← priced_lineedges · WNBA

2026-08-15

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.

11–15 · 42% · −7.46u across the last 1 days

08/1511–1542%−7.46u3 games
MIN @ LVA0–6−6.00u
  • Kayla McBride Over 15.5 PTS13 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride's 13 points fell just short despite efficient 79% true shooting, as she recorded only 13% usage—her lowest volume constraint of the season—limiting her scoring ceiling even with 33 minutes played. She connected on all five free throws but made just 3 of 6 field goals, needing one more bucket from the floor to clear the line.
  • Jackie Young Over 18.5 PTS8 vs 18.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's 8 points fell well short of 18.5 as she struggled significantly from the field, shooting just 3-11 (27%) and 2-7 from three despite logging 33 minutes—a clear case of poor efficiency rather than limited opportunity. Her 23% usage rate and 36% true shooting percentage indicate she was getting touches but couldn't convert, with nine turnovers further limiting her scoring impact.
  • Kayla McBride Under 2.5 REB3 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMcBride grabbed one more rebound than the line allowed, finishing with 3 boards in 33 minutes of extended playing time. Despite modest usage at 13%, she was on the floor long enough to pick up the extra rebound needed to push past 2.5.
  • Natasha Howard Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5no clean explanationHoward's usage rate of 17% limited her ball-handling opportunities despite playing 36 minutes; she recorded just 1 assist as a finisher rather than a facilitator in the offense.
  • Courtney Williams Over 3.5 AST1 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams generated heavy shot volume (14 FG attempts, 30% usage) but turned the ball over 4 times in 28 minutes, limiting her ability to facilitate and run the offense. She recorded just 1 assist despite the playing time, suggesting the team's offensive structure or her individual shot-first approach prioritized scoring over playmaking.
  • Jackie Young Over 17.5 PTS8 vs 17.5no clean explanationYoung shot just 3-11 (27% FG) and 2-7 (29% 3PT) despite playing 33 minutes, combining poor efficiency with a relatively low usage rate (23%) to fall 9.5 points short of the over.
LAS @ WAS7–6−1.09u
  • Dearica Hamby Over 13.5 PTS11 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHamby's inefficient 4-12 shooting night (33% FG) left her three points short despite logging 33 minutes; poor shot selection and execution rather than playing time limited her scoring upside.
  • Dearica Hamby Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHamby's inefficient 4-12 shooting (33% FG) and reliance on free throws (3-4 FT) left her four points short despite playing 33 minutes; her 24% usage rate and 40% true shooting percentage both ranked below her season averages, suggesting limited offensive rhythm.
  • Shakira Austin Over 17.5 PTS17 vs 17.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
  • Erica Wheeler Over 8.5 PTS6 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWheeler's efficient 75% TS masked a low-volume night: she attempted just 4 field goals in 23 minutes with 10% usage, leaving her 2.5 points short despite solid shooting splits. The lack of offensive opportunities—not poor efficiency—sank the over.
  • Shakira Austin Over 19.5 PTS17 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberAustin fell 2.5 points short despite solid efficiency (58% TS on 25% usage), as her 7-of-13 shooting simply didn't generate enough volume in 31 minutes to clear the 19.5 threshold. She'd need to have hit one additional shot—a realistic outcome given her 54% FG rate—to cash the over.
  • Ariel Atkins Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins fell one rebound short despite playing 30 minutes, hampered by an abysmal 0-7 shooting night and 16% usage rate that limited her opportunities to crash the glass or stay engaged in ball movement. Her historic shooting inefficiency (6% TS%) and three personal fouls likely kept her passive and limited her rebounding activity in what was otherwise available playing time.
NYL @ CON4–3−0.37u
  • Jonquel Jones Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones fell one assist short despite heavy volume (35 min, 28% usage, 23 pts on efficient 9-16 shooting), as her playmaking simply didn't materialize with only 2 dimes and 3 turnovers in a game where she was primarily a scorer rather than a facilitator.
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5no clean explanationLeger-Walker doubled the line with 14 points on efficient 3-point shooting (4-9 from deep), nearly doubling her season usage rate at 25% and playing a team-high 32 minutes in an extended role.
  • Marine Johannes Under 3.5 AST5 vs 3.5no clean explanation

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.