← priced_lineedges · WNBA
2026-09-22
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.
19–20 · 49% · −5.79u across the last 1 days
09/2219–2049%−5.79u5 games
LAS @ LVA0–5−5.00u
- Rae Burrell Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5paid over the fair numberBurrell's playmaking disappeared despite 29 minutes and solid usage; she recorded zero assists while turning the ball over four times, suggesting poor decision-making and an inability to create for teammates in a low-efficiency outing (41% TS).
- Jackie Young Under 4.5 REB5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's heavy 34-minute workload and 27% usage rate—playing nearly the full game as the primary ball-handler—gave her enough opportunities to grab 5 boards despite shooting just 6-16 from the field, pushing past the 4.5 rebound line.
- Rae Burrell Over 15.5 PTS11 vs 15.5paid over the fair numberBurrell's inefficient 4-12 shooting (33% FG) and 0-2 from three combined with modest free-throw volume (3 attempts) left her 4.5 points shy despite 29 minutes of play. Her 29% usage rate proved insufficient to generate the scoring volume needed to clear the 15.5-point threshold.
- Chelsea Gray Under 11.5 PTS17 vs 11.5paid over the fair numberGray torched the under on an efficient 7-12 shooting night (58% FG) with extended 33-minute run, nearly doubling the 11.5-point line at 17 points. Her 68% true shooting and zero fouls allowed her to stay on court and capitalize on a high-volume opportunity despite modest 21% usage.
- Rae Burrell Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5paid over the fair numberBurrell's inefficient 4-12 shooting (33% FG) despite solid court time (29 min) left her three points shy, compounded by a scoreless night from three-point range on two attempts.
CON @ WAS2–4−2.51u
- Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberLeger-Walker came up one assist short despite playing 30 minutes, held back by low offensive involvement at just 14% usage and a 3-8 shooting night that limited her ability to create offense. She finished with exactly 3 dimes, falling one short of the over due to her reduced playmaking opportunities in a blowout loss.
- Kiki Iriafen Over 9.5 REB5 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIriafen fell well short with just 5 rebounds due to a combination of limited minutes (18) and early foul trouble (5 PF), which restricted her ability to crash the glass and accumulate the volume needed to clear 9.5.
- Sonia Citron Over 4.5 AST3 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCitron fell just short at 3 assists despite playing 30 minutes; she operated with only 19% usage and didn't generate enough offensive opportunities to reach 5 dimes, relying heavily on her scoring (6-6 FT) rather than playmaking.
- Aaliyah Edwards Over 9.5 PTS8 vs 9.5no clean explanationEdwards' historically poor shooting night—just 4-for-14 (29% TS)—kept her a point short despite healthy 27 minutes and 13 rebounds; she couldn't convert enough looks to reach double figures.
GSV @ POR3–4−1.88u
- Kayla Thornton Under 3.5 REB7 vs 3.5paid over the fair numberThornton nearly doubled the over/under by grabbing 7 boards in 26 minutes, benefiting from elevated opportunity on a night when her team needed rebounding help and she drew only 2 fouls despite heavy box-out work.
- Kayla Thornton Under 9.5 PTS11 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThornton's efficient 62% true shooting on 20% usage was enough to clear the 9.5-point line, converting 4-of-8 from the field and both her three-point attempts in 26 minutes despite modest volume.
- Kayla Thornton Under 8.5 PTS11 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThornton exceeded the under despite modest volume, converting 4-of-8 from the field (50%) and 2-of-4 from three (50%) on 26 minutes to reach 11 points, as efficient shooting made up for her low usage rate of just 20%.
- Kayla Thornton Under 4.5 REB7 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThornton grabbed 7 rebounds in 26 minutes, exceeding the 4.5 line by collecting 3 extra boards despite modest usage (20%) and shooting efficiency (62% TS%), likely benefiting from active interior presence and limited competition for available rebounds.
TOR @ CHI3–2+0.44u
- Sydney Taylor Under 15.5 PTS18 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upTaylor exceeded the under with efficient shooting, going 5-12 from the field (42%) with a perfect 5-5 from free throw while maintaining 31% usage over 24 minutes. Her 63% true shooting and aggressive free throw attempts (5 attempts) proved the scoring floor was higher than the 15.5-point line anticipated.
- Kiki Rice Over 13.5 PTS9 vs 13.5no clean explanationRice's inefficient 4-11 shooting (36% FG) and lack of free-throw attempts (0-0 FT) left her 4.5 points short despite playing 30 minutes with solid usage; her poor 41% true shooting prevented her from reaching 13.5 even with meaningful playing time.
MIN @ IND11–5+3.16u
- Natasha Howard Over 11.5 PTS6 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward played just 12 minutes and shot 2-for-5 from the field, combining for only 6 points well short of the 11.5 target; limited run and inefficient scoring made the over impossible to hit.
- Natasha Howard Over 10.5 PTS6 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward played just 12 minutes and shot 2-for-5 from the field, limiting her to 6 points well short of the 10.5 line; the minimal playing time and modest usage rate (27%) prevented her from accumulating scoring opportunities.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 PTS20 vs 24.5no clean explanationMitchell fell short of 24.5 despite efficient shooting (64% TS) because she logged only 27 minutes and generated just 26% usage, limiting her volume—she needed roughly 3 more points from her 13 field-goal attempts to clear the line.
- Natasha Howard Over 9.5 PTS6 vs 9.5no clean explanationHoward logged just 12 minutes and converted only 2 of 5 field-goal attempts (40% FG), falling 3.5 points short of the over despite a decent efficiency rate; limited playing time was the primary constraint, as she couldn't generate enough volume to reach double figures.
- Sophie Cunningham Under 6.5 PTS11 vs 6.5no clean explanationCunningham torched the under with efficient scoring, going 4-7 from the field (57%) including 3-6 from three, nearly doubling the 6.5-point line despite limited 12% usage—her hot shooting and full 29 minutes of run were the difference.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.