← priced_lineedges · WNBA
2026-09-20
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.
20–13 · 61% · +1.92u across the last 1 days
09/2020–1361%+1.92u5 games
POR @ LAS0–2−2.00u
- Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBurrell fell one assist short despite an efficient 25 minutes and elite scoring (20 pts on 84% TS), as her shot-heavy usage (25%) left little margin for playmaking duties. With only 2 turnovers and minimal ball-handling responsibilities in the flow of the offense, she simply didn't generate enough assist opportunities to clear the 2.5 line.
- Ariel Atkins Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAtkins was remarkably efficient, converting 5 of 7 from the field (71%) with perfect 3-for-3 free-throw shooting to nearly double the betting line despite playing just 20 minutes. Her elite 84% true shooting and hot hand from the floor—particularly from inside the arc—overcame the limited minutes that would typically support an under bet.
WAS @ IND6–5−0.71u
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 25.5 PTS22 vs 25.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMitchell fell just short despite heavy minutes (35) and usage (29%), hampered by poor shooting efficiency—she connected on just 8-of-20 FG (40%) and 3-of-10 from three, leaving her three points shy of the line.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 1.5 REB0 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberMitchell played 35 minutes and took 20 shots but failed to grab a single rebound despite 29% usage, unable to convert her offensive opportunities into board work. Her scoring volume masked a complete absence of rebounding activity—a rare outcome for a guard in heavy rotation that left the over vulnerable.
- Shakira Austin Under 9.5 REB10 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upAustin grabbed one board over the line, finishing with 10 rebounds on 26 minutes of play while drawing only 3 fouls—enough activity to stay on the court and collect boards at a modest rate that pushed her just past the 9.5 threshold.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 PTS22 vs 24.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upMitchell fell two points short despite playing 35 minutes, hampered by inefficient shooting (8-20 FG, 3-10 3PT) that yielded just 52% true shooting—well below her typical efficiency needed to clear 24.5 points.
- Cotie McMahon Over 1.5 REB0 vs 1.5game script — blowout or foul troubleMcMahon's limited 9-minute role—likely due to early foul trouble (2 PF)—left her with insufficient opportunities to reach the rebound threshold, finishing scoreless on the glass despite solid efficiency in her limited touches.
SEA @ LVA6–4+0.58u
- Chelsea Gray Under 11.5 PTS15 vs 11.5paid over the fair numberGray's efficient 70% true shooting—fueled by a perfect 5-for-6 night from the free-throw line—pushed her past the 11.5 threshold despite modest volume (4-8 FG, 20% usage), as her ball-handling and interior activity generated enough free throws to compensate for limited field-goal attempts.
- A'ja Wilson Under 27.5 PTS30 vs 27.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationWilson's elite efficiency at the line (16-18 FT) and high usage rate (34%) carried her past 27.5 despite modest field-goal shooting (7-13 FG), as Las Vegas leaned heavily on her in a blowout win (+24).
- Flau'jae Johnson Under 4.5 REB6 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohnson grabbed two more rebounds than the line anticipated, finishing with 6 boards on 32 minutes of heavy usage (33%) in a game where she was heavily involved on both ends of the floor.
- Natisha Hiedeman Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanation
MIN @ CON3–1+1.65u
- Saniya Rivers Over 7.5 PTS0 vs 7.5game script — blowout or foul troubleRivers saw just 5 minutes of action with zero shot attempts, indicating she was a healthy scratch or buried on the bench, making any scoring prop untenable. With no field goal opportunities in limited minutes, the over 7.5 was never in play.
NYL @ TOR5–1+2.40u
- Marine Johannes Under 6.5 PTS9 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohannes exceeded the line by shooting 3-for-8 from three, converting at 37.5% from deep to reach 9 points in 18 minutes—enough volume in limited time to clear the 6.5-point threshold despite modest overall efficiency.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.