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Stephanie Talbot against the Washington Mystics

Averaged 4.3 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists in 14 games against the Washington Mystics.

—

Tonight

THU · OCT 1

Questionable She is Questionable tonight (Left Leg).

IND @ LVA9:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutDana EvansRight Knee
2026 AT TONIGHT'S 5.5over in 13 of 47 games (28%)
PRICE THAT RATE NEEDSover +262 · best posted -111 · under -262 · best posted +104

Every game she played this season, tonight's excluded — no filter on her minutes.

GAMES SHE PLAYED 22+ MIN · 202611 games · 26.7 min · 7.7 points

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. These games were picked after the fact — by the minutes she ended up playing, which no projection can promise — so they keep her full nights and drop the ones cut short. Averages only; not a rate to read against a line or a price.

WITHOUT EVANS33 games · 19.1 min · 4.1 pointswith her (14 games): 14.4 min · 3.9 pointswith her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise
STAT
VS MYSTICS
FORM
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
4.3
3.8
+0.5
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.6
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
2.8
2.4
+0.4
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
1.8
1.5
+0.3
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.8
0.5
+0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.6
0.5
+0.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.2
0.3
−0.1
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
1.2
0.7
+0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb+ast
8.9
7.6
+1.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 4.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
7.1
6.2
+0.9
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.7
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
6.1
5.2
+0.8
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.1
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
4.6
3.9
+0.7
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.9
0.8
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
1.4
1.5
−0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
2.6
3.2
−0.5
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
1.6
1.5
+0.1
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.8
0.3
+0.4
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
1.4
0.5
+0.8
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
0.6
0.5
+0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
2.1
1.9
+0.3
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
1.3
1.3
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
usage 11.5 vs 12.4true shooting 60.6 vs 50.2minutes 15.0 vs 15.4

Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 146 other games since 2022-05-14.

02

The 14 games

points · her form 3.8 · hover a bar
2022-06-23— 5-game mean2026-08-13 · newest
03

Why — minutes or rate

no difference in this split is larger than the sample can resolve, so there is nothing to explain

04

The matchup

Nothing in this split cleared the noise, so there is no difference to attribute to the opponent. The defensive profile is only worth reading beside a finding.

05

Game log

all 14 · 2 playoff games, marked · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 3.8
2026-08-13
WAS
HOME
16.0MIN
5POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-2
ABOVE
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
125.0
USG%
6.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+15
PRA
7
2026-08-11
WAS
HOME
7.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
0
2026-07-22
WAS
AWAY
8.8MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
5.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
2
2025-09-09
WAS
HOME
2.5MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
0
2025-08-28
WAS
HOME
26.0MIN
11POINTS
7 · 6 · 3-4
ABOVE
FG
3-4
3PT
2-3
FT
3-5
OREB/DREB
1/6
TS%
88.7
USG%
16.7
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+19
PRA
24
2025-05-21
WAS
HOME
8.3MIN
1POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
17.4
USG%
19.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-6
PRA
2
2024-08-23
WAS
AWAY
27.2MIN
6POINTS
5 · 3 · 3-10
ABOVE
FG
3-10
3PT
0-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
30.0
USG%
23.6
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
6
PF
3
+/−
-4
PRA
14
2024-07-02
WAS
HOME
29.9MIN
17POINTS
8 · 3 · 4-8
ABOVE
FG
4-8
3PT
4-6
FT
5-8
OREB/DREB
2/6
TS%
73.8
USG%
22.1
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+4
PRA
28
2024-05-21
WAS
HOME
5.8MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-1
PRA
1
2022-08-21PLAYOFF R1 G2
WAS
HOME
19.6MIN
5POINTS
3 · 2 · 2-2
ABOVE
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
3/0
TS%
125.0
USG%
7.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+5
PRA
10
2022-08-18PLAYOFF R1 G1
WAS
HOME
7.0MIN
4POINTS
1 · 1 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
69.4
USG%
19.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-2
PRA
6
2022-07-31
WAS
AWAY
13.0MIN
3POINTS
3 · 2 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
8
2022-07-30
WAS
AWAY
21.9MIN
4POINTS
4 · 5 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
69.4
USG%
9.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
13
2022-06-23
WAS
HOME
16.3MIN
2POINTS
5 · 2 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
100.0
USG%
6.1
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-4
PRA
9
every game on file — nothing hidden