MIN · F · 2026 season
Napheesa Collier
16 games played · averaging 16.8 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.
OVER 16.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026
HIT RATE74.5%108 of 145 games
INTERVAL66.8%–80.9%95% confidence
BREAK-EVEN-292at that rate
AT THE FLOOR-200if the rate is 66.8%
Napheesa has cleared 16.5 points in 74.5% of 145 games since 2021, and in 60.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -292 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS AVG
›2026-09-24
IND
HOME
24.9MIN
6POINTS
7 · 3 · 2-8
BELOW
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 15.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +34
- PRA
- 16
›2026-09-22
IND
AWAY
13.0MIN
9POINTS
2 · 0 · 4-6
BELOW
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 11
›2026-09-20
CON
AWAY
34.0MIN
23POINTS
6 · 1 · 9-16
ABOVE
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 63.2
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 30
›2026-09-18
NYL
HOME
32.3MIN
14POINTS
7 · 4 · 7-11
BELOW
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 61.2
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 25
›2026-08-30
ATL
AWAY
35.0MIN
17POINTS
7 · 2 · 5-15
ABOVE
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 48.2
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 26
›2026-08-24
GSV
HOME
31.7MIN
9POINTS
7 · 2 · 4-10
BELOW
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 18.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 18
›2026-08-19
GSV
AWAY
36.7MIN
18POINTS
8 · 0 · 5-12
ABOVE
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/8
- TS%
- 58.0
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 26
›2026-08-15
LVA
AWAY
25.1MIN
19POINTS
6 · 2 · 6-11
ABOVE
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 69.6
- USG%
- 26.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 27
›2026-08-12
POR
AWAY
32.6MIN
20POINTS
9 · 2 · 7-11
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/8
- TS%
- 71.0
- USG%
- 24.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 31
›2026-08-09
DAL
HOME
34.9MIN
17POINTS
8 · 3 · 7-10
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 85.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 28
›2026-08-08
LVA
HOME
34.7MIN
22POINTS
6 · 3 · 7-14
ABOVE
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 5-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 69.8
- USG%
- 24.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 31
›2026-08-06
LAS
HOME
33.5MIN
21POINTS
8 · 6 · 10-20
ABOVE
- FG
- 10-20
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 5/3
- TS%
- 52.5
- USG%
- 29.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 35
›2026-08-02
IND
HOME
31.5MIN
18POINTS
8 · 7 · 6-13
ABOVE
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 61.0
- USG%
- 21.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 33
›2026-07-30
TOR
AWAY
21.8MIN
16POINTS
5 · 2 · 7-12
BELOW
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 23
›2026-07-28
TOR
HOME
25.0MIN
15POINTS
6 · 3 · 6-13
BELOW
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 29.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 24
›2026-07-22
SEA
AWAY
22.2MIN
24POINTS
10 · 1 · 9-20
ABOVE
- FG
- 9-20
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 55.1
- USG%
- 43.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 35