WNBA · Aug 26 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Connecticut Sun

FinalGSV 89 – CON 64Page updated 00:52 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 1 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

1Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 2 availability alerts

Out Griner · left knee · CON

Out Nelson-Ododa · right knee · CON

Salaun, Hayes, Miller, Angloma, Beers have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 5 of 20 estimates.

Aaliyah EdwardsOver 4.5 rebounds

WonActual 5

Posted odds2.00Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Aaliyah’s rebounds

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 2.00. Last price before tip: 1.62.

Recorded result: +1.00 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

First recorded: 2.22 at Pinnacle, Wed 15:15 UTC. Latest included: 2.18 at Pinnacle, Wed 20:55 UTC. The 5.5 line held.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 2.00 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Griner · left knee · CON

Out Nelson-Ododa · right knee · CON

Players and minutes22 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Valkyries

10 players · no line in this feed

Veronica Burton30 min · source estimate

Gabby Williams28 min · source estimate

Cecilia Zandalasini25 min · source estimate

Janelle Salaun23 min · source estimate

Tiffany Hayes23 min · source estimate

Kiah Stokes22 min · source estimate

Kayla Thornton20 min · source estimate

Kaila Charles15 min · source estimate

Kaitlyn Chen10 min · source estimate

Laeticia Amihere4 min · source estimate

Connecticut Sun

SCharlisse Leger-Walker · 28 min expected

points 7.5 → 17 actual

SKennedy Burke · 27 min expected

points 9.5 → 2 actual

SAaliyah Edwards · 25 min expected

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

SSaniya Rivers · 25 min expected

points 10.5 → 7 actual

SDiamond Miller · 20 min expected

points 10.5 → 8 actual

7 more players · no line in this feed

Nell Angloma20 min · source estimate

Raegan Beers20 min · source estimate

Ashlon Jackson15 min · source estimate

Gianna Kneepkens15 min · source estimate

Hailey Van Lith5 min · source estimate

Brittney GrinerOut · Left Knee

Olivia Nelson-OdodaOut · Right Knee

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSV expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 151.5 points · odds to win: GSV 1.10, CON 6.50

Game odds from 5 bookmakers · observed Tue 22:59 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 00:52 UTC

Who is out

Out Griner · left knee · CON

Out Nelson-Ododa · right knee · CON

GSV has not published an injury report for this game

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Wed 23:00 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

Salaun, Hayes, Miller, Angloma, Beers have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 5 of 20 estimates.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

GSV also played the day before this game · CON had 10 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 42 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

Final · 1 of 1 pick won1 won, 0 lost · +1.00 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 11.8% higher than the last before the start · checked Fri 23:52 UTC

Aaliyah Edwards · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.4 min (25 expected)

Pick: Over 4.5 at 2.00 → Won +1.00 per 1 staked

4 other players with a posted line

Charlisse Leger-Walker · points 7.5 → 17 · 9.5 above the line · played 16.5 min (28 expected) · no final price

Kennedy Burke · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 21.5 min (27 expected) · no final price

Saniya Rivers · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 21 min (25 expected) · no final price

Diamond Miller · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.1 min (20 expected) · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CON vs GSV · last 6 games · GSV leads · CON record 1–5 · average score 68.8–81.7 · CON has lost by 12.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Aug · GSV 89 at CON 64CON lost

10 Jul · GSV 79 at CON 64CON lost

25 May · CON 70 at GSV 97CON lost

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.9 points · 32.6 rebounds · 18.2 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.7% of shots · 33.0% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.9 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.2−11.3 vs average

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Coolbet first had GSV expected to win by 12.5, expected total 154.5 (Tue 04:37 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 12.5, expected total 150.5 (Tue 21:57 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1

Aaliyah Edwards · O 4.5 rebounds+100value_edge_pct +14.43 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 1

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1

Aaliyah Edwards Over 4.5 REBWIN +1.00ubet +100 → close −162 · CLV +11.8¢ · bet_clv:421227 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-08-26T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.2% · actual 5 · 22.4 min · started

Data fetches · 32

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 50 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 61 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 207 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 217 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 236 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 245 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 237 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 350 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 532 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 207 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 908 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 702 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 703 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.