Natasha Cloud over 16.5 points

She has cleared 16.5 in 42 of 199 games — 21.1%. That rate needs +373 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.

Tonight

THU · SEP 24

Out She is Out tonight (Left Knee). Every rate below comes from games she played — tonight starts with whether she plays.

CHI @ WAS7:30 PM ETnot in the projected lineup
OutAicha CoulibalyRight Knee
OutAzura StevensRight Knee
OutDiJonai CarringtonLeft Foot
OutSkylar DigginsRight Knee
WITHOUT COULIBALY12 games · 26.5 min · 10.8 points · 2/12 over 16.5with her (n=28): 28.9 min · 11.3 points · 18%with her →
WITHOUT STEVENS8 games · 28.9 min · 12.0 points · 1/8 over 16.5with her (n=32): 28.0 min · 10.9 points · 19%with her →
WITHOUT CARRINGTON29 games · 27.6 min · 9.9 points · 4/29 over 16.5with her (n=11): 29.7 min · 14.3 points · 27%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

199 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 157OVER · 42  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 16.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-095-game mean2026-09-17 · newest
03

Recent form

40.0%4/10 · last 10
2026-08-08 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-10 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-12 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-16 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-18 · 35 points · OVER
35
2026-08-21 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-23 · 16 points · UNDER
16
2026-08-25 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-29 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-09-17 · 2 points · UNDER
2

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.

05

Game log

25 of 199 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 16.5
2026-09-17
WAS
HOME
13.8MIN
2POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
6.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-15
PRA
5
2026-08-29
NYL
AWAY
20.8MIN
14POINTS
0 · 1 · 6-8
UNDER
FG
6-8
3PT
1-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
78.8
USG%
20.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-7
PRA
15
2026-08-25
CON
AWAY
15.9MIN
3POINTS
0 · 4 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
38.7
USG%
11.0
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-7
PRA
7
2026-08-23
IND
HOME
29.8MIN
16POINTS
4 · 7 · 7-9
UNDER
FG
7-9
3PT
0-0
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
81.0
USG%
20.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
-15
PRA
27
2026-08-21
GSV
HOME
36.3MIN
17POINTS
7 · 4 · 5-10
OVER
FG
5-10
3PT
5-5
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/7
TS%
78.1
USG%
20.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
28
2026-08-18
NYL
HOME
34.7MIN
35POINTS
9 · 6 · 13-21
OVER
FG
13-21
3PT
4-8
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
1/8
TS%
74.0
USG%
30.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
50
2026-08-16
SEA
AWAY
33.9MIN
20POINTS
8 · 3 · 5-12
OVER
FG
5-12
3PT
1-5
FT
9-9
OREB/DREB
0/8
TS%
62.7
USG%
22.7
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
31
2026-08-12
GSV
AWAY
31.1MIN
9POINTS
4 · 9 · 3-8
UNDER
FG
3-8
3PT
0-2
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
48.3
USG%
16.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
22
2026-08-10
SEA
AWAY
31.7MIN
7POINTS
2 · 8 · 3-5
UNDER
FG
3-5
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
59.5
USG%
11.3
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-3
PRA
17
2026-08-08
IND
HOME
26.7MIN
17POINTS
2 · 4 · 6-9
OVER
FG
6-9
3PT
1-4
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
79.0
USG%
21.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-5
PRA
23
2026-08-05
LAS
HOME
31.6MIN
15POINTS
5 · 9 · 6-10
UNDER
FG
6-10
3PT
2-5
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
71.8
USG%
16.8
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+9
PRA
29
2026-08-03
PHO
HOME
31.4MIN
13POINTS
5 · 7 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
1-5
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
66.6
USG%
14.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-14
PRA
25
2026-08-01
LVA
HOME
29.5MIN
11POINTS
1 · 4 · 4-7
UNDER
FG
4-7
3PT
2-3
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
73.9
USG%
12.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
+13
PRA
16
2026-07-30
CON
HOME
30.8MIN
11POINTS
0 · 5 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
0-1
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
59.0
USG%
16.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
16
2026-07-22
NYL
AWAY
32.0MIN
9POINTS
3 · 8 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
56.3
USG%
14.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+1
PRA
20
2026-07-19
ATL
AWAY
32.2MIN
7POINTS
2 · 4 · 3-7
UNDER
FG
3-7
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
12.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-5
PRA
13
2026-07-17
LAS
HOME
31.9MIN
15POINTS
6 · 9 · 5-10
UNDER
FG
5-10
3PT
3-6
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
68.9
USG%
14.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+11
PRA
30
2026-07-15
SEA
HOME
30.0MIN
13POINTS
2 · 6 · 3-5
UNDER
FG
3-5
3PT
2-3
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
85.1
USG%
16.3
STL
4
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
0
PRA
21
2026-07-12
DAL
AWAY
31.8MIN
15POINTS
2 · 3 · 5-8
UNDER
FG
5-8
3PT
0-2
FT
5-5
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
73.5
USG%
17.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-1
PRA
20
2026-07-10
LAS
AWAY
26.7MIN
9POINTS
2 · 7 · 2-11
UNDER
FG
2-11
3PT
1-5
FT
4-6
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
33.0
USG%
23.0
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
5
+/−
-16
PRA
18
2026-07-07
PHO
AWAY
32.0MIN
11POINTS
4 · 6 · 3-8
UNDER
FG
3-8
3PT
3-7
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
61.9
USG%
14.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
4
+/−
+8
PRA
21
2026-07-03
LVA
AWAY
34.4MIN
15POINTS
3 · 5 · 4-8
UNDER
FG
4-8
3PT
2-4
FT
5-6
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
70.5
USG%
17.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-2
PRA
23
2026-06-28
LVA
HOME
22.6MIN
6POINTS
2 · 4 · 2-4
UNDER
FG
2-4
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
61.5
USG%
12.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
-6
PRA
12
2026-06-26
POR
HOME
18.1MIN
2POINTS
1 · 4 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
11.9
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+12
PRA
7
2026-06-24
POR
HOME
20.7MIN
9POINTS
4 · 4 · 3-3
UNDER
FG
3-3
3PT
1-1
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
116.0
USG%
12.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
+26
PRA
17
showing 25 of 199 — every rate above is computed over all 199