← priced_lineedges · WNBA
2026-09-29
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges.
72–31 · 70% · −6.01u across the last 1 days
09/2972–3170%−6.01u2 games
MIN @ NYL37–23−8.88u
- Olivia Miles Over 12.5 PTS5 vs 12.5no clean explanationMiles shot just 1-for-8 from the field (12.5% FG) in 17 minutes, unable to find rhythm early and finishing with only 5 points despite 28% usage. Foul trouble (3 PF) limited her availability to make an impact in what became a lopsided game.
- Olivia Miles Over 9.5 PTS5 vs 9.5no clean explanationMiles shot 1-for-8 from the field (12.5%) despite 28% usage, a historically cold night that made reaching double figures impossible even with her 17 minutes played.
- Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upFiebich fell one rebound short despite playing 29 minutes, held back by a low usage rate (9%) that limited her opportunities to crash the glass and compete for boards.
- Courtney Williams Under 4.5 REB8 vs 4.5paid over the fair numberWilliams nearly doubled the projected total, grabbing 8 rebounds across 38 minutes of heavy involvement while posting a 24% usage rate that kept her in rebounding position throughout the game. The under missed decisively due to her elevated floor time and offensive workload creating consistent opportunities on the glass despite modest scoring efficiency.
- Courtney Williams Under 12.5 PTS18 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams exceeded the under by shooting 8-of-17 from the field (47%) and playing all 38 minutes, generating 24% usage in a game where she stayed out of foul trouble with just 3 PF. Her efficient scoring night on high volume and heavy minutes availability was the key driver in surpassing 12.5 points.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 15.5 PTS18 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu exceeded the under on efficient shooting, going 7-15 from the field (47%) with 4 made threes despite modest usage, and played all 33 available minutes without foul trouble to compile her 18 points. Her 60% true shooting and elevated three-point volume (10 attempts) proved enough to clear 15.5 in a blowout where New York's +15 margin allowed her to stay on the floor.
LVA @ IND35–8+2.88u
- A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's assist total fell short despite heavy offensive usage (29%), as she took 16 shot attempts and 13 free throws, leaving limited ball-movement opportunities in a game where Las Vegas struggled overall (-16 rating). Four turnovers and a shoot-first role in a competitive contest limited her playmaking ceiling.
- A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 PTS22 vs 24.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationWilson shot just 5-11 from the field despite playing 34 minutes and maintaining high usage at 29%, falling 2.5 points short as her 45% FG% couldn't overcome the modest volume. Her strong 12-13 free throw shooting kept her close, but the field-goal inefficiency—particularly the 0-1 from three—prevented her from clearing the modest 24.5 threshold.
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 1.5 AST0 vs 1.5no clean explanationMitchell put up 26 points on high volume (34 min, 26% usage) but operated almost entirely as a scorer rather than a facilitator, recording zero assists despite significant playing time—a stark departure from assist expectations for a primary ball-handler in a tight game (+3 margin).
- Chelsea Gray Over 2.5 REB1 vs 2.5no clean explanationGray played 37 minutes but pulled down just 1 rebound, well below the 2.5 line, as she operated primarily in a facilitator role (7 assists) rather than attacking the glass or the paint on a team that shot poorly overall. The Las Vegas backcourt struggled to generate offensive rebounding opportunities, limiting her path to the boards despite significant floor time.
- Caitlin Clark Under 10.5 AST15 vs 10.5no clean explanationClark's 15 assists came in a high-volume offensive game (32% usage, 68% TS%) where she dominated as the primary playmaker, easily clearing the 10.5 line. The under was a misjudgment of her usage rate and the offensive pace of a game where Indiana controlled the tempo.
- Makayla Timpson Over 4.5 REB4 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairgame script — blowout or foul troubleTimpson played just 9 minutes and pulled down only 4 rebounds, falling one short of the 4.5 line; limited bench role and early foul trouble (1 PF in minimal time) prevented her from getting the volume needed to hit the over.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.