WNBA · Sep 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Valkyries at Dallas Wings

FinalGSV 100 – DAL 108Page updated 23:48 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 9 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

9Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Smith · left leg · DAL

Chen, Hayes, Ogunbowale, Shepard have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons are unavailable.

Kiah StokesUnder 5.5 rebounds

WonActual 5

Posted odds2.60Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Kiah’s rebounds

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 2.60. Last price before tip: 2.11.

Recorded result: +1.60 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

Price movement history is unavailable for this line.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 1.90 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

Jessica ShepardUnder 25.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 18

Posted odds2.33

Gabby WilliamsUnder 15.5 points

LostActual 36

Posted odds2.30

Veronica BurtonUnder 22.5 points + rebounds + assists

WonActual 17

Posted odds2.24

Gabby WilliamsUnder 18.5 points + assists

LostActual 43

Posted odds2.22

Gabby WilliamsUnder 23.5 points + rebounds + assists

LostActual 49

Posted odds2.15

Kiah StokesUnder 9.5 points + rebounds

WonActual 5

Posted odds2.13

Paige BueckersOver 29.5 points + rebounds + assists

LostActual 18

Posted odds2.13

Alysha ClarkOver 2.5 rebounds

WonActual 3

Posted odds2.04

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Smith · left leg · DAL

Players and minutes20 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 20 rostered players. 9 published picks use separate saved records.

Golden State Valkyries

11 players · no line in this feed

Kayla Thornton25 min · source estimate

Veronica Burton25 min · source estimate

Gabby Williams23 min · source estimate

Janelle Salaun23 min · source estimate

Kiah Stokes21 min · source estimate

Cecilia Zandalasini20 min · source estimate

Kaila Charles20 min · source estimate

Kaitlyn Chen18 min · source estimate

Tiffany Hayes18 min · source estimate

Laeticia Amihere5 min · source estimate

Juste Jocyte2 min · source estimate

Dallas Wings

9 players · no line in this feed

Paige Bueckers33 min · source estimate

Arike Ogunbowale32 min · source estimate

Jessica Shepard32 min · source estimate

Awak Kuier25 min · source estimate

Odyssey Sims22 min · source estimate

Maddy Siegrist20 min · source estimate

Aziaha James16 min · source estimate

Alysha Clark15 min · source estimate

Li Yueru5 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 23:48 UTC

Who is out

Jones · did not play last game

Laksa · did not play last game

Yueru · did not play last game

Gueye · did not play last game

Prechtel · did not play last game

Jocyte · did not play last game

Amihere · did not play last game

Sowah · did not play last game

Out Smith · left leg · DAL

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Thu 01:00 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

Chen, Hayes, Ogunbowale, Shepard have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons are unavailable.

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

GSV had 9 days off before this game · DAL had 38 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 9 published picks use separate saved records.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Jones out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Laksa out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Yueru out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Gueye out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Prechtel out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Jocyte out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Amihere out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Sowah out · did not play

3 expected players did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

Final · 5 of 9 picks won5 won, 4 lost · +2.34 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 6.7% higher than the last before the start · 11 lines checked, 2 scored but not picked · checked Sat 01:52 UTC

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs GSV · last 10 games · GSV leads · DAL record 2–8 · average score 80.4–87.5 · DAL has lost by 7.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 Oct · DAL 73 at GSV 77DAL lost

30 Sep · GSV 100 at DAL 108DAL won

27 Sep · DAL 80 at GSV 104DAL lost

17 Aug · DAL 70 at GSV 78DAL lost

7 Aug · GSV 94 at DAL 76DAL lost

17 Jun · DAL 80 at GSV 91DAL lost

4 Sep · DAL 80 at GSV 84DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

GSV gives up75.3 points · 32.8 rebounds · 17.8 assists · 7.8 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 41.0% of shots · 32.4% from three-point range · 13.3 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

GSV gives up 75.3 points a game · 1st of 15 · league average 87.0−11.7 vs average

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.0about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSV expected to win by 4, expected total 155.5 (Tue 01:41 UTC) and later GSV expected to win by 4.5, expected total 158 (Thu 00:52 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 9

Jessica Shepard · U 25.5 pra+133value_edge_pct +15.87 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 2

Gabby Williams · U 15.5 points+130value_edge_pct +13.41 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 3

Kiah Stokes · U 5.5 rebounds+160value_edge_pct +12.29 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 5

Veronica Burton · U 22.5 pra+124value_edge_pct +9.87 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 6

Gabby Williams · U 18.5 pa+122value_edge_pct +9.17 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 7

Kiah Stokes · U 9.5 pr+113value_edge_pct +8.53 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 8

Paige Bueckers · O 29.5 pra+113value_edge_pct +8.53 · kelly 1.90u · price_check unchecked · rank 9

Alysha Clark · O 2.5 rebounds+104value_edge_pct +7.45 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 12

Gabby Williams · U 23.5 pra+115value_edge_pct +6.97 · kelly 1.50u · price_check unchecked · rank 13

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 11

Paige Bueckers Over 29.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +113 → close −114 · CLV +6.3¢ · bet_clv:2060539 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · conversion_unlucky · actual 18 · 43.4 min · started

Veronica Burton Under 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −145 → close −158 · CLV +2.1¢ · bet_clv:2042095 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A · p_hit 60.5% · conversion_unlucky · actual 2 · 36.7 min · started

Jessica Shepard Under 25.5 PRAWIN +1.33ubet +133 → close −104 · CLV +8.1¢ · bet_clv:2042094 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.7% · actual 18 · 40.8 min · started

Veronica Burton Under 22.5 PRAWIN +1.24ubet +124 → close −108 · CLV +7.3¢ · bet_clv:2042096 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.1% · actual 17 · 36.7 min · started

Gabby Williams Under 15.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +130 → close −106 · CLV +8.0¢ · bet_clv:2042093 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.3% · conversion_unlucky · actual 36 · 36.9 min · started

Maddy Siegrist Over 0.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −180 → close −220 · CLV +4.5¢ · bet_clv:2060538 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 A+ · p_hit 65.1% · blowout_foul_trouble · actual 0 · 9.6 min · bench · excused

Kiah Stokes Under 9.5 PRWIN +1.13ubet +113 → close −102 · CLV +3.5¢ · bet_clv:2060537 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 5 · 25.0 min · started

Kiah Stokes Under 5.5 REBWIN +1.60ubet +160 → close +111 · CLV +8.9¢ · bet_clv:2060536 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 43.2% · actual 5 · 25.0 min · started

Gabby Williams Under 18.5 PALOSS −1.00ubet +122 → close −102 · CLV +5.5¢ · bet_clv:2060534 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.2% · conversion_unlucky · actual 43 · 36.9 min · started

Gabby Williams Under 23.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +115 → close −110 · CLV +5.9¢ · bet_clv:2060533 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.8% · conversion_unlucky · actual 49 · 36.9 min · started

Alysha Clark Over 2.5 REBWIN +1.04ubet +104 · bet_clv:2051695 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 52.7% · actual 3 · 30.9 min · started

Data fetches · 40

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-25)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-26)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 21 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-29)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-24)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-28)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-16)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-27)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-23)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-22)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-21)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-20)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-19)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-17)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/date (2026-09-18)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 45 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 46 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 59 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 98 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 137 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed 502 · 138 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 126 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 128 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 129 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 137 ms

odds player timeline (pr)failed 503 · 138 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 139 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 140 ms

odds player timeline (pa)failed 503 · 142 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 142 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 201 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1387 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.