LAS · SF · 2026 season

Rae Burrell

43 games played · averaging 14.6 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 14.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE20.7%29 of 140 games

INTERVAL14.8%–28.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+382at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+574if the rate is 14.8%

Rae has cleared 14.5 points in 20.7% of 140 games since 2022, and in 70.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +382 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-24

GSV

HOME

33.7MIN

15POINTS

4 · 1 · 5-15

ABOVE

FG: 5-15
3PT: 4-6
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 48.6
USG%: 21.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -2
PRA: 20

2026-09-22

LVA

AWAY

28.6MIN

11POINTS

1 · 0 · 4-12

BELOW

FG: 4-12
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 41.3
USG%: 28.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 12

2026-09-20

POR

HOME

24.6MIN

20POINTS

2 · 2 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-3
FT: 8-9
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 83.6
USG%: 25.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +19
PRA: 24

2026-09-17

DAL

AWAY

24.3MIN

12POINTS

1 · 4 · 5-14

BELOW

FG: 5-14
3PT: 1-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 41.6
USG%: 27.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 17

2026-08-30

SEA

AWAY

27.7MIN

22POINTS

4 · 3 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 0-6
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 51.1
USG%: 38.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: +29
PRA: 29

2026-08-28

WAS

HOME

29.4MIN

15POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 58.2
USG%: 25.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +2
PRA: 21

2026-08-22

CON

HOME

30.1MIN

20POINTS

2 · 2 · 8-13

ABOVE

FG: 8-13
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 67.8
USG%: 27.6
STL: 3
BLK: 3
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +10
PRA: 24

2026-08-20

ATL

HOME

24.9MIN

12POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 1-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 51.0
USG%: 29.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: -23
PRA: 16

2026-08-18

CON

AWAY

29.8MIN

19POINTS

1 · 6 · 7-12

ABOVE

FG: 7-12
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 64.9
USG%: 26.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 26

2026-08-15

WAS

AWAY

34.1MIN

20POINTS

3 · 3 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 3-5
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 70.4
USG%: 23.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 26

2026-08-13

NYL

AWAY

33.3MIN

28POINTS

3 · 3 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 5-10
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 66.0
USG%: 34.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 4
PF: 0
+/−: +9
PRA: 34

2026-08-11

PHO

HOME

34.9MIN

19POINTS

3 · 6 · 6-21

ABOVE

FG: 6-21
3PT: 0-8
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 38.7
USG%: 29.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 28

2026-08-09

GSV

HOME

31.9MIN

9POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-7

BELOW

FG: 4-7
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 64.3
USG%: 13.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -5
PRA: 13

2026-08-06

MIN

AWAY

27.6MIN

17POINTS

2 · 2 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 3-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 22.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -11
PRA: 21

2026-08-05

CHI

AWAY

31.4MIN

13POINTS

2 · 5 · 4-8

BELOW

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 69.7
USG%: 17.3
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 20

2026-08-02

POR

AWAY

29.7MIN

12POINTS

2 · 4 · 3-8

BELOW

FG: 3-8
3PT: 2-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 16.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 18

2026-07-28

NYL

HOME

33.9MIN

24POINTS

3 · 3 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 4-8
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 70.6
USG%: 28.5
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 30

2026-07-22

PHO

HOME

33.6MIN

20POINTS

3 · 2 · 7-16

ABOVE

FG: 7-16
3PT: 3-7
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 54.9
USG%: 27.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: 0
PRA: 25

2026-07-19

DAL

AWAY

28.2MIN

9POINTS

2 · 3 · 4-6

BELOW

FG: 4-6
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 14.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 14

2026-07-17

CHI

AWAY

31.3MIN

9POINTS

1 · 5 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 0-1
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 48.9
USG%: 15.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -21
PRA: 15

2026-07-15

MIN

AWAY

33.1MIN

24POINTS

4 · 2 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 2-5
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 72.1
USG%: 26.3
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 30

2026-07-13

ATL

AWAY

32.8MIN

18POINTS

4 · 4 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 2-5
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 77.3
USG%: 18.1
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +6
PRA: 26

2026-07-10

CHI

HOME

33.1MIN

17POINTS

1 · 4 · 6-13

ABOVE

FG: 6-13
3PT: 4-6
FT: 1-3
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 59.4
USG%: 23.6
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 3
+/−: +12
PRA: 22

2026-07-08

IND

HOME

35.5MIN

22POINTS

3 · 3 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 2-3
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 67.4
USG%: 22.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 28

2026-07-06

SEA

HOME

24.6MIN

5POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-11

BELOW

FG: 2-11
3PT: 0-2
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 21.0
USG%: 28.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 1
+/−: -20
PRA: 6

2026-06-27

IND

AWAY

28.1MIN

11POINTS

2 · 1 · 4-15

BELOW

FG: 4-15
3PT: 0-3
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 32.8
USG%: 28.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -24
PRA: 14

2026-06-25

TOR

AWAY

29.3MIN

17POINTS

2 · 4 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-4
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 59.9
USG%: 21.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -24
PRA: 23

2026-06-21

NYL

HOME

25.9MIN

19POINTS

3 · 4 · 5-10

ABOVE

FG: 5-10
3PT: 2-4
FT: 7-7
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 72.6
USG%: 27.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -7
PRA: 26

2026-06-17

MIN

HOME

26.4MIN

19POINTS

0 · 3 · 6-10

ABOVE

FG: 6-10
3PT: 2-4
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 75.2
USG%: 24.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -6
PRA: 22

2026-06-15

GSV

AWAY

21.8MIN

13POINTS

1 · 1 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-1
FT: 9-10
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 52.4
USG%: 29.3
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -10
PRA: 15

2026-06-13

PHO

AWAY

26.8MIN

24POINTS

3 · 1 · 9-15

ABOVE

FG: 9-15
3PT: 2-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 71.6
USG%: 28.1
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 28

2026-06-10

SEA

AWAY

27.3MIN

4POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 10.6
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +4
PRA: 7

2026-06-07

POR

HOME

25.5MIN

10POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-11

BELOW

FG: 4-11
3PT: 2-6
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 45.5
USG%: 21.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +4
PRA: 14

2026-06-05

DAL

HOME

18.2MIN

3POINTS

2 · 4 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 25.5
USG%: 18.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2026-06-02

LVA

HOME

33.0MIN

22POINTS

1 · 1 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 2-4
FT: 4-6
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 66.1
USG%: 27.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: -7
PRA: 24

2026-05-30

CON

AWAY

27.0MIN

16POINTS

5 · 1 · 6-13

ABOVE

FG: 6-13
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 57.6
USG%: 25.2
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 22

2026-05-29

WAS

AWAY

32.0MIN

4POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 0-5
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 23.7
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: -5
PRA: 7

2026-05-23

LVA

AWAY

25.4MIN

10POINTS

2 · 2 · 3-7

BELOW

FG: 3-7
3PT: 2-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 63.5
USG%: 15.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -9
PRA: 14

2026-05-21

PHO

AWAY

21.6MIN

12POINTS

1 · 2 · 4-9

BELOW

FG: 4-9
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 60.7
USG%: 24.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 15

2026-05-17

TOR

HOME

18.0MIN

2POINTS

3 · 2 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 34.7
USG%: 9.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 6
+/−: -2
PRA: 7

2026-05-15

TOR

HOME

35.3MIN

13POINTS

5 · 2 · 5-6

BELOW

FG: 5-6
3PT: 2-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 94.5
USG%: 16.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: +10
PRA: 20

2026-05-13

IND

HOME

28.9MIN

10POINTS

1 · 1 · 4-10

BELOW

FG: 4-10
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 46.0
USG%: 18.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 12

2026-05-10

LVA

HOME

28.0MIN

5POINTS

3 · 1 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 41.7
USG%: 11.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -24
PRA: 9

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