WNBA · Jul 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky

FinalCON 88 – CHI 94Page updated 03:38 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Stevens · earlier listed as available

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play

Out Diggins · right knee · CHI

1 player has a playing-time concern in the available estimates. Morrow, Miller, Burke, Carrington, Williams have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 9 of 21 estimates.

Cloud: expected to play 32 minutes, averaged 23.3 in the last 5 games, about 8.7 more than usual

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Stevens · earlier listed as available · Fri 21:15 UTC · 21, 20 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play · Sun 16:30 UTC · 19, 24 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Out Diggins · right knee · CHI

Players and minutes21 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Connecticut Sun

Leila Lacan · 29 min expected

points 12.5 → 12 actual

Charlisse Leger-Walker · 27 min expected

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · 25 min expected

points 12.5 → 16 actual

Aneesah Morrow · 24 min expected

points 13.5 → 21 actual

Diamond Miller · 24 min expected

points 8.5 → 14 actual

5 more players · no line in this feed

Kennedy Burke24 min · source estimate

Saniya Rivers21 min · source estimate

Raegan Beers10 min · source estimate

Nell Angloma9 min · source estimate

Gianna Kneepkens7 min · source estimate

Chicago Sky

Natasha Cloud · 32 min expected

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Kamilla Cardoso · 27 min expected

points 14.5 → 26 actual

Sydney Taylor · 27 min expected

points 17.5 → 14 actual

Courtney Vandersloot · 21 min expected

points 7.5 → 6 actual

7 more players · no line in this feed

Jacy Sheldon21 min · source estimate

Gabriela Jaquez16 min · source estimate

DiJonai Carrington15 min · source estimate

Elizabeth Williams15 min · source estimate

Aicha Coulibaly12 min · source estimate

Chloe Bibby10 min · source estimate

Rachel Banham4 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CHI expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 176.5 points · odds to win: CON 2.76, CHI 1.48

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 03:38 UTC

Who is out

Out Stevens · earlier listed as available (changed Fri 21:15 UTC) · 21, 20 and 25 min in the last 3 games

Westbeld · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Mon 22:00 UTC) · 13, 14 and 9 min in the last 3 games

Banham · did not play last game

Edwards · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Mon 20:15 UTC) · 17, 27 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Jackson · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:00 UTC) · 26, 15 and 17 min in the last 3 games

Out Griner · earlier listed as may not play (changed Sun 16:30 UTC) · 19, 24 and 31 min in the last 3 games

Kneepkens · did not play last game

Lith · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Wed 20:45 UTC) · 28, 13 and 19 min in the last 3 games

Out Diggins · right knee · CHI

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

Cloud: expected to play 32 minutes, averaged 23.3 in the last 5 games, about 8.7 more than usual

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 9 days off before this game · CHI had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 17 of the 140 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Stevens out (Fri 21:15 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Westbeld out (Mon 22:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Banham out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Diggins out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Edwards out (Mon 20:15 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Jackson out (Fri 21:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Griner out (Sun 16:30 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Kneepkens out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Lith out (Wed 20:45 UTC) · did not play

2 expected players did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below · checked Thu 07:52 UTC

9 other players with a posted line

Kamilla Cardoso · points 14.5 → 26 · 11.5 above the line · played 20.9 min (27 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Diamond Miller · points 8.5 → 14 · 5.5 above the line · played 28.5 min (24 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Aneesah Morrow · points 13.5 → 21 · 7.5 above the line · played 30.7 min (24 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.93

Charlisse Leger-Walker · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 30 min (27 expected) · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · points 12.5 → 16 · 3.5 above the line · played 24.8 min (25 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Sydney Taylor · points 17.5 → 14 · 3.5 below the line · played 30.8 min (27 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.92

Courtney Vandersloot · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.1 min (21 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.99

Natasha Cloud · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.8 min (32 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Leila Lacan · points 12.5 → 12 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min (29 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs CON · last 25 games · CON leads · CHI record 11–14 · average score 79.0–82.7 · CHI has lost by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Aug · CHI 81 at CON 87CHI lost

30 Jul · CON 88 at CHI 94CHI won

22 Jun · CHI 63 at CON 92CHI lost

5 Jun · CON 80 at CHI 85CHI won

3 Sep · CON 64 at CHI 88CHI won

What each defense gives up per game

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

CHI gives up90.7 points · 37.1 rebounds · 20.7 assists · 8.2 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.9% of shots · 33.8% from three-point range · 12.9 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

CHI gives up 90.7 points a game · 11th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CHI expected to win by 3.5, expected total 174 (Thu 00:45 UTC) and later CHI expected to win by 5, expected total 176.5 (Thu 19:35 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 44

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 34 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 134 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 174 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 186 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 189 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 205 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 87 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 418 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 688 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 245 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 949 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 315 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1062 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1133 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1203 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1262 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1267 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1279 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1519 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1589 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1620 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.