DAL · PF · 2026 season

Jessica Shepard

42 games played · averaging 14.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line. 1 exhibition game excluded.

OVER 14.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE21.2%31 of 146 games

INTERVAL15.4%–28.6%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+370at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+550if the rate is 15.4%

Jessica has cleared 14.5 points in 21.2% of 146 games since 2021, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +370 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-23

SEA

AWAY

32.6MIN

20POINTS

11 · 12 · 9-12

ABOVE

FG: 9-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/10
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 21.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +16
PRA: 43

2026-09-21

PHO

AWAY

36.2MIN

17POINTS

19 · 6 · 5-15

ABOVE

FG: 5-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-12
OREB/DREB: 5/14
TS%: 41.9
USG%: 26.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 42

2026-09-19

PHO

HOME

26.9MIN

10POINTS

6 · 5 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 39.6
USG%: 22.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: 0
PRA: 21

2026-09-17

LAS

HOME

27.8MIN

13POINTS

11 · 12 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 54.7
USG%: 21.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +18
PRA: 36

2026-08-30

CON

HOME

25.4MIN

17POINTS

10 · 4 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 9-11
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 78.4
USG%: 29.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: +19
PRA: 31

2026-08-25

POR

HOME

34.1MIN

21POINTS

9 · 6 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 26.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +21
PRA: 36

2026-08-23

SEA

HOME

26.8MIN

11POINTS

11 · 4 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/10
TS%: 48.1
USG%: 21.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 26

2026-08-20

IND

HOME

35.5MIN

26POINTS

8 · 1 · 11-16

ABOVE

FG: 11-16
3PT: 1-1
FT: 3-8
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 26.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 35

2026-08-17

GSV

AWAY

25.7MIN

4POINTS

7 · 2 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 13.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 13

2026-08-09

MIN

AWAY

4.8MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 1

2026-08-07

GSV

HOME

25.8MIN

6POINTS

11 · 1 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 34.2
USG%: 16.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 18

2026-08-05

WAS

AWAY

36.5MIN

22POINTS

11 · 7 · 11-13

ABOVE

FG: 11-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 3/8
TS%: 81.8
USG%: 18.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 40

2026-08-02

CON

HOME

22.7MIN

15POINTS

9 · 2 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 60.3
USG%: 28.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +17
PRA: 26

2026-07-31

WAS

AWAY

33.0MIN

8POINTS

6 · 8 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 13.2
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -3
PRA: 22

2026-07-29

ATL

HOME

40.0MIN

16POINTS

14 · 5 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 4/10
TS%: 42.4
USG%: 22.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 35

2026-07-22

POR

AWAY

34.6MIN

18POINTS

15 · 10 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 6/9
TS%: 70.5
USG%: 19.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 43

2026-07-20

NYL

HOME

38.1MIN

13POINTS

16 · 6 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 4/12
TS%: 67.4
USG%: 15.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 35

2026-07-19

LAS

HOME

38.5MIN

11POINTS

14 · 6 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 2/12
TS%: 51.1
USG%: 16.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 31

2026-07-12

CHI

HOME

34.3MIN

19POINTS

10 · 5 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 68.4
USG%: 19.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 34

2026-07-10

TOR

AWAY

40.0MIN

20POINTS

17 · 3 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 6/11
TS%: 79.9
USG%: 18.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 40

2026-07-07

NYL

AWAY

36.8MIN

22POINTS

12 · 11 · 11-16

ABOVE

FG: 11-16
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/9
TS%: 68.8
USG%: 24.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 45

2026-07-05

TOR

AWAY

32.1MIN

14POINTS

15 · 3 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-1
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 6/9
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 21.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +27
PRA: 32

2026-07-02

CON

AWAY

29.7MIN

14POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 20.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 21

2026-06-28

MIN

HOME

34.6MIN

8POINTS

16 · 3 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 5/11
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 10.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -13
PRA: 27

2026-06-25

LVA

AWAY

34.8MIN

22POINTS

14 · 4 · 8-11

ABOVE

FG: 8-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 2/12
TS%: 75.8
USG%: 21.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -13
PRA: 40

2026-06-22

SEA

AWAY

36.4MIN

14POINTS

9 · 8 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/5
TS%: 53.8
USG%: 17.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 31

2026-06-20

CHI

HOME

34.1MIN

21POINTS

8 · 3 · 7-14

ABOVE

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-1
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 59.9
USG%: 26.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 32

2026-06-17

GSV

AWAY

32.8MIN

14POINTS

10 · 4 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 53.8
USG%: 20.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -9
PRA: 28

2026-06-15

LVA

HOME

30.9MIN

15POINTS

15 · 9 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-10
OREB/DREB: 2/13
TS%: 72.1
USG%: 19.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +24
PRA: 39

2026-06-13

POR

AWAY

35.2MIN

13POINTS

14 · 2 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 4/10
TS%: 53.3
USG%: 18.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 29

2026-06-11

PHO

HOME

32.1MIN

17POINTS

10 · 7 · 7-8

ABOVE

FG: 7-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 87.1
USG%: 13.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +20
PRA: 34

2026-06-09

MIN

AWAY

29.2MIN

12POINTS

9 · 4 · 6-10

BELOW

FG: 6-10
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 60.0
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -26
PRA: 25

2026-06-05

LAS

AWAY

37.6MIN

22POINTS

15 · 5 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 6/9
TS%: 70.3
USG%: 21.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 42

2026-06-01

SEA

HOME

23.4MIN

9POINTS

8 · 1 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 17.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +16
PRA: 18

2026-05-28

LVA

HOME

37.8MIN

22POINTS

20 · 10 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 0-1
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 4/16
TS%: 70.3
USG%: 21.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 52

2026-05-24

NYL

AWAY

32.9MIN

10POINTS

11 · 6 · 5-9

BELOW

FG: 5-9
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 53.0
USG%: 15.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +21
PRA: 27

2026-05-22

ATL

AWAY

31.2MIN

10POINTS

11 · 2 · 5-11

BELOW

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 6/5
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 19.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -26
PRA: 23

2026-05-20

CHI

AWAY

31.5MIN

18POINTS

10 · 12 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-1
FT: 6-9
OREB/DREB: 1/9
TS%: 82.1
USG%: 16.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +10
PRA: 40

2026-05-18

WAS

HOME

27.4MIN

12POINTS

16 · 6 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 4/12
TS%: 65.2
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 34

2026-05-14

MIN

HOME

30.8MIN

7POINTS

6 · 4 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 39.4
USG%: 13.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -13
PRA: 17

2026-05-12

ATL

HOME

30.8MIN

12POINTS

8 · 3 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 54.5
USG%: 19.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 23

2026-05-09

IND

AWAY

32.1MIN

13POINTS

9 · 9 · 5-8

BELOW

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 63.7
USG%: 16.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +5
PRA: 31

every game on file — nothing hidden