← priced_lineedges · WNBA

2026-09-21

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.

10–12 · 45% · −5.02u across the last 1 days

09/2110–1245%−5.02u2 games
ATL @ NYL6–12−7.71u
  • Breanna Stewart Under 9.5 REB14 vs 9.5no clean explanation
  • Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 REB14 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStewart dominated the glass with 14 rebounds on 37 minutes and 31% usage, nearly doubling the 8.5 line as the team's primary frontcourt presence in a low-scoring affair where boards were heavily contested.
  • Leonie Fiebich Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upFiebich played 32 minutes but finished with just 2 rebounds, one short of the line, due to minimal offensive involvement (5% usage, 0-3 from the field) that limited her opportunities to crash the glass in a game where she was ineffective on the perimeter.
  • Pauline Astier Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberAstier exceeded the 3.5 assist line by hitting exactly 4 dimes in 30 minutes of play, benefiting from efficient offensive execution (76% TS%) that likely created more ball-movement opportunities despite her modest 15% usage rate.
  • Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones exceeded the assist line by distributing the ball from the post in 35 minutes of heavy usage (22%), recording 4 dimes while dominating the glass with 12 rebounds. Her elevated role as a facilitator—typical for a big handling the ball in the mid-post—pushed her playmaking volume just beyond the low 2.5 threshold.
  • Allisha Gray Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's usage rate sat at just 16%, well below what's needed to generate assist opportunities, and she recorded only 1 dime despite playing 32 minutes—a clear indicator the offense ran through other creators rather than her facilitating. She compensated with efficient scoring (5-8 FG), but low volume and assist distribution prevented her from reaching the 2.5 assists threshold.
DAL @ PHO4–0+2.69u

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.