← priced_lineedges · WNBA
2026-08-16
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.
13–15 · 46% · −6.93u across the last 1 days
08/1613–1546%−6.93u3 games
IND @ ATL4–6−3.45u
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 25.5 PTS20 vs 25.5no clean explanationMitchell's 20 points fell short despite playing 36 minutes because she shot just 9-22 (41%) from the field and missed all her free-throw attempts, combining for a 46% true shooting percentage well below her typical efficiency.
- Makayla Timpson Under 6.5 REB7 vs 6.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upTimpson exceeded the 6.5 rebound line by grabbing 7 boards in 33 minutes of heavy usage, capitalizing on efficient scoring (9-13 FG) that kept her on the floor and involved in the offense. Her elevated minute total and 20% usage rate provided enough opportunities to push past the projected total despite modest assist numbers.
- Naz Hillmon Under 4.5 REB6 vs 4.5paid over the fair numberHillmon grabbed 6 rebounds despite shooting just 3-for-10 and logging 33 minutes, as her activity on the glass compensated for a quiet offensive night. The under missed because she stayed on the court and capitalized on available rebounding opportunities despite poor scoring efficiency.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 PTS20 vs 24.5shots didn't fall — the read held upMitchell's inefficient 9-22 shooting (41 FG%) and zero free-throw attempts left her 4.5 points short despite heavy minutes and usage, as she couldn't generate her typical scoring volume on a night when her shot wasn't falling.
- Allisha Gray Under 3.5 AST5 vs 3.5no clean explanationGray's ball-handling role expanded in the high-usage game (31% usage, 42 minutes), where she recorded 5 assists—exceeding the 3.5 line—while posting an efficient 11-24 shooting night that kept her on the floor throughout.
- Aliyah Boston Under 9.5 REB14 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBoston dominated the glass with 14 rebounds across 37 minutes, converting 6 of 6 free throws and staying out of foul trouble (2 PF), giving her the volume and opportunity to far exceed the 9.5 line. Her rebounding prowess was on full display despite modest 6-16 shooting, as she secured both ends of the floor and capitalized on extended floor time in a blowout (+13).
CHI @ SEA3–5−3.32u
- DiJonai Carrington Under 3.5 REB7 vs 3.5paid over the fair numberCarrington doubled the rebound projection by grabbing 7 boards in 14 minutes, nearly doubling her expected rate despite a poor 3-13 shooting night that kept her on the floor for limited opportunities. Her aggressive rebounding activity—accumulating boards at a 3.0-per-36 pace—overcame the under's assumption of more typical output.
- Jade Melbourne Under 2.5 REB5 vs 2.5no clean explanation
- Natasha Cloud Over 5.5 AST3 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCloud's assist total was capped by her ball-dominant scoring role (23% usage, 20 points on 12 FG attempts) and four turnovers in 34 minutes, leaving limited opportunity for playmaking despite solid efficiency. The over-reliance on her as a scorer rather than a facilitator kept her well short of the 5.5 assist line.
- Jade Melbourne Under 5.5 AST6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMelbourne pushed exactly one assist over the line despite inefficient scoring (4-13 FG, 38% TS) by logging 35 minutes and maintaining ball-movement responsibility in a game that stayed competitive enough to keep her facilitating throughout.
- Ezi Magbegor Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberMagbegor's playmaking dried up despite efficient scoring (7-12 FG), finishing with just 1 assist on 26% usage—she was primarily a scorer and rim-runner rather than a facilitator in this game, and 3 turnovers on minimal ball-handling volume further limited her assist opportunities.
POR @ PHO6–4−0.15u
- Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 REB7 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCopper nearly doubled the over/under by grabbing 7 rebounds in 36 minutes of heavy usage (20%), capitalizing on increased offensive opportunities and floor time that pushed her well past the 3.5 threshold.
- Sami Whitcomb Under 7.5 PTS11 vs 7.5paid over the fair numberWhitcomb's 4-for-4 free throw shooting—unusual efficiency from the line—combined with 26 minutes of playing time pushed her past the under despite shooting just 30% from the field, as the four made free throws accounted for over one-third of her scoring.
- Sami Whitcomb Under 6.5 PTS11 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWhitcomb's 4-for-4 free-throw shooting padded her total despite poor field-goal efficiency (3-10 FG, 1-8 3PT), and she logged 26 minutes with elevated usage at 22%, enough to exceed the 6.5-point line despite connecting on just 30% of her shots from the floor.
- Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberCopper's assist total couldn't reach 2 despite 36 minutes of play because she operated primarily as a scorer (20% usage) rather than a facilitator, finishing with just 1 assist on a high-volume scoring night (6-14 FG, 19 pts).
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.