAS 56WAS lost

28 Jun · POR 123 at WAS 124WAS won

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.9 vs average

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.2−4.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had WAS expected to win by 6, expected total 163.5 (Thu 00:45 UTC) and later WAS expected to win by 6.5, expected total 162.5 (Thu 21:40 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 74 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 80 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 82 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 172 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 197 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 201 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 275 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 278 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 539 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 329 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 876 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 696 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 707 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 708 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 784 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 786 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1043 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1045 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1047 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.