SEA · 2026 season

Mackenzie Holmes

29 games played · averaging 2.8 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 2.5 · POINTS · 2025–2026

HIT RATE32.5%13 of 40 games

INTERVAL20.1%–48.0%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+207at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+398if the rate is 20.1%

Mackenzie has cleared 2.5 points in 32.5% of 40 games since 2025, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +207 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-23

DAL

HOME

6.7MIN

0POINTS

2 · 2 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 4

2026-09-20

LVA

AWAY

16.4MIN

4POINTS

5 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 7.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 9

2026-09-19

GSV

AWAY

14.0MIN

6POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 23.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 12

2026-09-17

LVA

HOME

10.1MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 8.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -14
PRA: 6

2026-08-30

LAS

HOME

3.2MIN

3POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-2

ABOVE

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 45.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 5

2026-08-23

DAL

AWAY

2.7MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 31.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 1

2026-08-16

CHI

HOME

2.4MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 16.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 1

2026-07-28

IND

HOME

5.3MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 2

2026-07-12

WAS

AWAY

2.9MIN

2POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 14.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 5

2026-07-06

LAS

AWAY

2.5MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -1
PRA: 1

2026-07-02

PHO

AWAY

2.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 0

2026-06-27

ATL

HOME

1.3MIN

1POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 56.8
USG%: 29.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: 0
PRA: 1

2026-06-20

PHO

AWAY

4.1MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 1

2026-06-17

POR

AWAY

4.3MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-1

ABOVE

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 10.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 3

2026-06-12

GSV

HOME

3.6MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 1

2026-06-10

LAS

HOME

6.7MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 1

2026-06-08

LVA

AWAY

11.7MIN

3POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-1

ABOVE

FG: 1-1
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 150.0
USG%: 3.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 5

2026-06-06

MIN

AWAY

14.4MIN

1POINTS

4 · 2 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 26.6
USG%: 8.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 7

2026-06-03

PHO

HOME

18.8MIN

4POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 11.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 11

2026-06-01

DAL

AWAY

13.5MIN

2POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 5

2026-05-30

TOR

AWAY

15.5MIN

6POINTS

7 · 1 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 13.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -5
PRA: 14

2026-05-27

WAS

HOME

19.7MIN

8POINTS

10 · 1 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 19.7
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 19

2026-05-24

WAS

HOME

14.5MIN

2POINTS

4 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 6.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -4
PRA: 6

2026-05-22

CON

HOME

18.5MIN

2POINTS

6 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 26.6
USG%: 12.5
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -4
PRA: 9

2026-05-20

CON

HOME

26.0MIN

18POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 1-1
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 88.2
USG%: 17.8
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 25

2026-05-17

IND

AWAY

9.7MIN

4POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 18.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 5

2026-05-13

TOR

AWAY

5.0MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 1

2026-05-10

CON

AWAY

22.6MIN

5POINTS

6 · 2 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 13.8
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -4
PRA: 13

2026-05-08

GSV

HOME

11.2MIN

2POINTS

6 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 4.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 8

every game on file — nothing hidden