priced_lineedges · WNBA

2026-08-09

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.

3320 · 62% · +9.04u across the last 1 days

08/09332062%+9.04u4 games
GSV @ LAS89−1.04u
  • Ariel Atkins Over 9.5 PTS9 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberAtkins fell one point short despite efficient shooting (3-5 FG, 2-4 3PT) and 30 minutes of play, ultimately limited by low usage at just 8% of possessions. Her 9 points came on minimal offensive touches rather than volume, leaving just enough room for the under to cash.
  • Dearica Hamby Over 13.5 PTS12 vs 13.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHamby fell one point short despite solid efficiency (5-8 FG, 64% TS) because her 26 minutes and 20% usage rate limited her volume—she needed just one more field goal or free throw to cash the over.
  • Erica Wheeler Over 5.5 AST4 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberWheeler fell one assist short despite solid scoring (15 pts on 62% TS in 28 min), as her 22% usage rate and four turnovers limited her playmaking opportunities on a night when she couldn't generate enough ball-handling volume to reach 6 dimes.
  • Dearica Hamby Over 12.5 PTS12 vs 12.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHamby fell one point short despite efficient shooting (64% TS on 20% usage), limited by 26 minutes of playing time that capped her scoring opportunities in a game where Las Vegas controlled pace.
  • Erica Wheeler Over 4.5 AST4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler fell one assist short despite solid offensive efficiency (62% TS), limited primarily by low usage (22%) and conservative ball distribution in a game that didn't demand high-volume playmaking.
  • Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanationBurrell saw 32 minutes and shot efficiently (4-7 FG), but operated on just 13% usage and recorded only 1 assist, indicating she was a complementary scorer rather than a facilitator in this game. The low assist total came despite solid playing time, suggesting the offense ran through other initiators.
PHO @ WAS86+0.41u
  • DeWanna Bonner Over 10.5 PTS10 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationBonner's efficient 4-6 shooting couldn't overcome her limited 19-minute workload and 14% usage rate, leaving her one point shy of the 10.5 line. The lopsided box score (-26 +/-) suggests a blowout game flow that restricted her offensive opportunities despite excellent efficiency.
  • Noemie Brochant Under 5.5 PTS13 vs 5.5no clean explanationBrochant went 5-for-7 from the field (71%) with three 3-pointers made in 21 minutes, converting at an elite 93% true shooting rate that far exceeded typical efficiency needed to clear 5.5 points. Her hot shooting—particularly from deep—generated 13 points despite modest usage, proving that volume wasn't required when accuracy was this high.
  • DeWanna Bonner Over 6.5 REB0 vs 6.5paid over the fair numberBonner was held scoreless on the glass despite 19 minutes of play, a surprising result for a forward typically involved in rebounding activity—she recorded zero boards on zero rebound attempts, making the over an impossible hit regardless of shooting efficiency.
  • Sonia Citron Under 16.5 PTS19 vs 16.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCitron torched the under on elite efficiency, shooting 7-9 from the field and 5-6 from three in 27 minutes to reach 19 points despite modest 17% usage. Her 106% true shooting percentage—fueled by perfect accuracy from deep—overcame her typical scoring volume to exceed the 16.5 threshold.
  • Cotie McMahon Over 3.5 REB0 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMcMahon's rebounding prowess vanished entirely despite 20 minutes and solid offensive efficiency (59% TS), finishing with a goose egg on the glass—likely a combination of limited offensive opportunity (28% usage) and defensive positioning that kept her away from the boards.
  • Kelsey Plum Over 17.5 PTS5 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upPlum was limited to just 14 minutes and shot 2-7 from the field (28.6%), falling 12.5 points short of the over as early foul trouble and inefficient shot selection kept her off the scoreboard. Her 33% usage rate and 34% true shooting percentage underscore a night where she couldn't get into rhythm, finishing with only 5 points in a game where she needed nearly four times that output.
DAL @ MIN83+3.93u
  • Natasha Howard Over 5.5 REB4 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward fell one rebound short despite solid efficiency (6-9 FG), limited by just 24 minutes of action and picking up 5 fouls that likely restricted her availability down the stretch.
  • Arike Ogunbowale Over 2.5 REB0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgunbowale logged 28 minutes but grabbed zero rebounds, a reflection of her limited role as a ball-handler (13% usage) in a blowout loss where she focused on facilitating (4 ast) rather than crashing the glass. Despite adequate playing time, her perimeter-oriented usage pattern and the game's lopsided nature left little opportunity for the rebounding volume needed to clear 2.5.
  • Arike Ogunbowale Over 15.5 PTS5 vs 15.5paid over the fair numberOgunbowale shot just 2-for-4 from the field despite playing 28 minutes, recording only 5 points on a 13% usage rate—well below her typical offensive role. A blowout loss (-26 +/-) likely limited her aggressive shot attempts in the second half.
LVA @ NYL92+5.74u
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 18.5 PTS5 vs 18.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu couldn't get into rhythm, shooting just 2-for-10 from the field (20%) and 1-for-6 from three despite 21 minutes of play, falling well short of the 18.5-point line. Her 25% true shooting percentage and 24% usage rate were both well below her season norms, indicating she struggled to generate scoring opportunities in an efficient manner.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationIonescu fell one rebound short despite playing 21 minutes, finishing with just 3 boards in an inefficient shooting night (2-10 FG, 25% TS) that limited her ability to stay on the floor or crash the glass aggressively.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.