MIN · G · 2026 season
Aari McDonald
5 games played, 2 in the postseason · averaging 6.0 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 6.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026
HIT RATE66.4%75 of 113 games
INTERVAL57.3%–74.4%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-198at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-133if the rate is 57.3%
Aari has cleared 6.5 points in 66.4% of 113 games since 2022, and in 70.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -198 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
NYL
AWAY
14.3MIN
8POINTS
0 · 3 · 3-5
ABOVE
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 11
›2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
NYL
HOME
2.0MIN
0POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 2
›2026-09-24
IND
HOME
19.6MIN
8POINTS
0 · 1 · 2-8
ABOVE
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 9
›2026-09-22
IND
AWAY
21.5MIN
10POINTS
2 · 5 · 2-9
ABOVE
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 43.0
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 17
›2026-09-20
CON
AWAY
4.9MIN
4POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 69.4
- USG%
- 42.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 4