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Stephanie Talbot against the Indiana Fever

Averaged 3.8 points, 2.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists in 13 games against the Indiana Fever.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Left Leg).

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -110 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 pointswith her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 pointswith her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
VS FEVER
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
3.8
4.5
−0.7
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.9
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 5.5 · over in 5 of 13 meetings
rebounds
2.4
2.9
−0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 3.5 · over in 3 of 13 meetings
assists
0.8
1.4
−0.6
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 1.5 · over in 2 of 13 meetings
threes
0.4
0.6
−0.2
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 0.5 · over in 5 of 13 meetings
steals
0.9
0.7
+0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
blocks
0.4
0.3
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
turnovers
0.8
0.9
−0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
pts+reb+ast
7.0
8.8
−1.8
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.1
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 10.5 · over in 5 of 13 meetings
pts+reb
6.2
7.4
−1.3
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.7
NOT MEASURABLE
Tonight's line 9.5 · over in 5 of 13 meetings
pts+ast
4.6
5.9
−1.3
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.4
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 7.5 · over in 5 of 13 meetings
reb+ast
3.2
4.3
−1.1
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
DIRECTIONAL
Tonight's line 4.5 · over in 4 of 13 meetings
steals+blocks
1.3
1.1
+0.3
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
field goals made
1.4
1.8
−0.4
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
field goal attempts
3.3
3.7
−0.4
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
three-point attempts
1.4
1.7
−0.3
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
free throws made
0.6
0.4
+0.2
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
free throw attempts
0.8
0.6
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
offensive rebounds
0.8
0.6
+0.2
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
defensive rebounds
1.5
2.3
−0.7
gap is 2.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
no line posted
fouls
1.6
1.4
+0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
no line posted
usage 13.7 vs 13.0true shooting 36.2 vs 55.0minutes 15.2 vs 17.6

Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 147 other games since 2022-05-14. Lines are tonight's most-posted line on each stat; the meetings above are context, not a pick.

02

The 13 games

points · her form 4.5 · hover a bar
2022-07-01— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Nothing in this split cleared the noise, so there is no difference to attribute to the opponent. The defensive profile is only worth reading beside a finding.

05

Game log

all 13 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
IND
AWAY
27.1MIN
9POINTS
5 · 1 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
65.4
USG%
15.4
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
-7
PRA
15
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
IND
HOME
28.4MIN
8POINTS
2 · 3 · 2-8
ABOVE
FG
2-8
3PT
1-2
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
41.0
USG%
15.5
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+5
PRA
13
2026-08-06
IND
AWAY
10.2MIN
4POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-4
BELOW
FG
2-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
6
2026-07-12
IND
HOME
12.9MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
3
2026-07-05
IND
HOME
16.9MIN
7POINTS
4 · 1 · 2-3
ABOVE
FG
2-3
3PT
1-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
90.2
USG%
11.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-9
PRA
12
2025-07-22
IND
HOME
3.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
33.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2025-06-19
IND
HOME
14.7MIN
0POINTS
3 · 0 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
9.2
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
3
2024-09-04
IND
AWAY
14.5MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
5.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
1
2024-05-28
IND
AWAY
10.2MIN
0POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
9.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+7
PRA
2
2024-05-24
IND
HOME
8.9MIN
0POINTS
2 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
5.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-5
PRA
2
2022-07-17
IND
HOME
16.5MIN
7POINTS
3 · 2 · 3-3
ABOVE
FG
3-3
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
116.7
USG%
7.8
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+13
PRA
12
2022-07-05
IND
AWAY
16.6MIN
9POINTS
4 · 0 · 4-6
ABOVE
FG
4-6
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
75.0
USG%
20.3
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
13
2022-07-01
IND
HOME
16.8MIN
5POINTS
2 · 1 · 1-7
ABOVE
FG
1-7
3PT
1-4
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
31.7
USG%
21.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-4
PRA
8
every game on file — nothing hidden