LVA · PF · 2026 season

NaLyssa Smith

39 games played · averaging 11.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 11.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE44.3%89 of 201 games

INTERVAL37.6%–51.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+125at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+166if the rate is 37.6%

NaLyssa has cleared 11.5 points in 44.3% of 201 games since 2022, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +125 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-08-23

TOR

AWAY

18.9MIN

8POINTS

8 · 1 · 4-4

BELOW

FG: 4-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 14.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 17

2026-08-20

CON

HOME

17.5MIN

7POINTS

4 · 0 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 50.9
USG%: 18.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +17
PRA: 11

2026-08-18

ATL

HOME

22.2MIN

10POINTS

6 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 16.0
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 6
+/−: -18
PRA: 16

2026-08-15

MIN

HOME

30.4MIN

17POINTS

12 · 1 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 9/3
TS%: 57.6
USG%: 23.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 30

2026-08-13

WAS

HOME

28.5MIN

6POINTS

8 · 0 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/5
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 8.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 14

2026-08-11

WAS

HOME

30.1MIN

11POINTS

11 · 0 · 5-10

BELOW

FG: 5-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 17.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +11
PRA: 22

2026-08-09

NYL

AWAY

19.9MIN

7POINTS

6 · 4 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 39.4
USG%: 23.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -21
PRA: 17

2026-08-08

MIN

AWAY

24.0MIN

14POINTS

11 · 4 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 5/6
TS%: 71.7
USG%: 19.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 29

2026-08-06

IND

AWAY

37.3MIN

14POINTS

9 · 1 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 5/4
TS%: 61.2
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +1
PRA: 24

2026-08-03

ATL

AWAY

30.7MIN

18POINTS

4 · 0 · 9-16

ABOVE

FG: 9-16
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 24.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +9
PRA: 22

2026-08-01

CHI

AWAY

31.0MIN

17POINTS

6 · 0 · 7-11

ABOVE

FG: 7-11
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 69.0
USG%: 18.9
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 23

2026-07-30

NYL

HOME

19.1MIN

7POINTS

4 · 1 · 2-3

BELOW

FG: 2-3
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 73.5
USG%: 11.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -13
PRA: 12

2026-07-22

WAS

AWAY

22.5MIN

4POINTS

3 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 45.0
USG%: 9.6
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +10
PRA: 7

2026-07-20

TOR

AWAY

18.9MIN

18POINTS

5 · 2 · 9-10

ABOVE

FG: 9-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 90.0
USG%: 26.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +16
PRA: 25

2026-07-12

IND

HOME

20.8MIN

9POINTS

5 · 1 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 51.4
USG%: 18.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 15

2026-07-11

PHO

HOME

17.8MIN

14POINTS

3 · 0 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 88.8
USG%: 21.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +24
PRA: 17

2026-07-09

POR

AWAY

28.3MIN

16POINTS

2 · 0 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 58.1
USG%: 23.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +8
PRA: 18

2026-07-05

IND

HOME

24.4MIN

9POINTS

10 · 1 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 1/9
TS%: 42.3
USG%: 22.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -8
PRA: 20

2026-07-03

CHI

HOME

33.5MIN

29POINTS

8 · 1 · 11-14

ABOVE

FG: 11-14
3PT: 0-0
FT: 7-10
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 27.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +15
PRA: 38

2026-06-30

NYL

AWAY

20.4MIN

9POINTS

6 · 1 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 4/2
TS%: 50.7
USG%: 20.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 16

2026-06-28

CHI

AWAY

13.8MIN

6POINTS

1 · 2 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 26.7
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: +2
PRA: 9

2026-06-25

DAL

HOME

29.6MIN

4POINTS

11 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/9
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 10.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 15

2026-06-23

NYL

HOME

22.9MIN

7POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-6

BELOW

FG: 3-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.9
USG%: 14.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -14
PRA: 8

2026-06-21

GSV

HOME

27.0MIN

14POINTS

3 · 1 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 88.8
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +4
PRA: 18

2026-06-17

PHO

AWAY

30.7MIN

21POINTS

5 · 2 · 8-10

ABOVE

FG: 8-10
3PT: 0-0
FT: 5-8
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 77.7
USG%: 20.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 28

2026-06-15

DAL

AWAY

23.3MIN

9POINTS

6 · 0 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -18
PRA: 15

2026-06-13

MIN

HOME

27.0MIN

15POINTS

6 · 0 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 18.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 21

2026-06-11

POR

AWAY

25.5MIN

12POINTS

10 · 3 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 56.4
USG%: 20.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: +13
PRA: 25

2026-06-08

SEA

HOME

26.1MIN

16POINTS

9 · 0 · 6-6

ABOVE

FG: 6-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/9
TS%: 97.6
USG%: 15.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +16
PRA: 25

2026-06-06

GSV

HOME

29.5MIN

6POINTS

6 · 1 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-6
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 15.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +17
PRA: 13

2026-06-02

LAS

AWAY

21.4MIN

7POINTS

4 · 0 · 3-5

BELOW

FG: 3-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 19.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -9
PRA: 11

2026-05-31

GSV

AWAY

25.5MIN

15POINTS

9 · 1 · 7-9

ABOVE

FG: 7-9
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -2
PRA: 25

2026-05-28

DAL

AWAY

27.3MIN

9POINTS

12 · 0 · 4-5

BELOW

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-4
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -11
PRA: 21

2026-05-23

LAS

HOME

27.7MIN

22POINTS

9 · 1 · 8-12

ABOVE

FG: 8-12
3PT: 1-2
FT: 5-7
OREB/DREB: 6/3
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 23.4
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -1
PRA: 32

2026-05-17

ATL

AWAY

20.0MIN

13POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-7

ABOVE

FG: 6-7
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 3/3
TS%: 78.1
USG%: 22.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +6
PRA: 20

2026-05-15

CON

AWAY

17.3MIN

4POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 10.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 8

2026-05-13

CON

AWAY

17.5MIN

6POINTS

5 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 52.1
USG%: 18.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +5
PRA: 13

2026-05-10

LAS

AWAY

16.0MIN

12POINTS

6 · 2 · 5-5

ABOVE

FG: 5-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 88.8
USG%: 18.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +14
PRA: 20

2026-05-09

PHO

HOME

21.1MIN

11POINTS

6 · 1 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 0-0
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 20.0
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -16
PRA: 18

every game on file — nothing hidden