DIME
Get the picksJoin
points estimatesat home

Aari McDonald against the New York Liberty

Averaged 9.1 points, 2.5 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 11 games against the New York Liberty.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
VS LIBERTY
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
9.1
10.6
−1.5
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.5
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
2.5
2.3
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
3.4
3.6
−0.3
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.9
1.2
−0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.7
1.2
−0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.1
0.1
0.0
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
2.0
2.1
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
14.9
16.5
−1.6
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
11.5
12.9
−1.4
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
12.5
14.3
−1.8
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.2
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
5.8
5.9
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.8
1.3
−0.4
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
field goals made
2.9
3.6
−0.6
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
9.0
8.4
+0.6
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.7
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
4.0
3.7
+0.3
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
2.4
2.3
+0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
2.6
2.7
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
NOT MEASURABLE
offensive rebounds
0.6
0.5
+0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
1.8
1.8
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
1.5
2.3
−0.8
gap is 2.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
usage 22.5 vs 21.5true shooting 42.4 vs 55.1minutes 24.2 vs 24.8

Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 99 other games since 2022-05-15.

02

The 11 games

points · her form 10.6 · hover a bar
2022-06-24— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Nothing in this split cleared the noise, so there is no difference to attribute to the opponent. The defensive profile is only worth reading beside a finding.

05

Game log

all 11 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 10.6
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
NYL
AWAY
14.3MIN
8POINTS
0 · 3 · 3-5
BELOW
FG
3-5
3PT
2-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
80.0
USG%
16.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
11
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
NYL
HOME
2.0MIN
0POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
23.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
2
2025-07-22
NYL
AWAY
31.3MIN
5POINTS
4 · 6 · 2-8
BELOW
FG
2-8
3PT
0-4
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
29.6
USG%
16.0
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
3
+/−
-4
PRA
15
2025-07-16
NYL
AWAY
28.5MIN
10POINTS
1 · 5 · 4-9
BELOW
FG
4-9
3PT
2-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
55.6
USG%
17.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-14
PRA
16
2024-06-22
NYL
AWAY
25.2MIN
2POINTS
5 · 4 · 0-8
BELOW
FG
0-8
3PT
0-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
3/2
TS%
11.3
USG%
21.1
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-11
PRA
11
2024-06-20
NYL
AWAY
28.6MIN
15POINTS
3 · 3 · 6-12
ABOVE
FG
6-12
3PT
1-4
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
58.2
USG%
24.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-23
PRA
21
2023-07-27
NYL
AWAY
27.9MIN
18POINTS
3 · 5 · 4-9
ABOVE
FG
4-9
3PT
3-8
FT
7-9
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
69.4
USG%
22.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+2
PRA
26
2022-08-14
NYL
AWAY
27.9MIN
11POINTS
1 · 4 · 4-16
ABOVE
FG
4-16
3PT
0-4
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
31.8
USG%
26.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-15
PRA
16
2022-08-12
NYL
HOME
30.5MIN
10POINTS
4 · 0 · 4-15
BELOW
FG
4-15
3PT
1-5
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
31.5
USG%
30.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
+1
PRA
14
2022-06-30
NYL
AWAY
15.8MIN
9POINTS
5 · 2 · 1-6
BELOW
FG
1-6
3PT
1-4
FT
6-6
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
52.1
USG%
30.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
+16
PRA
16
2022-06-24
NYL
HOME
34.0MIN
12POINTS
0 · 4 · 4-11
ABOVE
FG
4-11
3PT
0-2
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
47.0
USG%
18.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-6
PRA
16
every game on file — nothing hidden