WNBA · Jul 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Atlanta Dream at Toronto Tempo

FinalATL 111 – TOR 92Page updated 15:54 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 1 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

1Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

Laura JuskaiteOver 10.5 points

LostActual 8

Posted odds2.15Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Laura’s points

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 2.15. Last price before tip: 1.93.

Recorded result: −1.00 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

First recorded: 1.88 at FanDuel, Thu 05:49 UTC. Latest included: 1.93 at Caesars, Fri 23:14 UTC. The line changed from 10.5 to 9.5.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 1.50 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Atlanta Dream

Allisha Gray · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 18 actual

Angel Reese · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 23 actual

Jordin Canada · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 18 actual

Naz Hillmon · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 24 actual

Rhyne Howard · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 10 actual

Toronto Tempo

Isabelle Harrison · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 10 actual

Julie Allemand · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Laura Juskaite · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Maria Conde · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Marina Mabrey · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 26 actual

Nyara Sabally · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

ATL expected to win by about 9.5 · both teams together expected to score about 180 points · odds to win: ATL 1.25, TOR 4.24

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 22:13 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:54 UTC

Who is out

Rice · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Wed 21:00 UTC) · 31, 30 and 30 min in the last 3 games

Bankole · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 22:00 UTC) · 19, 20 and 14 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

TOR had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 21 of the 147 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Rice out (Wed 21:00 UTC) · played

Flagged before the game: Bankole out (Tue 22:00 UTC) · played

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

Final · 0 of 1 pick won0 won, 1 lost · −1.00 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 5.4% higher than the last before the start

Laura Juskaite · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.8 min

Pick: Over 10.5 at 2.15 → Lost −1.00 per 1 staked · our note: the shots did not fall

10 other players with a posted line

Naz Hillmon · points 9.5 → 24 · 14.5 above the line · played 25 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Jordin Canada · points 11.5 → 18 · 6.5 above the line · played 33 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.77

Rhyne Howard · points 19.5 → 10 · 9.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.76

Angel Reese · points 16.5 → 23 · 6.5 above the line · played 33 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.74

Nyara Sabally · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 21 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.78

Maria Conde · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.78, Under —

Julie Allemand · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.84

Marina Mabrey · points 22.5 → 26 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

Isabelle Harrison · points 11.5 → 10 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.6 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

Allisha Gray · points 19.5 → 18 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs ATL · last 4 games · ATL leads · TOR record 0–4 · average score 87.8–103.5 · TOR has lost by 15.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Aug · TOR 95 at ATL 107TOR lost

17 Jul · ATL 111 at TOR 92TOR lost

22 Jun · TOR 87 at ATL 94TOR lost

14 Jun · ATL 102 at TOR 77TOR lost

What each defense gives up per game

ATL gives up84.1 points · 31.6 rebounds · 18.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.6% of shots · 34.7% from three-point range · 15.6 opponent turnovers

TOR gives up94.4 points · 34.5 rebounds · 22.6 assists · 9.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.8% of shots · 35.4% from three-point range · 12.1 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

ATL gives up 84.1 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.2−3.0 vs average

TOR gives up 94.4 points a game · 15th of 15 · league average 87.2+7.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 7.5, expected total 183 (Fri 00:13 UTC) and later ATL expected to win by 9.5, expected total 180 (Fri 22:13 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1

Laura Juskaite · O 10.5 points+115value_edge_pct +6.93 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 2

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1

Laura Juskaite Over 10.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +115 → close −108 · CLV +5.4¢ · bet_clv:134343 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-07-17T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · conversion_unlucky · actual 8 · 27.8 min · startedJuskaite fell short despite solid efficiency (50% TS on 20% usage) because she simply didn't generate enough volume—4-of-8 shooting wasn't enough to clear 10.5 when she needed 11, and the team's game flow limited her scoring opportunities in 28 minutes.

Data fetches · 52

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 114 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 118 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 125 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 135 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 231 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 238 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 267 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 270 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 182 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 642 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 429 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 440 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 487 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 494 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 501 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1087 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1393 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1309 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1431 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1513 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1633 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1635 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1636 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1637 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1640 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1691 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1765 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.