Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.
Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted
Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
Our picks, raw · 13
DeWanna Bonner · O 13.5 points+156value_edge_pct +30.18 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 1
DeWanna Bonner · U 5.5 rebounds+156value_edge_pct +21.64 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 2
Jordin Canada · U 6.5 assists+153value_edge_pct +12.08 · kelly 1.95u · price_check unchecked · rank 3
Angel Reese · U 14.5 points+138value_edge_pct +10.84 · kelly 1.95u · price_check unchecked · rank 4
Jordin Canada · O 14.5 points+125value_edge_pct +10.79 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 5
Jonquel Jones · U 23.5 pr+117value_edge_pct +10.57 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 6
Rhyne Howard · U 22.5 pa+115value_edge_pct +9.55 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 8
Rhyne Howard · U 7.5 ra+138value_edge_pct +9.50 · kelly 1.70u · price_check unchecked · rank 10
Jonquel Jones · U 26.5 pra+117value_edge_pct +8.29 · kelly 1.75u · price_check unchecked · rank 13
Allisha Gray · O 18.5 points+110value_edge_pct +8.03 · kelly 1.85u · price_check unchecked · rank 14
Naz Hillmon · O 12.5 pr+100value_edge_pct +7.19 · kelly 1.80u · price_check unchecked · rank 16
Leonie Fiebich · O 1.5 threes−102value_edge_pct +6.24 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 19
Jonquel Jones · O 1.5 threes−118value_edge_pct +5.38 · kelly 1.60u · price_check unchecked · rank 20
Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 13
Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 3PMWIN +0.85ubet −118 → close −158 · CLV +7.1¢ · bet_clv:2193534 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 B · p_hit 57.0% · actual 2 · 38.0 min · started
Jordin Canada Over 14.5 PTSWIN +1.25ubet +125 → close −107 · CLV +7.2¢ · bet_clv:2193535 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.2% · actual 23 · 39.3 min · started
Jonquel Jones Under 26.5 PRALOSS −1.00ubet +117 → close −108 · CLV +5.8¢ · bet_clv:2186915 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 49.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 29 · 38.0 min · started
Leonie Fiebich Over 1.5 3PMLOSS −1.00ubet −102 → close −130 · CLV +6.0¢ · bet_clv:2186917 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.6% · conversion_unlucky · actual 0 · 42.8 min · started
Rhyne Howard Under 7.5 RALOSS −1.00ubet +138 → close +118 · CLV +3.9¢ · bet_clv:2186919 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.0% · conversion_unlucky · actual 11 · 43.6 min · started
Jordin Canada Under 6.5 ASTLOSS −1.00ubet +153 → close +108 · CLV +8.6¢ · bet_clv:2186916 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 44.3% · conversion_unlucky · actual 8 · 39.3 min · started
Angel Reese Under 14.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +138 → close −101 · CLV +8.2¢ · bet_clv:2186911 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 46.6% · conversion_unlucky · actual 23 · 39.1 min · started
Naz Hillmon Over 12.5 PRWIN +1.00ubet +100 → close +102 · CLV −0.5¢ · bet_clv:2184008 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 53.6% · actual 20 · 43.5 min · started
Rhyne Howard Under 22.5 PAWIN +1.15ubet +115 → close −110 · CLV +5.9¢ · bet_clv:2184009 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · actual 22 · 43.6 min · started
DeWanna Bonner Under 5.5 REBWIN +1.56ubet +156 → close +104 · CLV +10.0¢ · bet_clv:2184006 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 47.5% · actual 4 · 34.5 min · started
Allisha Gray Over 18.5 PTSVOID +0.00ubet +110 → close −120 · CLV +6.9¢ · bet_clv:2184004 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.4% · actual 0
Jonquel Jones Under 23.5 PRLOSS −1.00ubet +117 → close −102 · CLV +4.4¢ · bet_clv:2184007 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 51.0% · conversion_unlucky · actual 29 · 38.0 min · started
DeWanna Bonner Over 13.5 PTSLOSS −1.00ubet +156 → close −102 · CLV +11.4¢ · bet_clv:2184005 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-10-07T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 PASS · p_hit 50.9% · conversion_unlucky · actual 10 · 34.5 min · started
Data fetches · 41
sds games/date (2026-10-05)ok 200 · 30 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 32 ms
sds games/date (2026-10-06)ok 200 · 36 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 37 ms
sds games/date (2026-10-03)ok 200 · 37 ms
sds games/date (2026-10-01)ok 200 · 62 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-29)ok 200 · 62 ms
sds games/date (2026-10-04)ok 200 · 62 ms
sds games/date (2026-10-02)ok 200 · 63 ms
sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 72 ms
sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 72 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-24)ok 200 · 83 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-23)ok 200 · 84 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 85 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 86 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 90 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-28)ok 200 · 133 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-27)ok 200 · 134 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-26)ok 200 · 135 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 144 ms
sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 146 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-30)ok 200 · 166 ms
sds games/date (2026-09-25)ok 200 · 179 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 186 ms
sds history (h2h)ok · 202 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 204 ms
odds game timelinefailed 503 · 247 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 103 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 114 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 114 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 116 ms
odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 119 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 127 ms
odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 128 ms
odds player timeline (pa)failed 503 · 132 ms
odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 141 ms
odds player timeline (pr)failed 503 · 144 ms
odds player timeline (ra)failed 503 · 145 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1397 ms
grading verdict/boardfailed · 6002 ms