← priced_lineedges · WNBA
2026-08-11
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.
19–15 · 56% · +0.46u across the last 1 days
08/1119–1556%+0.46u3 games
WAS @ LVA3–6−3.13u
- A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson dominated as a scorer (26 pts on 64% TS) and rebounder (13 boards) but operated almost entirely in isolation and pick-and-roll finishes rather than as a facilitator, finishing with just 2 assists despite 35 minutes and 35% usage. The high-volume scoring role left minimal opportunity for playmaking, especially with 5 turnovers suggesting ball-heavy possessions.
- Sonia Citron Over 3.5 AST2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCitron's playmaking dried up despite heavy scoring involvement—she recorded just 2 assists on 26% usage while turning the ball over 3 times, suggesting she was operating more as a scorer than a facilitator in this game.
- Lauren Betts Over 4.5 PTS4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
- Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 AST5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upGray fell one assist short despite heavy minutes (35), hampered by inefficient shooting (5-13 FG) that limited her ability to generate secondary offense and keep possessions alive.
- Jewell Loyd Over 1.5 REB0 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upLoyd drew 22 minutes but recorded zero rebounds despite playing significant role-player minutes, a rare occurrence likely driven by Seattle's perimeter-heavy offensive scheme and her positioning away from the glass on a night where the team controlled the boards elsewhere. The under cashed decisively as she failed to secure a single rebound across 22 minutes.
- Kiki Iriafen Under 9.5 REB13 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIriafen exceeded the under by grabbing 13 rebounds in 34 minutes, posting a season-high rebound total despite modest usage at just 20%—she simply dominated the glass on a per-minute basis with 3.8 boards per 36 minutes. The under missed because she stayed out of foul trouble (1 PF) and was given the green light to pursue boards in a close game (+2), translating to heavy crashing on both ends.
PHO @ LAS7–6−0.89u
- Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 REB4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upCopper grabbed one rebound above the line despite modest efficiency (7-16 FG), staying on the floor for 35 minutes and maintaining high usage (30%) that kept her in position for glass opportunities. The under missed by just one board—a thin margin that her extended playing time and volume made vulnerable.
- Natasha Mack Under 8.5 PTS9 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMack's perfect 4-for-4 shooting from the field, including a 1-for-1 from the line, powered her to 9 points in just 13 minutes, enough to narrowly clear the 8.5-point line despite limited usage. Her elite efficiency (101% TS) made up for the modest playing time and low volume.
- Ariel Atkins Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins fell one assist short despite playing heavy minutes (32), held back by poor offensive efficiency (2-7 FG, 10% usage) that limited her ability to generate ball movement and create plays for teammates. Her five personal fouls also may have constrained her aggressiveness on both ends.
- Erica Wheeler Over 8.5 PTS7 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler played 30 minutes but shot just 3-11 from the field (27%) with a brutal 1-7 from three, posting only 7 points on 19% usage—well short of the 8.5-point line. Her inefficient shooting night, particularly the cold three-point stroke, made it impossible to reach the over despite meaningful playing time.
- Erica Wheeler Over 9.5 PTS7 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler's poor 3-11 shooting (27%) and inability to get to the free-throw line (0-0 FT) left her two points short despite playing a full 30 minutes with steady usage. Her inefficient 32% true shooting capped her scoring well below the 9.5-point line.
- Erica Wheeler Over 10.5 PTS7 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler's poor shooting efficiency—just 3-11 FG (27%) and 1-7 from three—combined with modest usage at 19% to leave her well short, finishing with only 7 points despite playing 30 minutes. Her 32% true shooting was significantly below her typical output, indicating an off night rather than reduced playing time.
NYL @ IND9–3+4.48u
- Pauline Astier Over 6.5 PTS3 vs 6.5no clean explanation
- Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones fell one assist short despite efficient scoring (5-7 FG) because her 12% usage rate—the lowest on her team—limited ball-handling opportunities in a blowout loss where she focused on finishing rather than facilitating.
- Pauline Astier Over 7.5 PTS3 vs 7.5paid over the fair numberAstier shot 0-for-3 from the field and relied solely on free throws (3-4 FT) to reach just 3 points, well short of the 7.5 over in just 18 minutes of play. Her abysmal 14% usage rate and 32% true shooting efficiency indicate she was neither a focal point of the offense nor efficient when she did touch the ball.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.