WNBA · Aug 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings

FinalCON 71 – DAL 97Page updated 12:30 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 3 availability alerts

Out Griner · left knee · CON

Out Laksa · personal reasons · DAL

Out Nelson-Ododa · right knee · CON

Edwards, Leger-Walker, Sims, Sutton have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 11 of 19 estimates.

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Griner · left knee · CON

Out Laksa · personal reasons · DAL

Out Nelson-Ododa · right knee · CON

Players and minutes21 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Connecticut Sun

SAaliyah Edwards · 28 min expected

points 12.5 → 26 actual

SCharlisse Leger-Walker · 28 min expected

points 7.5 → 17 actual

SSaniya Rivers · 27 min expected

points 8.5 → 8 actual

SDiamond Miller · 26 min expected

points 10.5 → 8 actual

Raegan Beers · 23 min expected

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · Out · right knee

points 10.5 → did not play, so no result

5 more players · no line in this feed

Nell Angloma25 min · source estimate

Hailey Van Lith16 min · source estimate

Gianna Kneepkens14 min · source estimate

Ashlon Jackson13 min · source estimate

Rayah MarshallMinutes unavailable

Dallas Wings

SArike Ogunbowale · 33 min expected

points 17.5 → 18 actual

SPaige Bueckers · 33 min expected

points 21.5 → 15 actual

SJessica Shepard · 31 min expected

points 15.5 → 17 actual

SAwak Kuier · 28 min expected

points 8.5 → 4 actual

SAlanna Smith · 26 min expected

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Maddy Siegrist · 18 min expected

points 7.5 → 11 actual

4 more players · no line in this feed

Alysha Clark20 min · source estimate

Odyssey Sims5 min · source estimate

Sug Sutton5 min · source estimate

Li Yueru1 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 16.5 · both teams together expected to score about 167 points · odds to win: CON 11.02, DAL 1.07

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:32 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:30 UTC

Who is out

Angloma · new starter

Out Griner · left knee · CON

Out Laksa · personal reasons · DAL

Out Nelson-Ododa · right knee · CON

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Mon 00:30 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

Edwards, Leger-Walker, Sims, Sutton have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 11 of 19 estimates.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

CON had 13 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 17 of the 130 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

One team is expected to win by 10 or more. In past games like this, players went over their lines 65.9% of the time; this does not mean the opposite is a good bet.

Looking back

Angloma new starter · started, 21.0 min

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below · checked Wed 00:52 UTC

12 other players with a posted line

Charlisse Leger-Walker · points 7.5 → 17 · 9.5 above the line · played 28.9 min (28 expected) · BetRivers odds: Over 2.12, Under —

Aaliyah Edwards · points 12.5 → 26 · 13.5 above the line · played 28.1 min (28 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.02

Awak Kuier · points 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 20.2 min (28 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Maddy Siegrist · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 16.1 min (18 expected) · DraftKings odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Raegan Beers · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.8 min (23 expected) · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.98

Paige Bueckers · points 21.5 → 15 · 6.5 below the line · played 25.4 min (33 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Diamond Miller · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.3 min (26 expected) · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under —

Alanna Smith · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.8 min (26 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Jessica Shepard · points 15.5 → 17 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.4 min (31 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Saniya Rivers · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.2 min (27 expected) · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.96

Arike Ogunbowale · points 17.5 → 18 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.3 min (33 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Olivia Nelson-Ododa · points 10.5 → did not play, so no result · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.76

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs CON · last 19 games · DAL leads · DAL record 10–9 · average score 83.1–82.7 · DAL has won by 0.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Aug · CON 71 at DAL 97DAL won

2 Aug · CON 63 at DAL 83DAL won

2 Jul · DAL 86 at CON 83DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

CON gives up87.7 points · 33.9 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.0 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.3% of shots · 34.9% from three-point range · 13.5 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CON gives up 87.7 points a game · 9th of 15 · league average 87.1about league average

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.1about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 14.5, expected total 165.5 (Sun 12:13 UTC) and later DAL expected to win by 16.5, expected total 167 (Mon 00:32 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 53

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 67 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 80 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 88 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 89 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 194 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 214 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 216 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 229 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 635 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 799 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 143 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 949 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 440 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 776 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 848 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 867 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 877 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 909 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 916 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 919 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 924 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 989 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1015 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1085 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1158 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.