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pinn_devig
97–88 over 185 priced bets · +6.8u · ROI +3.7% -10.8% to +18.1% · CLV +9.23¢ +9.0% to +9.5%
Not yet separable from break-even — the ROI interval spans zero, so this record is consistent with a real edge AND with none.
THE PICKS · priced bets only, newest first
Every day, every game, every miss.
Day by day
these are the pinn_devig picks — the same set listed in the sheet below. The record in the header bar is a different formula, so the two totals will not match.
50–48 · 51% · −2.06u across these days · 3 voided, nothing staked
08/065–363%+2.21u3 games
LAS @ MIN1–2−0.91u
- Courtney Williams Over 12.5 PTS12 vs 12.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
- Rae Burrell Under 15.5 PTS17 vs 15.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
TOR @ POR1–0+1.04u
LVA @ IND3–1+2.08u
- A'ja Wilson Under 10.5 REB13 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
08/050–30%−3.00u2 games
LAS @ CHI0–2−2.00u
- Courtney Vandersloot Over 9.5 PTS9 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
- Natasha Cloud Under 5.5 AST9 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
SEA @ NYL0–1−1.00u
- Flau'jae Johnson Over 15.5 PTS11 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
08/041–0100%+0.74u1 game
TOR @ GSV1–0+0.74u
08/032–1 ·1 void67%+0.82u3 games
SEA @ NYL0–1−1.00u
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 5.5 AST5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
PHO @ CHI0–0 ·1 void0.00u
LVA @ ATL2–0+1.82u
08/021–614%−5.13u3 games
TOR @ GSV0–4−4.00u
- Julie Allemand Under 7.5 PTS11 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Isabelle Harrison Over 12.5 PTS4 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Julie Allemand Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
- Julie Allemand Under 6.5 PTS11 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
CON @ DAL0–2−2.00u
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 7.5 REB11 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Diamond Miller Under 9.5 PTS22 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
LAS @ POR1–0+0.87u
07/312–250%−0.27u2 games
SEA @ ATL1–1−0.21u
- Dominique Malonga Under 8.5 REB13 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
IND @ POR1–1−0.06u
- Monique Billings Under 5.5 REB7 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/302–167%+0.84u3 games
MIN @ TOR0–1−1.00u
- Maria Conde Over 10.5 PTS5 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
NYL @ LVA1–0+0.82u
CON @ CHI1–0+1.02u
07/291–233%−1.06u2 games
ATL @ DAL0–1−1.00u
- Brionna Jones Under 5.5 REB7 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
GSV @ PHO1–1−0.06u
- DeWanna Bonner Under 5.5 REB10 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/282–529%−3.40u3 games
IND @ SEA0–2−2.00u
- Kelsey Mitchell Under 21.5 PTS28 vs 21.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Aliyah Boston Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
TOR @ MIN0–2−2.00u
- Napheesa Collier Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Marina Mabrey Under 3.5 REB8 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
POR @ LVA2–1+0.60u
- Carla Leite Over 15.5 PTS11 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/226–275%+3.18u3 games
CHI @ NYL1–0+0.63u
PHO @ LAS2–1+0.93u
- Kahleah Copper Over 21.5 PTS21 vs 21.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
MIN @ SEA3–1+1.62u
- Napheesa Collier Under 14.5 PTS24 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/201–325%−2.09u2 games
NYL @ DAL1–2−1.09u
- Azzi Fudd Over 15.5 PTS15 vs 15.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
- Jessica Shepard Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upShepard exceeded the 5.5 assist line by one with 6 assists despite modest 15% usage, benefiting from 38 minutes of court time and likely serving as a secondary playmaker in a game where her team needed offensive distribution.
MIN @ SEA0–1−1.00u
- Natasha Howard Over 16.5 PTS6 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
07/182–167%+1.04u2 games
NYL @ IND1–1+0.04u
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 REB1 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
POR @ MIN1–0+1.00u
07/172–0100%+1.61u2 games
07/150–10%−1.00u1 game
SEA @ CHI0–1−1.00u
- Azura Stevens Under 13.5 PTS20 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStevens torched the under on 8-16 shooting (50% FG, 59% TS%) with extended run at 33 minutes, delivering 20 points on efficient volume that far exceeded the 13.5-point threshold despite moderate 25% usage. The over price of +106 punished bettors who followed the pre-game lean on what proved to be a hot-shooting, high-minute performance.
07/121–614%−5.26u2 games
IND @ LVA0–3−3.00u
- Jewell Loyd Over 9.5 PTS8 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd's 2-6 shooting (33% FG) fell short despite playing 28 minutes close to her season average, and her 0-3 three-point night combined with modest free-throw volume (4 attempts) limited her scoring to 8 points even with efficient conversion at the line.
- A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 PTS20 vs 25.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's 39% usage rate looked healthy, but poor efficiency—39.1% from the field and 42% true shooting—combined with limited free-throw volume (just 2 attempts) kept her well short of 25.5 despite playing 31 minutes.
- Jackie Young Over 4.5 REB1 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung finished with just 1 rebound despite 32 minutes of run, falling well short of the 4.5 line; she was scoreboard-focused (15 points on 70% TS) but pulled down boards at a season-low rate in a blowout loss (-17 +/-).
NYL @ TOR1–3−2.26u
- Julie Allemand Under 7.5 AST10 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAllemand exceeded the under by dishing 10 assists despite low scoring involvement (6% usage, 4 pts), operating as a pure facilitator for 34 minutes and running the offense rather than hunting shots. The high assist total came from consistent playmaking rather than any singular hot stretch, making the 7.5 threshold vulnerable to a floor-raiser's distribution role in a full game.
- Nyara Sabally Under 9.5 PTS13 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upSabally exceeded her L5 average by shooting a hot 5-9 from the field (56%), converting all three free throws, and maintaining efficient 63% true shooting over 26 minutes—a marked uptick from her pre-game scoring trend that made the under vulnerable despite her moderate 19% usage rate.
- Nyara Sabally Under 5.5 REB7 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upSabally logged 26 minutes—3 more than her season average—and converted 5 of 9 shots to stay engaged, finishing with 7 rebounds despite her recent L5 average of 4.0, the extra run and efficiency keeping her just above the number. The under was always vulnerable to modest volume increases given her per-minute rebounding rate; the modest minutes bump proved enough to break through.
07/113–260%+1.02u3 games
PHO @ LVA1–2−1.20u
- Jewell Loyd Over 9.5 PTS9 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd shot just 3-7 from the field (43% FG) and 2-6 from three despite healthy 28-minute run, falling one point short as cold shooting overcame a decent usage rate (14%) and efficient True Shooting (57%).
- Jackie Young Over 6.5 AST6 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upYoung fell one assist short despite solid court time (24 min) and positive plus-minus, hamstrung by anemic offensive output (3-9 FG, 16% usage) that limited her playmaking opportunities and forced her into a scoring-first role rather than her natural facilitator mode.
POR @ ATL1–0+0.90u
NYL @ MIN1–0+1.32u
07/100–20%−2.00u2 games
CHI @ LAS0–1−1.00u
- Erica Wheeler Under 5.5 AST8 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler exceeded her season L10 assist average (4.7) by operating as the primary ball-handler in a blowout win (+19), tallying 8 dimes across 28 minutes despite modest 18% usage. Her elevated assist total came from increased playmaking responsibility in a game flow that favored pace and spacing rather than the slower, isolation-heavy possessions that had limited her to sub-6 assist games in recent weeks.
DAL @ TOR0–1−1.00u
- Jessica Shepard Under 12.5 REB17 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upShepard's 17 rebounds crushed the 12.5 line despite her modest 19% usage, as she played all 40 minutes in a blowout (+13 rating) and dominated the glass on 7-of-9 shooting efficiency. Her last-10 average of 11.9 masked a rebound-heavy game script where limited offensive touches funneled her into crashing opportunities on both ends.
07/091–0100%+1.06u1 game
IND @ PHO1–0+1.06u
07/072–0100%+1.61u2 games
07/062–0100%+1.79u1 game
CON @ MIN2–0+1.79u
07/050–0 ·1 void—0.00u1 game
DAL @ TOR0–0 ·1 void0.00u
07/042–0100%+1.92u2 games
07/031–0100%+1.02u1 game
MIN @ NYL1–0+1.02u
06/302–340%−0.82u1 game
LVA @ NYL2–3−0.82u
- NaLyssa Smith Over 10.5 PTS9 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upSmith fell 1.5 points short despite solid 50% FG, held back by 5 fewer minutes than her season average (20 vs. 25.5) and reduced usage at 21%, limiting her scoring opportunities.
- Jewell Loyd Over 7.5 PTS5 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd shot just 2-9 from the field (22%) and 1-7 from three despite 32 minutes of playing time, combining poor efficiency (26% TS) with modest 13% usage to fall well short of 7.5 points. Her cold shooting night was the sole factor—three fouls and the game flow didn't significantly limit her opportunity, but her 22% FG% made hitting the over impossible.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 14.5 PTS26 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's 9-19 FG and 5-13 3PT shooting (47% from three) far exceeded her recent form, and at 33% usage she took enough volume to capitalize on her hot stroke despite playing only 31 minutes. Her last 10 games averaging 10.7 points proved misleading when she flipped the switch to 63% true shooting efficiency.
06/281–150%−0.15u1 game
POR @ WAS1–1−0.15u
- Megan Gustafson Under 13.5 PTS20 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGustafson torched the under by shooting 7-14 from the field (50%) with a perfect 4-7 from three, converting at 67% true shooting despite modest 17% usage, and played all 46 minutes without fouling out to accumulate 20 points.
06/274–180%+2.79u3 games
LAS @ IND2–1+0.67u
- Lexie Hull Under 4.5 REB7 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHull grabbed 7 rebounds in 22 minutes despite poor offensive efficiency (2-7 FG), nearly doubling her L5 average of 2.2 and far exceeding the 4.5 line—she was active on the glass early and maintained rebounding activity even as her scoring stalled.
PHO @ TOR1–0+0.88u
ATL @ SEA1–0+1.24u
06/261–150%−0.02u2 games
POR @ CHI0–1−1.00u
- Carla Leite Over 5.5 AST4 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberLeite fell short despite solid scoring (18 pts on 62% TS) because she logged only 23 minutes—below her 26.4-minute baseline—and recorded 4 turnovers, limiting her playmaking opportunities; Chicago's perimeter defense materialized as the predicted headwind, holding her to the under on a night where reduced floor time was the primary culprit.
ATL @ GSV1–0+0.98u
06/250–10%−1.00u1 game
LAS @ TOR0–1−1.00u
- Erica Wheeler Over 5.5 AST5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
06/243–0 ·1 void100%+2.51u3 games
06/230–10%−1.00u1 game
NYL @ LVA0–1−1.00u
- Jackie Young Under 6.5 AST7 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
Flat 1 unit per priced bet, settled at the price we posted. Voids are not bets — excluded from the record, the hit rate and the units. Open a day for the per-game split and why each loss lost.