FINAL RESULT · CORE BENCHMARK
WIN- Actual
- 28 vs 24.5
- Flat-1u P&L
- +1.10u
- CLV
- +6.5¢
- Minutes
- 39.1
Postgame context: Mitchell's efficient 10-18 shooting night (55.6% FG) and 39 minutes of heavy usage (28%) pushed her well past the 24.5 line in a high-volume performance. Her 6-8 free-throw shooting added three points to the total, helping her reach 28 despite a modest 2-4 night from three.
SERVER RECORD · CORE FORMULA · POINTS
Kelsey Mitchell O 24.5 PTS +110
Persisted decision price · 1.4u model stake · bet_clv:249103
Current meaning: This is a settled, record-only decision. It is historical evidence, not a current wager.
PROP BRIEF · START HERE
Review the recorded result—not a current play.
Recent games · Last 5 no sample; Against this opponent supports; Similar players vs opponent supports. This is supporting context, not extra model votes.
Decision time is unavailable; the capture bucket must not be read as decision time.
Compare the result, minutes, closing line, and receipt limits below.
Verified receipt & source timing
Canonical decision receipt · Receipt bet_clv:249103 · formula priced_lineedges v1.0.0 · capture bucket Aug 5, 8:00 PM EDT (not decision time) · decision time unavailable · point-in-time unverified
WHY IT WAS SURFACED · FEED PRICE
50.7% model chance vs 47.6% needed at +110 · +3.0pp probability edge · +6.4% expected profit / 1uWhy “<52%” can still show positive value: that label describes raw hit likelihood. At plus money, a candidate can hit less than half the time and still carry positive expected value because a win pays more than 1u.