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Stephanie Talbot against the Phoenix Mercury

Averaged 4.0 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 15 games against the Phoenix Mercury.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Left Leg).

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -111 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 pointswith her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 pointswith her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
VS MERCURY
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
4.0
4.1
−0.1
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
3.1
2.8
+0.3
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
1.3
1.6
−0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.5
0.6
−0.1
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.5
0.7
−0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.4
0.2
+0.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
1.0
0.9
+0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
8.4
8.6
−0.2
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.8
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
7.1
6.9
+0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
5.3
5.8
−0.4
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
4.4
4.4
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.7
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.9
1.0
−0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
1.7
1.5
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
4.3
3.4
+0.9
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
DIRECTIONAL
three-point attempts
1.8
1.7
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.2
0.5
−0.3
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.2
0.8
−0.6
gap is 2.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
MEASURED
offensive rebounds
1.0
0.6
+0.4
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
2.1
2.2
−0.1
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
1.3
1.6
−0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
usage 14.0 vs 11.5true shooting 41.9 vs 44.5minutes 18.6 vs 16.5

Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 146 other games since 2022-05-14.

02

The 15 games

points · her form 4.1 · hover a bar
2022-05-11— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Nothing in this split cleared the noise, so there is no difference to attribute to the opponent. The defensive profile is only worth reading beside a finding.

05

Game log

all 15 · 1 playoff game, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.1
2026-09-24
PHO
AWAY
30.7MIN
14POINTS
4 · 0 · 6-6
ABOVE
FG
6-6
3PT
1-1
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
108.7
USG%
9.2
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+17
PRA
18
2026-07-11
PHO
HOME
23.9MIN
2POINTS
7 · 2 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
4/3
TS%
25.0
USG%
9.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+21
PRA
11
2026-06-17
PHO
AWAY
19.6MIN
3POINTS
2 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
75.0
USG%
4.6
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+1
PRA
6
2026-05-09
PHO
HOME
19.5MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-6
BELOW
FG
1-6
3PT
0-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
16.7
USG%
15.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-19
PRA
4
2025-09-17PLAYOFF R1 G2
PHO
HOME
8.6MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
5.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-1
PRA
0
2025-08-30
PHO
AWAY
7.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
1
2025-07-25
PHO
HOME
3.8MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
33.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
2
2025-06-05
PHO
AWAY
12.2MIN
2POINTS
3 · 3 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
33.3
USG%
21.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
1
+/−
+7
PRA
8
2024-09-17
PHO
HOME
19.0MIN
4POINTS
4 · 3 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
0-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
3/1
TS%
41.0
USG%
9.4
STL
0
BLK
3
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+4
PRA
11
2024-07-07
PHO
HOME
5.9MIN
2POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
14.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
4
2024-06-28
PHO
AWAY
34.5MIN
4POINTS
2 · 3 · 2-4
BELOW
FG
2-4
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
6.8
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-16
PRA
9
2024-06-02
PHO
AWAY
16.0MIN
5POINTS
3 · 1 · 2-4
ABOVE
FG
2-4
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
62.5
USG%
17.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
9
2022-07-22
PHO
AWAY
16.4MIN
5POINTS
0 · 1 · 2-7
ABOVE
FG
2-7
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
35.7
USG%
22.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-6
PRA
6
2022-05-14
PHO
HOME
38.2MIN
8POINTS
14 · 3 · 3-11
ABOVE
FG
3-11
3PT
2-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
6/8
TS%
36.4
USG%
14.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
25
2022-05-11
PHO
AWAY
22.6MIN
7POINTS
4 · 1 · 3-8
ABOVE
FG
3-8
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
43.8
USG%
17.1
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+1
PRA
12
every game on file — nothing hidden