DAL · PG · 2026 season

Paige Bueckers

42 games played · averaging 20.9 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line. 1 exhibition game excluded.

OVER 20.5 · POINTS · 2025–2026

HIT RATE47.4%37 of 78 games

INTERVAL36.7%–58.4%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+110at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+172if the rate is 36.7%

Paige has cleared 20.5 points in 47.4% of 78 games since 2025, and in 70.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +110 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-23

SEA

AWAY

29.7MIN

25POINTS

5 · 7 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 1-2
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 70.9
USG%: 29.3
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +19
PRA: 37

2026-09-21

PHO

AWAY

33.2MIN

30POINTS

5 · 7 · 12-22

ABOVE

FG: 12-22
3PT: 4-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 65.6
USG%: 31.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -1
PRA: 42

2026-09-19

PHO

HOME

31.5MIN

26POINTS

4 · 5 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 5-9
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 64.0
USG%: 32.8
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +7
PRA: 35

2026-09-17

LAS

HOME

25.6MIN

19POINTS

6 · 3 · 8-13

BELOW

FG: 8-13
3PT: 1-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 68.4
USG%: 28.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +6
PRA: 28

2026-08-30

CON

HOME

25.4MIN

15POINTS

2 · 6 · 6-13

BELOW

FG: 6-13
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 54.0
USG%: 27.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +27
PRA: 23

2026-08-25

POR

HOME

32.8MIN

22POINTS

4 · 11 · 8-15

ABOVE

FG: 8-15
3PT: 3-7
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 67.4
USG%: 24.4
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +26
PRA: 37

2026-08-23

SEA

HOME

26.2MIN

32POINTS

4 · 4 · 12-16

ABOVE

FG: 12-16
3PT: 6-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 94.8
USG%: 35.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +16
PRA: 40

2026-08-20

IND

HOME

34.7MIN

13POINTS

6 · 8 · 5-16

BELOW

FG: 5-16
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 36.6
USG%: 22.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -1
PRA: 27

2026-08-17

GSV

AWAY

33.5MIN

21POINTS

2 · 3 · 8-18

ABOVE

FG: 8-18
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 53.1
USG%: 39.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 7
PF: 4
+/−: -10
PRA: 26

2026-08-14

IND

AWAY

36.5MIN

29POINTS

6 · 6 · 11-21

ABOVE

FG: 11-21
3PT: 2-6
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 30.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 41

2026-08-12

TOR

HOME

34.5MIN

22POINTS

3 · 8 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 1-5
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 52.2
USG%: 28.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +1
PRA: 33

2026-08-09

MIN

AWAY

31.4MIN

23POINTS

4 · 8 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 72.4
USG%: 30.7
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 6
PF: 2
+/−: -14
PRA: 35

2026-08-07

GSV

HOME

28.9MIN

17POINTS

1 · 1 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 61.8
USG%: 23.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -19
PRA: 19

2026-08-05

WAS

AWAY

37.1MIN

17POINTS

5 · 4 · 6-15

BELOW

FG: 6-15
3PT: 3-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 53.5
USG%: 19.9
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 26

2026-08-02

CON

HOME

24.8MIN

6POINTS

3 · 4 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 18.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +21
PRA: 13

2026-07-31

WAS

AWAY

33.8MIN

23POINTS

5 · 2 · 9-18

ABOVE

FG: 9-18
3PT: 2-5
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 28.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -8
PRA: 30

2026-07-29

ATL

HOME

37.1MIN

16POINTS

4 · 6 · 6-11

BELOW

FG: 6-11
3PT: 1-5
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 60.6
USG%: 21.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 26

2026-07-22

POR

AWAY

37.3MIN

21POINTS

4 · 5 · 7-17

ABOVE

FG: 7-17
3PT: 4-7
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 54.7
USG%: 24.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 30

2026-07-19

LAS

HOME

32.0MIN

25POINTS

4 · 5 · 10-18

ABOVE

FG: 10-18
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 31.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 34

2026-07-12

CHI

HOME

36.0MIN

22POINTS

6 · 11 · 7-15

ABOVE

FG: 7-15
3PT: 1-3
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 59.4
USG%: 24.6
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +14
PRA: 39

2026-07-10

TOR

AWAY

37.8MIN

34POINTS

6 · 6 · 13-22

ABOVE

FG: 13-22
3PT: 2-5
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 69.0
USG%: 30.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 46

2026-07-07

NYL

AWAY

33.4MIN

15POINTS

7 · 6 · 5-15

BELOW

FG: 5-15
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 44.7
USG%: 23.6
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +15
PRA: 28

2026-07-05

TOR

AWAY

30.5MIN

22POINTS

3 · 7 · 9-16

ABOVE

FG: 9-16
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 63.5
USG%: 27.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +25
PRA: 32

2026-07-02

CON

AWAY

36.7MIN

25POINTS

7 · 7 · 9-14

ABOVE

FG: 9-14
3PT: 2-5
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 75.1
USG%: 25.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: +11
PRA: 39

2026-06-28

MIN

HOME

36.4MIN

25POINTS

3 · 4 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 25.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 32

2026-06-25

LVA

AWAY

36.7MIN

25POINTS

2 · 6 · 11-19

ABOVE

FG: 11-19
3PT: 0-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 26.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -12
PRA: 33

2026-06-22

SEA

AWAY

38.0MIN

27POINTS

5 · 5 · 12-23

ABOVE

FG: 12-23
3PT: 3-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 58.7
USG%: 29.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 37

2026-06-20

CHI

HOME

35.6MIN

19POINTS

7 · 8 · 7-16

BELOW

FG: 7-16
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 53.5
USG%: 23.3
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 34

2026-06-17

GSV

AWAY

35.9MIN

15POINTS

3 · 8 · 5-13

BELOW

FG: 5-13
3PT: 1-5
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.8
USG%: 23.6
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -8
PRA: 26

2026-06-15

LVA

HOME

24.2MIN

10POINTS

5 · 7 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 2-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 20.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +21
PRA: 22

2026-06-11

PHO

HOME

32.2MIN

31POINTS

6 · 5 · 14-20

ABOVE

FG: 14-20
3PT: 3-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 77.5
USG%: 30.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +18
PRA: 42

2026-06-09

MIN

AWAY

29.6MIN

23POINTS

1 · 2 · 9-16

ABOVE

FG: 9-16
3PT: 3-7
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 68.1
USG%: 31.7
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -16
PRA: 26

2026-06-05

LAS

AWAY

36.1MIN

18POINTS

3 · 14 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 1-4
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 19.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 35

2026-06-01

SEA

HOME

24.2MIN

10POINTS

9 · 7 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 1-5
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 38.8
USG%: 24.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +18
PRA: 26

2026-05-28

LVA

HOME

37.7MIN

20POINTS

3 · 6 · 8-18

BELOW

FG: 8-18
3PT: 2-6
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 51.8
USG%: 27.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 29

2026-05-24

NYL

AWAY

36.4MIN

24POINTS

6 · 2 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 2-4
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 2/4
TS%: 72.6
USG%: 23.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +8
PRA: 32

2026-05-22

ATL

AWAY

31.1MIN

7POINTS

1 · 7 · 3-13

BELOW

FG: 3-13
3PT: 1-6
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 25.2
USG%: 23.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -25
PRA: 15

2026-05-20

CHI

AWAY

32.6MIN

24POINTS

3 · 4 · 11-19

ABOVE

FG: 11-19
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 61.7
USG%: 30.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 31

2026-05-18

WAS

HOME

33.0MIN

18POINTS

3 · 7 · 7-12

BELOW

FG: 7-12
3PT: 4-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 18.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +21
PRA: 28

2026-05-14

MIN

HOME

31.4MIN

27POINTS

3 · 8 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 3-4
FT: 10-11
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 75.7
USG%: 30.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 38

2026-05-12

ATL

HOME

31.8MIN

15POINTS

2 · 3 · 5-12

BELOW

FG: 5-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 19.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 20

2026-05-09

IND

AWAY

32.5MIN

20POINTS

3 · 4 · 8-10

BELOW

FG: 8-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-6
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 79.1
USG%: 18.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 27

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