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← priced_lineedges · WNBA

2026-09-27

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.

153–63 · 71% · −10.71u across the last 1 days

09/27153–6371%−10.71u4 games

permalink to 2026-09-27 →

WAS @ ATL48–21−8.15u
  • Angel Reese Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upReese recorded just 1 assist despite 30 minutes played, as her offensive role centered on scoring and rebounding (13 points, 12 rebounds) rather than facilitating—she turned the ball over only once but generated minimal playmaking opportunities in Chicago's balanced attack.
  • Naz Hillmon Over 6.5 PTS4 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon's 20 minutes and 8% usage were both well below her typical workload, limiting her to just 2 made field goals despite solid efficiency, and she didn't attempt a free throw to compensate.
  • Naz Hillmon Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon fell one rebound short despite playing 20 minutes, held back by minimal usage (8%) and a box-out role that limited her opportunities on the glass in a game without significant volume demands.
  • Lauren Betts Over 5.5 PTS2 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBetts went 1-for-4 from the field with a 25% true shooting percentage, well below the scoring efficiency needed to hit 5.5 points in 23 minutes of play. Her 11% usage rate and shooting struggles—missing 3-of-4 attempts—left her well short of the projection.
  • Michaela Onyenwere Under 2.5 REB4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOnyenwere grabbed 4 rebounds in 26 minutes despite shooting just 3-9 from the field, as she stayed active on the glass even when her offensive touches weren't falling. The under missed because she reached the mark through volume availability rather than efficiency—she logged solid floor time and pulled down boards at a reasonable rate despite the poor shooting night.
  • Allisha Gray Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray was a pure scorer tonight, posting 22 points on efficient shooting (60% TS) but recorded zero assists despite 35 minutes of play—she operated almost exclusively as a volume scorer rather than a facilitator, with her 23% usage channeled entirely into shot attempts rather than playmaking.
IND @ LVA25–13−7.19u
  • Makayla Timpson Over 6.5 PTS2 vs 6.5paid over the fair numberTimpson's 25 minutes of playing time couldn't overcome ice-cold shooting—she went 1-for-4 from the field (25% TS) with no free-throw attempts, leaving her well short of the 6.5-point line despite solid rebound production.
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 14.5 PTS12 vs 14.5no clean explanationMitchell's ice-cold 4-16 shooting (25% FG) and 1-6 from three left her two points short despite playing the full 30 minutes; poor shot selection and execution rather than opportunity cost her the over.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's historic scoring efficiency (15-19 FG, 86% TS) made her the focal point of the offense, but her high usage rate (32%) and dominant post presence left little opportunity for playmaking—she recorded just 2 assists despite 35 minutes of elite individual scoring.
  • A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 REB16 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's elite efficiency (15-19 FG, 86% TS) kept her on the floor for all 35 minutes, and her 32% usage rate generated enough possessions to rack up 16 boards—well above the 9.5 line despite only fouling three times in a blowout win.
  • Sophie Cunningham Under 7.5 PTS13 vs 7.5no clean explanationCunningham's perfect 4-4 free-throw shooting and 50% three-point efficiency (3-6) pushed her to 13 points despite modest volume, nearly doubling the under as she converted at an elite 84% true shooting clip in 29 minutes.
  • Sophie Cunningham Under 8.5 PTS13 vs 8.5no clean explanationCunningham's perfect 4-for-4 from the free-throw line and efficient 3-for-6 three-point shooting (50%) pushed her well over the 8.5-point line despite modest usage, as she converted at an 84% true-shooting rate in 29 minutes.
DAL @ GSV47–18+0.46u
  • Aziaha James Over 1.5 REB0 vs 1.5no clean explanationJames played only 13 minutes and failed to crash the boards at all, finishing with zero rebounds despite her 30% usage rate—a rare complete absence from the glass that sank the over.
  • Janelle Salaun Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5no clean explanationSalaun fell one rebound short despite playing 21 minutes, finishing with just 2 boards while posting a dismal 13% usage rate and shooting 1-for-6 from the field. Her minimal offensive involvement limited her opportunities to crash the glass, and the blowout margin (+7 despite poor efficiency) likely reduced her rebounding opportunities in a game flow that didn't demand her presence down the stretch.
  • Janelle Salaun Over 4.5 PTS3 vs 4.5no clean explanationSalaun's 1-6 shooting night (16.7% FG) left her well short despite 21 minutes of action; poor shot selection and execution—particularly 1-4 from three—prevented her from reaching the 5-point threshold needed to cash the over.
  • Awak Kuier Over 5.5 REB4 vs 5.5paid over the fair numberKuier fell one rebound short despite playing 20 minutes, hampered by poor offensive efficiency (1-5 FG) that limited her involvement and kept her off the glass in a lopsided game where she finished -25. Her 15% usage rate indicates minimal touches and opportunities to crash the boards.
  • Janelle Salaun Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upSalaun grabbed just 2 rebounds in 21 minutes despite decent playing time, falling 2 short of the 3.5 line—her limited opportunities on the glass were compounded by inefficient offensive play (1-6 FG) that kept her out of rhythm and reduced her involvement in hustle situations.
  • Arike Ogunbowale Over 13.5 PTS10 vs 13.5paid over the fair numberOgunbowale shot just 2-7 from the field despite playing 26 minutes, and while she converted all six free throws, the inefficient field-goal performance (28.6% FG) left her three points short of the over. Her 21% usage rate and modest 52% true shooting capped her scoring ceiling in a game where Dallas fell into a blowout (-31 +/-).
NYL @ MIN33–11+4.17u
  • Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 PTS34 vs 22.5paid over the fair numberStewart torched the under with elite efficiency, shooting 11-18 from the field and 10-12 from the stripe for a 73% true shooting rate while logging a game-high 38 minutes in a blowout. Her 34% usage rate and near-perfect free-throw shooting (83%) transformed what looked like a modest scoring line into a 34-point performance.
  • Napheesa Collier Over 5.5 REB5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationCollier fell just short with 5 rebounds despite 33 minutes of play, held back by the Lynx's offensive struggles (43% TS) that limited second-chance opportunities and kept the game's pace subdued. She also picked up 5 fouls, which may have caused her to play more cautiously down the stretch when rebounds were needed most.
  • Breanna Stewart Under 9.5 REB12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStewart dominated the glass with 12 rebounds across 38 minutes of heavy usage (34%), converting at an elite 73% TS and staying out of foul trouble (3 PF), far exceeding the 9.5 threshold.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 REB0 vs 2.5no clean explanationIonescu drew just 28 minutes and despite solid playmaking (6 ast), completely whiffed on the glass with zero rebounds in a game where she didn't crash the boards—a stark departure from the rebounding activity needed to hit 2.5. Limited minutes and zero offensive rebounding activity made the over an uphill climb from the start.
  • Olivia Miles Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5no clean explanationMiles shot just 3-12 from the field (25% FG) despite playing 30 minutes, and her 40% true shooting—well below her season average—left her 3.5 points short of the over.
  • Olivia Miles Over 11.5 PTS11 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationMiles fell just short on an inefficient night, shooting 3-12 from the field (25% FG) despite playing 30 minutes with solid usage at 27%. Her reliance on free throws (4-4) couldn't compensate for a cold shooting performance that limited her to 11 points.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.