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Stephanie Talbot over 3.5 points

She has cleared 3.5 in 72 of 163 games — 44.2%. That rate needs +126 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Left Leg).

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -111 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 points · 16/33 over 3.5with her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 points · 43%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

163 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 91OVER · 72  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 3.5 · hover a bar
2026-06-25— 5-game mean2026-09-29 · newest
03

Recent form

70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-20 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-08-23 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-08-28 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-09-17 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-20 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-22 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-24 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-09-27 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-29 · 9 points · OVER
9

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.

05

Game log

25 of 163 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 3.5
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2
IND
AWAY
27.1MIN
9POINTS
5 · 1 · 4-6
OVER
FG
4-6
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
65.4
USG%
15.4
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
-7
PRA
15
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1
IND
HOME
28.4MIN
8POINTS
2 · 3 · 2-8
OVER
FG
2-8
3PT
1-2
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
41.0
USG%
15.5
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+5
PRA
13
2026-09-24
PHO
AWAY
30.7MIN
14POINTS
4 · 0 · 6-6
OVER
FG
6-6
3PT
1-1
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
108.7
USG%
9.2
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+17
PRA
18
2026-09-22
LAS
HOME
24.8MIN
14POINTS
3 · 0 · 6-8
OVER
FG
6-8
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
87.5
USG%
15.0
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+7
PRA
17
2026-09-20
SEA
HOME
16.3MIN
2POINTS
3 · 1 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
50.0
USG%
11.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
0
PRA
6
2026-09-17
SEA
AWAY
15.8MIN
8POINTS
3 · 5 · 3-4
OVER
FG
3-4
3PT
2-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
13.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+18
PRA
16
2026-08-28
TOR
HOME
25.2MIN
3POINTS
4 · 0 · 1-5
UNDER
FG
1-5
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
30.0
USG%
12.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
+19
PRA
7
2026-08-23
TOR
AWAY
16.3MIN
9POINTS
1 · 0 · 4-5
OVER
FG
4-5
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
90.0
USG%
17.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
10
2026-08-20
CON
HOME
25.4MIN
5POINTS
6 · 4 · 2-2
OVER
FG
2-2
3PT
0-0
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
102.5
USG%
4.0
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+24
PRA
15
2026-08-18
ATL
HOME
12.0MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-08-15
MIN
HOME
10.0MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
33.3
USG%
13.4
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
3
2026-08-13
WAS
HOME
16.0MIN
5POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-2
OVER
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
125.0
USG%
6.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+15
PRA
7
2026-08-11
WAS
HOME
7.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
UNDER
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
0
2026-08-09
NYL
AWAY
20.7MIN
4POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-3
OVER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
51.5
USG%
13.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-30
PRA
6
2026-08-08
MIN
AWAY
10.4MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
8.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
3
2026-08-06
IND
AWAY
10.2MIN
4POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-4
OVER
FG
2-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
6
2026-08-03
ATL
AWAY
7.5MIN
2POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-1
UNDER
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
18.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+3
PRA
3
2026-08-01
CHI
AWAY
7.3MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
11.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-1
PRA
4
2026-07-30
NYL
HOME
11.0MIN
6POINTS
1 · 2 · 2-3
OVER
FG
2-3
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
12.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
9
2026-07-28
POR
HOME
15.4MIN
2POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
9.7
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
3
2026-07-22
WAS
AWAY
8.8MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
UNDER
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
5.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
2
2026-07-20
TOR
AWAY
14.7MIN
4POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-8
OVER
FG
2-8
3PT
0-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
24.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
5
2026-07-12
IND
HOME
12.9MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
UNDER
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
3
2026-07-11
PHO
HOME
23.9MIN
2POINTS
7 · 2 · 1-4
UNDER
FG
1-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
4/3
TS%
25.0
USG%
9.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+21
PRA
11
2026-07-09
POR
AWAY
16.8MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-3
UNDER
FG
0-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-5
PRA
3
showing 25 of 163 — every rate above is computed over all 163