WNBA · Sep 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream

FinalWAS 77 – ATL 92Page updated 00:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 10 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

10Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Jones · left leg · ATL

Iriafen, Austin, Reese, Canada have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons are unavailable.

Michaela OnyenwereOver 2.5 rebounds

WonActual 4

Posted odds2.35Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Michaela’s rebounds

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 2.35. Last price before tip: 2.08.

Recorded result: +1.35 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

Price movement history is unavailable for this line.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 1.80 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

Georgia AmooreOver 8.5 points

LostActual 8

Posted odds2.33

Shakira AustinOver 19.5 points

LostActual 12

Posted odds2.20

Michaela OnyenwereOver 8.5 points

LostActual 8

Posted odds2.15

Georgia AmooreOver 13.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 15

Posted odds2.11

Georgia AmooreUnder 3.5 assists

WonActual 3

Posted odds2.10

Shakira AustinOver 2.5 assists

LostActual 2

Posted odds2.04

Georgia AmooreOver 1.5 3-pointers

WonActual 2

Posted odds1.72

DeWanna BonnerOver 5.5 rebounds

LostActual 4

Posted odds2.15

DeWanna BonnerOver 16.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 19

Posted odds2.13

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · left leg · ATL

Players and minutes22 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 22 rostered players. 10 published picks use separate saved records.

Washington Mystics

11 players · no line in this feed

Sonia Citron33 min · source estimate

Kiki Iriafen30 min · source estimate

Shakira Austin30 min · source estimate

Michaela Onyenwere25 min · source estimate

Georgia Amoore23 min · source estimate

Cotie McMahon18 min · source estimate

Lauren Betts17 min · source estimate

Betnijah Laney-Hamilton15 min · source estimate

Alicia Florez6 min · source estimate

Angela Dugalic2 min · source estimate

Cassandre Prosper1 min · source estimate

Atlanta Dream

11 players · no line in this feed

Allisha Gray33 min · source estimate

Rhyne Howard33 min · source estimate

Angel Reese32 min · source estimate

Jordin Canada32 min · source estimate

Naz Hillmon26 min · source estimate

DeWanna Bonner17 min · source estimate

Madina Okot9 min · source estimate

Te-Hina Paopao7 min · source estimate

Isobel Borlase6 min · source estimate

Sika Kone3 min · source estimate

Shatori Walker-Kimbrough2 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 00:17 UTC

Who is out

Walker-Kimbrough · did not play last game

Kone · did not play last game

Out Jones · left leg · ATL

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Sun 23:00 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

Iriafen, Austin, Reese, Canada have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons are unavailable.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

WAS had 41 days off before this game · ATL had 9 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 10 published picks use separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jones out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Walker-Kimbrough out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Kone out · did not play

2 expected players did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

Final · 5 of 10 picks won5 won, 5 lost · +0.41 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 6.0% higher than the last before the start · checked Tue 23:52 UTC

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs WAS · last 21 games · ATL leads · ATL record 11–10 · average score 81.1–80.1 · ATL has won by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Sep · ATL 93 at WAS 75ATL won

27 Sep · WAS 77 at ATL 92ATL won

7 Aug · ATL 74 at WAS 79ATL lost

2 Jul · ATL 76 at WAS 81ATL lost

6 Jun · WAS 77 at ATL 109ATL won

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up83.2 points · 30.0 rebounds · 19.8 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.1% of shots · 32.9% from three-point range · 11.9 opponent turnovers

ATL gives up82.7 points · 32.1 rebounds · 18.4 assists · 8.1 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 45.5% of shots · 34.1% from three-point range · 15.2 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 83.2 points a game · 3rd of 15 · league average 87.0−3.9 vs average

ATL gives up 82.7 points a game · 2nd of 15 · league average 87.0−4.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had ATL expected to win by 7, expected total 164.5 (Fri 19:04 UTC) and later ATL expected to win by 7.5, expected total 164 (Sun 22:56 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 10

Georgia Amoore · O 8.5 points+133value_edge_pct +12.55 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 9

Michaela Onyenwere · O 2.5 rebounds+135value_edge_pct +9.84 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 18

Shakira Austin · O 19.5 points+120value_edge_pct +8.34 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 24

DeWanna Bonner · O 16.5 pra+113value_edge_pct +7.87 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 25

Georgia Amoore · O 13.5 pra+111value_edge_pct +7.51 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 28

Michaela Onyenwere · O 8.5 points+115value_edge_pct +7.36 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 30

DeWanna Bonner · O 5.5 rebounds+115value_edge_pct +7.35 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 31

Georgia Amoore · U 3.5 assists+110value_edge_pct +7.00 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 33

Shakira Austin · O 2.5 assists+104value_edge_pct +5.88 · kelly 1.40u · price_check unchecked · rank 35

Georgia Amoore · O 1.5 threes−138value_edge_pct +3.42 · kelly 1.20u · price_check unchecked · rank 39

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 10

DeWanna Bonner Over 16.5 PRAWIN +1.13ubet +113 → close −112 · CLV +5.9¢ · bet_clv:1870288 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.6% · actual 19 · 22.0 min · started

Shakira Austin Over 19.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +120 → close +100 · CLV +4.5¢ · bet_clv:1870289 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.2% · conversion_unlucky · actual 12 · 33.6 min · started

Michaela Onyenwere Over 8.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +115 → close +100 · CLV +3.5¢ · bet_clv:1896466 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 8 · 26.0 min · started

Michaela Onyenwere Over 2.5 REBWIN +1.35ubet +135 → close +108 · CLV +5.5¢ · bet_clv:1896465 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.7% · actual 4 · 26.0 min · started

Georgia Amoore Over 13.5 PRAWIN +1.11ubet +111 → close −120 · CLV +7.2¢ · bet_clv:1896463 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 15 · 24.3 min · started

Georgia Amoore Over 1.5 3PMWIN +0.72ubet −138 → close −172 · CLV +5.3¢ · bet_clv:1936468 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 60.0% · actual 2 · 24.3 min · startedAmoore connected on 2-of-4 from three (50%), clearing the 1.5 line despite a modest 3-8 overall shooting night and limited 24 minutes. Her efficient three-point stroke was the bright spot in an otherwise quiet offensive outing that saw her turn the ball over four times.

DeWanna Bonner Over 5.5 REBLOSS −1.00ubet +115 → close −117 · CLV +7.4¢ · bet_clv:1878411 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 4 · 22.0 min · started

Shakira Austin Over 2.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +104 → close −102 · CLV +1.5¢ · bet_clv:1878414 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 2 · 33.6 min · started

Georgia Amoore Under 3.5 ASTWIN +1.10ubet +110 → close −146 · CLV +11.7¢ · bet_clv:1878413 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 3 · 24.3 min · started

Georgia Amoore Over 8.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +133 → close −102 · CLV +7.6¢ · bet_clv:1896464 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 48.3% · conversion_unlucky · actual 8 · 24.3 min · startedAmoore fell one point shy despite 24 minutes of run, held back by poor shot selection as she connected on just 3 of 8 attempts (37.5% FG) with four turnovers limiting her offensive efficiency. Her 50% true shooting and 20% usage rate were both below her season norms, reflecting a sluggish night that left the over just out of reach.

Data fetches · 41

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-26)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-25)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-16)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-15)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-14)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-13)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 310 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-24)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-23)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-22)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-20)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-21)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-19)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-18)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-17)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 341 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 346 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 352 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 438 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 488 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 483 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 487 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed 502 · 489 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 500 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 170 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 175 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 176 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 177 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 184 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 188 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 191 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 193 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 202 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 209 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1655 ms

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