IND · C · 2026 season
Mercedes Russell
8 games played, 1 in the postseason · averaging 1.4 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 1.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026
HIT RATE69.7%76 of 109 games
INTERVAL60.5%–77.6%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-231at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-154if the rate is 60.5%
Mercedes has cleared 1.5 points in 69.7% of 109 games since 2022, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -231 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
LVA
AWAY
4.0MIN
0POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 2
›2026-09-20
WAS
HOME
18.1MIN
0POINTS
3 · 0 · 0-4
BELOW
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 9.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 3
›2026-09-18
TOR
AWAY
15.8MIN
3POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-1
ABOVE
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 79.8
- USG%
- 5.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 4
›2026-08-28
CON
HOME
12.7MIN
3POINTS
3 · 1 · 1-1
ABOVE
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 79.8
- USG%
- 6.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 7
›2026-08-23
CHI
AWAY
14.2MIN
3POINTS
1 · 3 · 0-1
ABOVE
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 8.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 7
›2026-08-22
NYL
AWAY
2.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 0
›2026-08-16
ATL
AWAY
3.4MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
ABOVE
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 113.6
- USG%
- 24.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 2
›2026-08-11
NYL
HOME
0.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 0