LAS · 2026 season

Chance Gray

40 games played · averaging 3.1 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 3.5 · POINTS · 2026–2026

HIT RATE42.5%17 of 40 games

INTERVAL28.5%–57.8%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+135at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+251if the rate is 28.5%

Chance has cleared 3.5 points in 42.5% of 40 games since 2026, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +135 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-24

GSV

HOME

9.4MIN

3POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 19.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 5

2026-09-22

LVA

AWAY

15.2MIN

1POINTS

0 · 3 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 14.5
USG%: 10.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 4

2026-09-20

POR

HOME

17.5MIN

11POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 3-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 93.5
USG%: 17.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 12

2026-08-30

SEA

AWAY

17.0MIN

6POINTS

0 · 1 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 7.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 7

2026-08-28

WAS

HOME

10.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 2 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 2

2026-08-24

ATL

HOME

21.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 4.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 1

2026-08-22

CON

HOME

12.2MIN

5POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-3

ABOVE

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 18.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 8

2026-08-20

ATL

HOME

13.4MIN

8POINTS

0 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 12.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 8

2026-08-18

CON

AWAY

20.1MIN

4POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 13.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 9

2026-08-15

WAS

AWAY

6.8MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 1

2026-08-13

NYL

AWAY

12.2MIN

6POINTS

1 · 1 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 15.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -13
PRA: 8

2026-08-11

PHO

HOME

7.9MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-2

ABOVE

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 69.4
USG%: 14.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 6

2026-08-09

GSV

HOME

10.0MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 3

2026-08-06

MIN

AWAY

10.3MIN

2POINTS

2 · 2 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 17.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +8
PRA: 6

2026-08-05

CHI

AWAY

12.1MIN

0POINTS

1 · 4 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -14
PRA: 5

2026-08-02

POR

AWAY

14.0MIN

6POINTS

0 · 3 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 15.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2026-07-28

NYL

HOME

14.0MIN

5POINTS

0 · 2 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -21
PRA: 7

2026-07-22

PHO

HOME

11.9MIN

4POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-4

ABOVE

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 27.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 5

2026-07-19

DAL

AWAY

10.2MIN

6POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 13.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 7

2026-07-17

CHI

AWAY

14.7MIN

3POINTS

0 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 11.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +2
PRA: 5

2026-07-15

MIN

AWAY

2.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 0

2026-07-13

ATL

AWAY

3.7MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 0

2026-07-10

CHI

HOME

3.0MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 0

2026-07-06

SEA

HOME

13.9MIN

3POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 6.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 6

2026-06-27

IND

AWAY

11.4MIN

6POINTS

0 · 4 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 18.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 10

2026-06-25

TOR

AWAY

13.9MIN

7POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 71.7
USG%: 14.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 13

2026-06-17

MIN

HOME

13.4MIN

8POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 103.1
USG%: 19.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 12

2026-06-15

GSV

AWAY

8.4MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 22.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 2

2026-06-13

PHO

AWAY

7.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +6
PRA: 0

2026-06-10

SEA

AWAY

7.1MIN

3POINTS

3 · 2 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 31.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +7
PRA: 8

2026-06-07

POR

HOME

15.2MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 13.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 3

2026-06-05

DAL

HOME

5.4MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 0

2026-06-02

LVA

HOME

20.9MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 33.8
USG%: 9.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 6

2026-05-30

CON

AWAY

12.8MIN

6POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 9

2026-05-29

WAS

AWAY

13.0MIN

6POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 13.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 9

2026-05-21

PHO

AWAY

2.3MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 19.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 1

2026-05-17

TOR

HOME

9.9MIN

4POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 22.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 5

2026-05-15

TOR

HOME

10.8MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -14
PRA: 1

2026-05-13

IND

HOME

15.9MIN

2POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -1
PRA: 3

2026-05-10

LVA

HOME

8.0MIN

0POINTS

1 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 9.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 2

every game on file — nothing hidden